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About this blog

I started this blog to express what I sense about the highs and lows of the oil realm, while cautiously analysing historical data, taking into account the geo-political development at the time of recording them.

I got into this field, having been a passive observer of fluctuations of crude oil prices and their global consequences for years.

Then, when on the day of Great Oil Crash in April, 2020, I made a decision to make my own blog, with the motto, ‘analysing data that really matters’.

Having come from an academic background in mathematics and physics, I analyse data using my own tools, created with JavaScript and Python, taking my decision on board while making decisions.

My website where I analyse data that really matters

Entries in this blog

 

Oil Price:next OPEC+ meeting on March 4 will be crucial

In spite of the rise in oil price, defying the forecasts that said otherwise, Saudis have been urging the members of the OPEC to be cautious. We do not know for sure whether the Saudis knew the dip in price this week in advance – by instinct or from a model that the rest of the analysts are not aware of. Up until this week, Saudi Arabia got it calculations right and they deserve the credit for it: their strategy worked perfectly well and OPEC members could breathe a long, collective s

hemanthaa@mail.com

hemanthaa@mail.com

 

Oil Price: what will happen when the planes are back in the skies?

Having risen steadily – and somewhat alarmingly – for more than a week, Brent crude price has slightly gone down for most of the day on Tuesday. Major oil producers in the OPEC, meanwhile, still think the price of the crude oil is in the right range as far as their economic issues are concerned, thanks to the output cut. The minnows in the organization, however, do not see it that way and reluctantly agree with cuts; they want to sell as much oil as possible and earn revenues as a matt

hemanthaa@mail.com

hemanthaa@mail.com

 

Oil Price: has it become static - finally?

Oil price that has been rising for the past few weeks, judging by the above chart, shows signs of becoming static – finally. Neither the cut in output by the OPEC+ nor the significant drop in crude oil stockpiles moved the price up, buckling the widely-anticipated trend. Do the investors know something that is not depicted by these charts that we do not know? It remains to be seen. Of course, the Coronavirus infections show no sign of abating; there is no heighted alarm among the

hemanthaa@mail.com

hemanthaa@mail.com

 

Oil Price: all ears on next OPEC+ meeting in March

The next monthly meeting of the OPEC+ on March 4, is going to be crucial for the oil price in particular and the economies of the world regardless of their strength in general. At present, the factors which are always in favour of steady oil price are active and in full swing: the inventory draws are significant; China has been importing crude oil at an increased pace and so has India; Covid-19 vaccines bring in new hope for controlling the pandemic. In this context, OPEC+ can play the

hemanthaa@mail.com

hemanthaa@mail.com

 

Oil Price Stabilized: Iraq and Libya join in production cuts

The unity of Arab nations with Saudi Arabia at its nucleus appears to be helping the latter in its determination to cut the crude oil output to compensate for the loss of revenues during the past few months. Both Iraq and Libya confirmed that they will cut down the output for January and February, mimicking what Saudis did: not only did Saudi Arabia cut the oil output by 1 million barrels per day, but also raised the crude oil price for Asia, something that didn’t go down very well with the

hemanthaa@mail.com

hemanthaa@mail.com