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Guillaume Albasini last won the day on June 11 2019
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Singapore’s MPA (Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore) has issued a statement saying in the first quarter of 2020, most ships calling at the Port of Singapore have complied with the IMO 2020 sulphur regulations. Based on pre-arrival notification submitted to the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) from January to March 2020, about 96% of the ships that arrived in the Port of Singapore used compliant fuel. This excludes ships installed with open-loop scrubbers that switch to using compliant fuel upon arriving in the Port of Singapore. https://shipinsight.com/articles/singapore-report-high-compliance-with-2020-but-detains-two-ships However the level of compliance will be harder to check in the coming months. The covid-19 pandemic is driving some countries to a temporary suspension of the compliance checks. UK's Maritime and Coastguard Agency suspended port state control inspections, this also means that the checking of compliant fuel has been suspended.’ https://shipandbunker.com/news/world/836475-lawyers-see-coronavirus-obscuring-imo-2020-compliance-picture
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No need for nukes, ballistic missiles or engineered bioweapons. If China wanted to inflict huge damage on the US they could simply stop exporting antibiotics and active pharmaceutical ingredients to the US. The United States is heavily dependent on China for pharmaceutical and medical supplies, including an estimated 97% of all antibiotics and 80% of the active pharmaceutical ingredients needed to produce drugs in the United States. US and China can't go to war. They are too interdependent.
- 161 replies
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- chinese threat
- china cover-up
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This is just Trump's way of ruling the country : Mismanage a crisis until it turns into a chaotic mess then blame it on everyone else (the Dems, the Obama administration, the media, China, the WHO...). The WHO has to deal with many diseases worldwide with a limited budget (2.5 billion in 2019, more or less the cost of two or three B2 bombers). Compare it to the US CDC 2019 budget of 7.3 billion. The WHO declared Covid-19 a public health emergency on 30 January, nearly a month before Trump tweeted: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA”, and proclaimed: “One day – it’s like a miracle - it will disappear.” He eventually declared a national emergency on 13 March. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/07/trump-coronavirus-who-funding-deaths-briefing
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The sooner you impose a lockdown the more effective the lockdown will be to flatten the curve. Wuhan lockdown was imposed on 23 January when the number of cases in China reached 830 and the number of deaths was 15 Italy lockdown was imposed on 9 March when the number of cases in Italy reached 9172 and the number of deaths was 463 Today in the State of New York the number of cases reached 53'455 and the total deaths count is at 883 but Trump is still twitting “A quarantine will not be necessary,” . https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-usa/trump-drops-idea-of-new-york-lockdown-as-us-death-count-crosses-2000-idUKKBN21F0G6 Based on these numbers (from Worldometer website) I'm afraid the situation in NY will soon be worse than in Italy.
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Mortality rate is probably less than 1% but only if you have enough ventilators. Otherwise you'll have 3 or 4% because most of the people in need of a ventilator will die if they can't get one. This is why we have to flatten the curve as soon as possible.
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OK, you are right, it was more exponential growth shown on a logarithmic scale so I've just corrected the thread title to "exponential growth". Sorry for the confusion.
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I know how it works...When things are going well it's painted as a president's success and when it's turning bad its State Governors fault.
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"I think they think we're doing a really good job in terms of running this whole situation having to do with the virus," [...] a lot of good things are happening." (Donald Trump) The US now has more confirmed cases of coronavirus than any other country, with more than 85,500 positive tests. Just go on with your wonderful idea of packing the churches with people for Eastern and soon the US will also overpass Italy in the number of deaths.
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A high number of hospital beds per capita could be one of the factors explaining the lower mortality rate in South Korea and Germany...
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In Switzerland, the canton of Vaud decided to requisition the existing stocks of Plaquenil, the drug based on chloroquine capable of treating Covid-19. It will be used in certain special cases, while waiting to know more about its effectiveness. "We asked doctors and pharmacists to limit the prescriptions of Plaquenil to patients who need it. The Plaquenil will be reserved for patients affected by Covid-19 and who need hospital care." said Rebecca Ruiz head of the Department of Health and Social Action in the cantonal government, at a press briefing in the canton of Vaud on Monday. The objective is to avoid the creation of individual stocks. She stressed that it was an "experimental treatment" and its administration would be decided "on a case-by-case basis." For cantonal doctor Karim Boubaker, chloroquine "is one of the few treatments that can work for severe cases. We are conducting live studies and the answers will only come in the coming weeks" However, he too reiterated that there was "no evidence" of the effectiveness of this drug, particularly in terms of prevention.
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You should care about it. The time you'll remain in lockdown wil depend of the shape of this curves.
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Spanish newspaper El Pais published an article comparing the logarithmic growth of the covid-19 cases around the world. Bold curve = number of cases Thin curve = number of deaths Superior dotted line = number of cases double in 2 days Inferior dotted line = number of cases double in 3 days Red line = increase 10 times in less than 10 days Yellow curve = increase 10 times in between 10 and 20 days Green curve = increase 10 times in more than 20 days. CHINA ITALY USA SPAIN GERMANY IRAN FRANCE SOUTH KOREA SWITZERLAND UNITED KINGDOM These curves can give an idea of how the different countries are managing the spread of the virus. However the accuracy of these curves depends also on the quality of the data and for the number of cases on the number of diagnostic tests done. You'll find the curves for many other countries in the article : https://elpais.com/sociedad/2020/03/21/actualidad/1584819543_395549.html
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It's called "lemon socialism" https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lemon_socialism
- 188 replies
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- oil credit crisis
- govt bailout
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I've found this chart in the Italian newspaper La Repubblica : This was the situation 6 days ago. And this one showing more recent data was added by surrept33 in another thread of this forum : Most countries are on the 33% daily increase line. Once a country starts to show a slower increase rate this could mean it's flattening the curve.