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Showing content with the highest reputation since 07/09/2020 in Posts

  1. 11 points
    My guess is that the Wall Streeters find management to be "stodgy." If management has no collective intellectual "push," then the worker bees are not going to undertake risk. That dooms the enterprise to sloth. I invite you to take the "military contractor" complex as an aggregate and consider it one gigantic corporation, with revenues of $800 Billion. It has a huge payroll, staggering capital assets, and can and does raise capital at whim for basically nothing. Are those contractors bid through the roof? Nope. There is some intellectual creativity going on, such as "stealth" technology, but it is massively inefficient, so it internally chews up huge sums that would otherwise go to investors as dividends. And therein lies the problem, (in my limited view). Exxon is a bloated bureaucracy. It has the capital to go buy out competitors, and it has, but it does not learn from its mistakes. take the Exxon Valdez, the ship that had the drunken captain and ran aground and busted open. When the ship was finally salvaged it was towed down to drydock in San Diego and re-hulled. It was single-hulled; was it rebuilt with a double bottom? Nope. It was rebuilt to the original blueprints, then the ship re-named, then sent back out again on some other run. At least it did not get sent back to Alaska. Now, is that smart management? Nope. You just had a disaster with one design format. Why set yourself up for exactly the same disaster in the same format? Fix it (or scrap it) and do the double-bottom. But those giant outfits do not do that; they just chug along, and that sluggishness crushes the independent mentality you need for innovation in the enterprise. Without innovation, someone else will eat your lunch. The Fracking boom amply demonstrated this. Who would have thought of horizontal fracturing of tight oil rock? Entrepreneurs do. Exxon managers do not. I am no longer going to be posting much if anything here, getting tired of the CCP ranting. For the record, I am not a Trump Supporter. That said, I also grant that he has done remarkable things, and is emphatically not the stupid dummy that the CCP crowd wants to make him out to be. Specifically, his aluminum tariffs have single-handedly saved the entire US primary aluminum industry. With nothing more than vision and a stroke of a pen. Ditto with a number of other industries, so you CCP guys can go make insults all you want, in the end he accomplished what the Congress could not. The thousands who now have decent-paying jobs will continue to thank him. Trump's major failure was in not hiring me for his Cabinet, but you cannot really blame him, his staff has obviously not told him I even exist (and our paths never crossed even once in NYC, interestingly enough). Can the US be revitalized under Trump? Of course it can. He is probably more competent than Reagan, so you underestimate Trump at your peril. Cheers to all of you who are looking at this and the oil industry in an intellectually detached way. Oil is going to be around for a very, very long time to come.
  2. 9 points
    All these fed "infrastructure" plans are jokes. None of them address making MORE efficient infrastructure. They all throw a $$$ sign at people and pretend this is "infrastructure. And no, electrical grid is doing just fine. Unless you bring a new tech to the party less susceptible to EMP, no engineer is interested other than these companies peddling this BS snake oil. There is nothing "smart" about smart grid other than used as a slogan for ignorant stupid shits. If the fed wanted to dredge all the rivers/canals, improve the lock system, build hydro storage dams, so seasonality is less and more even hydropower is generated, then there would be something of VALUE in said infrastructure plan. But there is not. If EVERY highway overpass was converted to a divergent Diamond instead of the moron overpasses we have today? THAT would be an improvement in infrastructure. Is that anywhere? No. IF they created a MORE long lasting road bed material and decided to repave all the major highways with it, THAT would be an improvement. Same goes for bridges so we do not have to TOUCH them for the next 1000 years, but that is not in the bills either. These "infrastructure" bills are all absurd pork barrel jokes. Just so some assholes' 3rd cousin can rent out orange barrels to the DOT for 2 years while 2 weeks of work is being done while allowing the POLICE to charge double for speeding tickets in "construction" zones.
  3. 9 points
    The world will get a chance to run an experiment on your thesis: U.S. rig count 250: down 700 from this time last year. Canada rig count 25--down 90. Libya is a basket case. Venezuela is down to one rig (1). Reserves are one-half in KSA. We are in for the mother of all oil shocks: maybe by this time next year. If either the strait of Malacca or the strait of Hormuz gets hit, or if someone puts something ballistic on KSA gumworks, oil will be at an incredible premium. At a time when Tesla stock is going up 10% a day and oil stocks are falling by the same amount, on the heels of paying someone $47 to haul off a barrel of oil, it might not seem it, but run the numbers, for Pete's sake. And I wouldn't be too quick to let someone else refine my oil either: friends are friends until they're not. This old world is tightening up. The United States is no longer watchman of the world. Some very bad things are apt to happen. Anyone who doesn't think another bad coronavirus is incubating is nuts. Things are never stable. I could go on with this dystopian riff but I've come to the end of my adjectives.
  4. 8 points
    I don't think that many people appreciate just how big the Guyana find really is. And it's coming at a time when the U.S. energy apparatus has been thoroughly decimated. For instance, there are 250 oil and gas rigs working, only 180 of them oil, compared to about 950 this time last year. Sure, the world demand for oil collapsed there for a while, but unless something more dire than Covid-19 comes along, there will be increasing demand at some point. Into that void comes Exxon and Hess, with 45% and 30% interests, respectively, in the massive Stabroek Block off Guyana. We're talking about 6.6M acres, the need for several (they're saying 5 now) FPSO's, and no telling how much oil. The Stabroek has gotten a bad rep because it is gassy, but of the 8B recoverable oil-equivalent barrels currently estimated, 6B are oil, 2B gas, and this field is just getting delineated. One discovery, called Haimara, has already been designated a gas condensate reservoir and will be put on slo-mo. The Liza Deep and the Turbot are massive oil finds. For Exxon this is a very, very big deal. For Hess it is almost certainly transformative. Unless, of course, the demand for oil is destroyed. Since I have almost no interest in windmills, solar panels, the city of Portland, Antifa, Mr. Bradley and his sophomoric vocabulary, Joe Biden and a cerebral issue that is almost certainly going to stun the world, Chicago, Lori Lightfoot, BLM, and an unending dialogue about the wonders of those damn electric cars, I offer a sincere thank-you for allowing me to spout everything I know about the Stabroek Block. My interest in oil and gas came from my round grandfather rudely waking me at age six and roaring through his pasture to get to an arroyo across from the first deep well in that area. I awoke the second time to crude oil splatting my grandfather's windshield, from a blowout through one of the old Ram blowout preventers--which didn't prevent much of anything. He had the windshield wipers going. Through the smear I could see a gusher of oil shooting into the sky. Something like that doesn't inculcate an abiding interest in hydrogen cells.
  5. 8 points
    So to be clear, his son died of opioid addiction that had as its root the opium poppies raised by the Muslims he frets about being demeaned at the 7 minute mark. Those addiction centers were wide open while his son was over dosing and didn't do a damn bit of good. What's driven the flyover country to addiction during the mismanagement of the Obama administration was the complete and utter lack of future. No jobs, no prospects, nothing to do but get high and watch the tube. Trump put those people to work and the 3.5% unemployment was populated with a bunch of folks who couldn't get a job because they couldn't pass a drug test. But no fear, thanks to Yoshi's buddies in the CCP we don't have to worry about 3% unemployed but 30% thanks to ineptitude from Democratic governors shutting down vast swathes of the US economy, all while blaming Trump. Only a venal and sycophant press would repeat that claptrap, luckily for the DNC, they've got exactly that.
  6. 7 points
    https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/04/29/delaying-herd-immunity-is-costing-lives/#.Xx8igwNtKGI.twitter Herd immunity arrives after a certain still unknown percentage of the population has acquired immunity. Through long-term sustainable social distancing and better hygiene, like not shaking hands, this percentage can be lowered, saving lives. Such practices should be adopted by everyone. Pakistan achieves herd immunity, thus throws egg on WHO and China's faces. . Applying this pattern to the current outbreaks in AZ FL and TX, then GA and SC, they are not ceasing because of policy, but because of herd immunity achieved vy the July 4 week. The infections were spreading during the intense shopping in preparation for the holiday. Same as with the memorial day shopping. All clearly visible in the Kinsa temperature charts. It takes deliberate ignorance by the epidemiological bureaucracy to sweep aside all facts and stick with a patently false narrative and non-public models that have predicted outcomes that have not happened anywhere. .
  7. 7 points
    Agreed! But this is the 'mindset of the eco's and the politicos here in California. Or as I 'lovingly' refer too her "Commiefornia"... Grandad (Mom's side) retired from Louisiana Pacific Lumber here in California in the early 80's. When I was in Jr. High while visiting my Grans for a few weeks as I did each summer. I told Gran I wanted to be a logger just like him when I graduated. He advised me to choose something else. I asked if he felt I couldn't do it. He said he knew I would do just fine. He said by the time your ready to start a family there won't be anymore loggers here in California. He said we're bein run out. By the early 90's the last saw mill had closed and none have come along since. Our forests are Criminally over grown and what used to be a 'normal' manageable forest fire. Is now a Firestorm. But try tellin the politicians this. They refuse to admit they chose the wrong horse. Now the fires erupt into massive infernos and even more pollutants are released into the air...
  8. 7 points
    Uh OK The President is the first US President too stand up to the CCP. Period. He sees them for the Frauds an Con men they are. He refuses to get on bent knee (like Obama) and kiss their ass. The Only reason our economy is in the mess it is right now is he made the mistake of falling for the CON the Left pulled with the CCP-19. No, I'm not sayin this isn't a real med issue. The 'Con' has been perpetuated by that Troll Dr. Fauxchi. The Left KNEW full well if they couldn't find a way to derail the economy they were F*cked in Nov. So, they have Doc Fauxchi get his buds at the Wuhan lab, that he shovels US Tax $$$$$ into BTW to release the CCP-19. Yes, it was 'released' as the Wuhan Lab is one of their Top Bio weapons Dev. labs. While the Wuhan virus was just gettin started there in China, the Gov't made sure several hundred or more citizens travelled too the US prior to the outbreak in Wuhan becoming public knowledge. The UN & WHO both kept quiet about the severity of the crap! Knowing full well what it was. Europe was thrown too the wolves so it wouldn't look like an 'attack' against the US. which IT WAS. So, stop drinking the Left's kool-aide... The President has been all over the Chicom's from day one.
  9. 7 points
    And he knows full well that he doesn't have that power, but he also knows how to get the opposition riled up. I personally think we should be at the stage where all avenues to vote are open to citizens, whether it be polling stations, computer, telephone or mail, if necessary. I also believe Trump's message is that, at present, given the open bias of the leaders of the tech companies that could provide for all avenues of "internet based voting", the chances of electronic or mail in voting could be skewed against him and his party are a concern. We need to move to some sort of neutral system of electronic voting. I think the mail-in arguments are not strong enough to deny that avenue completely, but insisting on ALL mail-in voting does not provide the level of comfort that many others desire. Masks and social distancing are the cry of the day, and they can easily be implemented into a visit to the polling stations. Extend the time allowed for voting and call for a voting holiday so that all who want to vote, can. Also, make sure that public transportation is available for all that need it. And finally, if a person does not feel safe to venture outside, or if they are not in a place that would allow them to visit a polling station, then the normal process for mail-in votes should be followed with allowances for those fearful of Covid-19. Just my thoughts.
  10. 7 points
    Russia is a paranoid country. Why is that? Oh wait they keep getting invaded! Sweden, France, Germany, others I'm not going to mention. The odds that Putin wants to invade Germany? Roughly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% We've been there for over 70 years, and those bases aren't free. Germany hasn't kicked in their fair share ever and Trump said enough's enough. It's not like we're leaving entirely, we're just scaling back. But yeah, Trump bad, got it.
  11. 7 points
    I was sailing in San Diego right after this happened and motored over to look at the Exxon Valdez. An armed guard tried to warn me off. I just motored up to the hull; it was open water. Let me tell you, that was the biggest gash I've ever seen in my life. It had to have been large enough to drive a VW bus through. I marveled at the fact that they could tow that thing from Alaska to SD without drawing in enough water to capsize it. I agree but he would have fired you within the week, haha. I am not really a fan either, but he's the best we've got at this point. You're at the same place I was a few weeks ago when you chided me. You're totally right: they've taken it over and it is now theirs. Like a lot of things, though, they soon want have anyone to argue with and their silly accusations and sophomoric tirades will be for naught. I get it, though, it wears you down. Better to ponder Euler's Constant or something meaningful. This will be it for me too. I just couldn't resist writing about the Stabroek, which really captures the imagination of what used to be. Too bad, this used to be a very good place to learn stuff and even show one's ignorance occasionally without getting laughed at.
  12. 7 points
    For those posters who dough the viability of electric semi's let me inject some insight from my 30 years experience managing major private fleets. A class eight sleeper weights about 17,000 LB, the drive train account's for 5,000 LB so we can have a 5,000 LB battery with no weight penalty. A tractor / trailer with proper streamlining will have a co of drag similar to a Tesla Model S. The thing that every one is ignoring is the regenerative breaking, every time the driver wakes up the neighborhood with the Jake Break or smokes the brakes and over revs the engine going down the 7% grade the electric truck is recharging it's battery at about 95% efficiency. So while your diesel is out there in the real world of start, stop, up hill and down hill the the electric truck is in it's own little world that is essentially study state and flat. And the first time a driver gets passed on a hill like he was standing still they will all want one.
  13. 7 points
    Source: AP Photo/Ted S. Warren The last few weeks have provided plenty of support for the political positions traditionally espoused by conservatives. Some of the evidence is so painfully obvious it's hard to believe there could be any dispute about it. And yet, disputes there are. In fact, the divisions in this country seem deeper than ever. As we approach the November election and beyond, it is vital that we understand the lessons current events teach us about what we're facing in our future. Here's a short and (very) incomplete list: 1. Our governments are shockingly weak. COVID-19 has revealed that the twin pillars of some city and state governments are hypocrisy and cowardice. Rules put in place to prevent the spread of the virus were strictly enforced when the would-be violators were Orthodox Jews and other worshippers, small-business owners and skateboarders. Ill and elderly people died alone, their loved ones forbidden from visiting them in hospitals and long-term care facilities. These sacrifices, we were told, were necessary to keep the public safe. But when the George Floyd protests exploded into the streets across the country, the narrative changed. "Social justice" became an exception to the infection rules, as if the virus would somehow distinguish between irate Black Lives Matter activists and frolicking beachgoers. Worse, the riots, arson, violence and secessionist colonies in major cities were allowed to take place with virtually no interference from law enforcement -- often at the express directive of city government. Statues and monuments were vandalized or torn down. Buildings were burned. Businesses were destroyed. People were harassed, assaulted, raped, shot and killed. All of this was done with impunity and under the watchful eye of governments that did nothing, for fear of being called "racist." The clear message is that rules are only enforced against the law-abiding, but the government will let you do whatever you like if it is afraid of you. 2. Never give up your Second Amendment rights. Is it not obvious now? The Second Amendment was not written to enshrine hunting as a protected constitutional right; it was written so citizens could protect themselves from oppressive government. Or, in our case, perhaps, weak and feckless government that allows criminals free reign. The chaos in Seattle, Portland, New York City and Washington, D.C., drove the point home that private citizens are on their own and can expect neither government nor law enforcement to help protect their lives and property. That will double when police are "defunded." 3. The media is relentlessly biased and deceitful. As exhibit A of the above, St. Louis attorneys Mark and Patty McCloskey made national news earlier this week when they confronted a group of protesters on their property in a heated exchange. The McCloskeys were armed, and the press was quick to cast them as the wrongdoers overreacting to "peaceful protesters." (As if we haven't watched riots and arson for the past three weeks characterized by the press as "protests.") Mark McCloskey and his attorney had to point out that the protesters had trespassed on private property, breaking down a wrought-iron gate to obtain access to their home, and that some of the protesters were armed and threatened the McCloskeys with violence. 4. No one can survive the ideological purity tests that are being administered to justify tearing down statues and monuments. And, in truth, they're not meant to. The attacks started with Confederate soldiers but quickly moved to the Founding Fathers (Washington and Jefferson), to presidents (Abraham Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt and Ulysses S. Grant) and even to Jesus Christ and his mother. The battle is really one to tear down Western civilization -- democracy, capitalism and Judeo-Christian values -- and replace it with a Marxist state. If you don't think this is their goal, you're not listening to them. 5. Ah, Marxism! The only example of perfect diversity. No matter where it has been tried, or by whom, Marxist regimes have failed spectacularly. Whether installed by whites (Russia and the rest of Eastern Europe in the old Soviet Union), Asians (China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, North Korea), Hispanics (Venezuela, Cuba, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Peru) or Blacks (Angola, Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia), Marxism invariably promises equality and utopia, and equally invariably results in government oppression, corruption, starvation, torture, imprisonment and death on a massive scale. 6. The highest praise for Marxism comes from those who have never lived under it. History shows that academics and the press in free countries (as opposed to those in the Marxist countries themselves) continue to praise and tout Marxist regimes, even when they are aware of their brutality. True of The New York Times in the 1930s. True of the New York Times today. 7. Yes, it can happen here. Historian Crane Brinton noted in his classic work "Anatomy of a Revolution" that the American Revolution was the only one of the four major upheavals he addressed that did not have a "Reign of Terror." But for all their criticism of the Founding Fathers, today'srevolutionaries seem to have a greater penchant for bloodshed, as we've seen with the antifa movement, violence in the lawless "occupied" zones, signs that say things such as "Murder Andy Ngo" (an independent journalist), the trending #FrenchRevolution hashtag on Twitter, a guillotine in front of Jeff Bezos' home and an enraged Ivy League student threatening to stab anyone who defends the universal importance of all lives. 8. It isn't about President Donald Trump. Those seeking to destroy the United States were committed to that objective before Trump was elected. They'll be just as committed when he's gone. Trump is obnoxious to them because he doesn't fear them or seek to mollify them like so many other politicians. They want a weak president who will capitulate to them as so many mayors and governors have done. We can't give them that.
  14. 7 points
    Electric semi never going to happen mate. Same reason there wont be electric planes. Weight. Trucks are weight limit restricted, and if you are hauling around 4000 pounds of batteries in the truck that's 4 less pallats per load. Customers are not going to make up the difference. It's a crippling competitive disadvantage. Even if electric semi could be operated cheaper then a diesel, 20% smaller loads is a lot to overcome. And that doesnt even consider charging complications. How many semi charging stations would be needed to service an electric semi fleet? Truck stops dont have the physical space for it. And truckers sure as shit don't want to be parked and charging when they could be driving. Ever. Natural gas semi's have been more fuel cost efficient for over a decade. I worked for bison transport when they had experimental nat gas day cabs. They never went mass fleet with them because of logistical and re fueling complications and limitations, and range limitations. Not cost. Time is money in the trucking industry.
  15. 7 points
    According to Art Berman's calculations, shales pay off at a breakeven of 55-65 dollars Then you should add some $ 5 transport costs to the WTI price and some $ 5 discount from the WTI price to the Brent price. So it gives us a Brent oil breakeven price of something like 65-75 dollars. However, given the lack of investment in the oil sector since 2014, apart from shale oil, I personally think that when the problem with COVID is resolved, which rather did not prove to be as deadly as it was announced, taking into current drilling activity around the world I expect for at least next 3 years the price of oil and natural gas should increase.
  16. 7 points
    You’re getting the issue confused. It’s not free trade or no free trade that we’re concerned about. We’re concerned about which option had the best implications for industry. Since the Chinese have slave wages and depots of stolen intellectual property, we’d like their fingers out of our economy. Anybody who thinks that our relationship with China is economically healthy has got gravel pounded so far up their ass that their head is filled with stones.
  17. 6 points
    The streets in question are, by a vast majority, in cities and States run by Liberal Democrats. It is Constitutionally the responsibility of these mayors and governors to protect their citizens and quell the rioting, the President must be ‘invited’ to step in. If no invitation is forwarded, the consequences fall squarely on the liberal state and local governments. That said, as is the case in Portland, the FEDERAL government is required, by law, to protect FEDERAL property, such as the courthouse at the center of the illegal riots. So yes, look at our streets, and place the blame where it belongs.
  18. 6 points
    Yes I do understand exactly what you are saying. Let us revisit history,the US and the world experienced a financial meltdown it was coined the housing crisis. OBAMA walked on the scene and was elected a long held socialist dream. From the ashes we will rebuild. Leap forward to 2016, the unimaginable occurred. Trump the outlier was elected along with a republican controlled house. Many of the old republican guard were cast out. The new administration virtually swept 8 yrs of socialist work out the door. Only to be met with a campaign of scorched earth,there were no bondarys..no issue to large. From creating a baseless investigation to smearing a supreme ct nominee and a one party impeachment.. Oddly enough today we again face a financial crisis, we have a presidential nominee that will not expose himself to questioning or expose himself publicly to the masses. The Democratic party is demanding a new form of President voting before the PRESIDENTAL Debates even take place. Now am I aware...perhaps a smidge...and sorely aware i could use a proof writing program.
  19. 6 points
    First they came for Alberta.... So canada has been suffering from pipeline sabotage for the better part of a decade. In 2010 we had 4 new pipelines in the works. Trans mountian, northern gateway, energy east, and keystone xl. Energy east and northern gateway are dead. And the other 2 have been mired in law suits and protesting and blockades. I thought it was a globalist vendetta against Alberta for being low tax, high freedom, minimal government, and filthy rich. Now I am seeing it's not just about Alberta. They want everyone poor.
  20. 6 points
    I don't really think that moving force deployments out of Germany and forward towards Russia in Romania and Poland would be a win for Putin, even support in Belgium is actually allowing ship deployment of land forces into such Baltic sea targets as Kaliningrad and to protect Baltic states. The deployments in Germany were not really useful since the 1990s as they had remained too far back while the front line of NATO moved East. As pointed out, EU military resources are and remain the NATO force in Europe, as had been the case since the 1960s after Europe had rebuilt and the US gradually removed deployments by 2/3 in the later cold war era. That was exactly the point of having NATO. The US contribution had, and so far remains, to provide the Naval air and space security.
  21. 6 points
    The European countries that are members of NATO have several times more population than Russia. Even though they spend less than 2% of GDP on the army, they still spend at least several times more than Russia. As far as I can remember, Great Britain hysterically accuses Russia of being aggressive. Only if it is really so afraid of Russia, why UK plans nowadays in economic crisis to disband some soldiers and wants to have smaller land army from 74,000 to 55,000 soldiers? Taking under consideration that UK has something like 65 milion population its rather a very small army Take it under perspective During the Cold War, 300,000 Americans stationed in West Germany alone, and on the other side there were about 350,000 Russians. Now some 35,000 Americans are in Germany. Germany is actually trying to spend as little as possible on the army, and is investing several billion a year in the Russian economy - last year something like 3 or billions euros. The brutal truth is, and I know it will sound ironic, but the atomic bomb is the greatest historic achievement to preserve global peace, apart from some proxy wars and minor armed conflicts.
  22. 6 points
    If China is buying oil from Iran, the U.S. Iranian sanctions can be used to freeze Chinese or Chinese related financial assets and transactions in or through the U.S. Insurance on carriage of oil can also be blocked, essentially making any vessel carrying Iranian oil to a customer of Iran null and void. China can use her own ships and/or ships of Iran, but they run a risk of the United States fully imposing the sanctions and going after Chinese banks and companies that do business with China. I did a bit of research on this previously, referencing the sanctions themselves as source; not using any other source, and the penalties, if the U.S. chooses to fully implement them, are extremely broad and encompassing. So, if China is taking this step they are indeed actively playing cold war games of the highest order, challenging U.S., and Trump, resolve.
  23. 6 points
    The lie we were told was that we needed to flatten the curve to help hospitals and staff so they wouldn't be overrun. The new lie we're being told is we have to hunker down until this virus doesn't infect anyone, anywhere. That's to quote Yoshi here, Bullshit. We haven't destroyed economies around to world for other highly communicable diseases. Why this one? Oh, right, politics and new world order diktat.
  24. 6 points
  25. 6 points
    Why does someone who "wants to talk" show up simultaneously with rioters? Could it be he had no intention of talking? This entire thing stinks, just pure crap. Want to know what turns the USA into a Third World Country? Freaking rioting on the street! Who is allowing and encouraging the rioters? The democrats running these cities, including that mayor getting "gassed". Your video has been carefully edited to remove the crowd telling Wheeler he needs to get fired. But yeah, Trump. How much wumao have you made this month? Get a bonus from the CCP for starting a thread that doesn't look like pure spam? Asking for a friend.
  26. 6 points
    Anyone in any professional field or governmental field needs to be very careful, especially if they are licensed. One physician in Wisconsin may lose his license because he rightly compared Covid 19 to a bad flu season. True that more died, but not that many more especially considering the fact that much of our population gets annual flu shots. I got two last fall to cover more strains. I tell polsters what they want to hear (liberal positions) or more often just cut them off. I don't think there is any chance at all that conservatives are answering polls to identify themselves as such with any frequency. How they actually vote will be a shock to the poll followers.
  27. 6 points
    I watched a video once where they were interviewing addicts. My apology for not remembering the name, it was on YouTube. One of the addicts interviewed said something very profound. He said, "All addicts want to kill themselves, most just don't have the courage". It was in an AA setting and there were about a dozen addicts nodding their heads to what he'd just said. Now think about famous, wealthy, dead addicts like Kurt Cobain who had everything going for them but couldn't fill that emptiness inside. I think there's something like 60k deaths per year from overdoses and about the same from suicides. Or just figure there's 120k per year killing themselves in this country. But yeah, Trump's fault.
  28. 6 points
    Thank you for reminding me why I blocked your pretentious smarmy arse. I am sorry I ever replied. You just called 99% of every farmer on earth, valueless. You know what 99% of every farmer on earth does? Wrenches on old crap to get another year out of a tool so they can save money allowing them to fix the barns roof and maybe buy more than 2nd hand clothes for the majority of them. To assholes in cities you are typical. One bug and you pretentious sniveling rose smelling turds scream like 5 year old girls. Yet demand to eat high on the hog while paying nothing and demanding ZERO tariffs from other countries while you pile on regulation after regulation increasing cost at home but not abroad. PS: If I get banned at this point I do not care. Sick of pretentious holier than thou city slickers trampling over rural folks all the while sneering at them.
  29. 6 points
    The opioid crisis was started by pharmaceutical companies (Purdue) who provided poor prescribing instructions to physicians. Patients were put on time-release drugs, but the drugs didn't last as long as the company said they would. Doctors reported back to the company that the drug didn't last as long as advertised. The doctors were told to increase the dosage of the time-release formulation and not increase frequency (as the time-release feature was a key part of the patent). Large doses of time-release drug - that don't last - creates alternating waves of euphoria and pain. The roller-coaster effect makes the drug far more addictive than if they were just provided constant pain relief (yes many addicts started with legitimate pain). Then once hooked, it's Dr shopping, then switching to cheaper street drugs...
  30. 6 points
    In a spark-ignition engine you would have to stay within spark-ignition parameters. In a diesel, which are typically built between 16:1 and 24.5:1, the way that is don is to have a scavenging charge injected at the top end of the power stroke which will then ignite and start the burn of the natural gas. So it uses a thimble-ful of diesel fuel on each cycle. Just enough to fire the gas charge. You can burn the entire gas charge at that elevated compression, the diesel can handle it, but you likely will have to adjust at what point in the power stroke the burning starts. To go to a pure nat-gas engine, you would have to modify the "head" of the motor by installing a spark plug, and also install either a distributor or magneto or some form of crankcase sensor and processor to time the spark. So it becomes a different motor. Can you use the same "short block"? Well, that depends on whether or not you install spacers where the head gasket goes. I have seen amateur conversions where they mill up a spacer, then install it with two head gaskets, one above and one underneath, and that lowers the compression ratio. Then you can run a gasoline engine on kerosine! Lots of tricks out there for the innovative. Cheers.
  31. 6 points
    It's not just tractors. All modern vehicles are designed to be impossible to repair. Dealerships have morphed from making their money on sales, to making their money on service. Unfortunately you'll end up oh the situation as I did that even if you exclusively have your brand new vehicle serviced by the dealer, there will come a day when they simply can't figure out what's wrong and have no clue how to fix it. I literally gave away an Audi A8 that had about 45k miles on it but wouldn't run. The dealer was clueless as to what was wrong and everything getting replaced (out of warranty) did nothing to fix the problem. They offered to sell me anything in their lot at cost and I said I wouldn't take another Audi if it was free. The Germans are at war with their own customers also. It's too bad, because Audi used to be a great car. Mercedes, BMW and Porsche are no better.
  32. 6 points
    All true, but that is only part of the story. The old machines are valuable because anybody can fix them. Farmers tend to be resourceful, and have the skill set to fix their machinery. Plus, lots of parts are available locally, either from after-market manufacturers or from cannibalized tractors. The problem with the new stuff is that John Deere Corp. has savagely attacked their own customers. The company has put these computer controls inside the machines, then buried the software code and refused to release the code to the buyers. So if your tractor conks out all you get is a "fault code" and then the entire machine has to be loaded onto a low-bed trailer and carefully hauled off to the Dealer, where it sits until one of their mechanics find the time to go repair it. Mow if your machine has no spare machine, such as a big combine costing several hundred thousand dollars, then your harvesting (which is done in a very narrow window) just stalls, and you risk losing some part of your crops to rotting in the field. That infuriates the farmers. Right now there are farmers (and their tech-savvy kids) developing hacking software that they can use to get inside the computer units inside those John Deere machines, so that they can do fixes pout in the field. The Company move was a crass effort to force more service work to their dealers, thus taking income from farmers and handing that to the dealers. It is just appalling that a name brand such as JD would stoop to such tactics, but they did. I would have to assume that there has been a change of management internally, that seeks to be in the favor of Wall Street (and the Street's emphasis on quarterly earnings) that would push JD to go to war with their own best customers. Just unbelievable, and I can assure you that the Company has totally infuriated the farmers. Now, in my mind that leads to the development of an entirely new market. The tractors that are built in the vast grain belts of Eastern Europe are likely not computer controlled. There are very basic, sturdy tractors built in Russia, but Russia is out of favor these days for stupid political moves. There is at least one manufacturer in Belarus, and as long as you can see past the near-communist government, those would be a good bet. And I have to think that Ukraine and Poland would have their own tractor manufacturers. Now, given the current exchange rates, those tractors could be sourced cheaply enough, and sold to American farmers who want to boycott John Deere. It defeats the ideal of putting Americans back to work, but what else can you do when management is so utterly crass, so unctuous, so self-absorbed as to deny the right to go repair your own machines? Unreal.
  33. 6 points
    Try calculating the power in kilowatts for a 450 hp peterbilt. There’s a much larger issue than simply weight here. Edit: I’m calculating that 4000 lbs of lithium ion batteries would equate to a couple hours of power at 300 hp steady. Compare that to a refuel every 2000 miles for a 300 gallon tank.
  34. 6 points
    With the news of the flooding ALL OVER China, if I lived downstream from any dam I think I'd take a trip to higher ground if possible. And the "floodgates" should be fully open but that is not a sign of the dam not handling the situation. I'm no expert, but I would think a dam that is built with the main purpose being to mitigate annual flooding should be built to release at least the same amount of water as would be seen in a bad flood year. I mean, normally you would want to spread out the time and the amount of water released so that normal annual flooding is mitigated. But, in a 100 year flood year, you would want to release water at the same rate as the river used to, or even more. This would not be a failure of the dam, but an acceptance that the dam may not be able to save the downstream residents' land or even life in the event of a 100 year flood. I may not be explaining myself clearly, but maybe I'm getting my point across?
  35. 6 points
    Hi Folks, Just checking in hoping your all coping with the Pandemic, glad to see masks finally becoming bipartisan and that we all agree Covid 19 is real. I’m looking fed to the next few months up until the election it should get interesting 🤔 Hope all on the forum stay well and be nice to each other cheers James
  36. 6 points
    Mr. Kamamura, your point is obvious. However, in this highly politicized pandemic, look at a breakdown of the numbers. Everyone would likely say that Governor Cuomo handled this thing straight-on. And yet the mortality rate as figured by mortality over total tested positive was 7.9% and Mass. had one of 7.4%. Contrast to this the rather cowboy style of Texas (1.2%), the beachcomber attitude of Florida and California (1.4, 2%, respectively) and the raging-our-of-control pandemic in the south and Sunbelt states has drastically lowered the overall nationwide mortality to 3.9%. I'm no apologist for the president but it is particularly obvious that this virus behaves a bit differently in the hot weather than it did in the cold wet weather of NYC and Mass. Has it mutated? I don't know; the phylogenists do but they're not saying much these days. Point is, this virus behaves differently in different regions and/or seasons. I don't believe for a moment that in NYC they were able to track down every contact and talk them into staying sequestered. The virus more or less "burned out" in NYC, despite Gov. Cuomo sending still infectious patients back to live in care facilities with the healthy uninfected. A one-size-fits-all wouldn't have worked in a place as vast and variegated as the United States of America, pure and simple. They can talk all they want to about how a President Joe Biden could have done this better, but that's crazy talk. If this country had been completely shut down for much longer, whole states would have gone bankrupt and municipalities would have defaulted on 4% bonds. Despite looking messy and awful and as if no one was running the engine car, the mortality rate of the virus has gone way down. There's just so long one can invoke Farr's Law, because, after all, people have to eat. Lots of people are very angry at the administration because at least that's a face to put on a disaster that came to the world from Wuhan. I'm not arguing with you, merely pointing out that so far nobody has done about anything to combat this virus except tell us to tell us to wear a mask (after first telling us not to) and to wash our hands. My first-grade teacher could have done that. We are, as with every novel virus, at the mercy of genetics and a vaccine. Truth be told, if you're elderly and contract this year's mutation of influenza, a virus that has been around for centuries, you're at high risk of dying. Vaccine, vaccine, vaccine . . . that's all that has made a difference. And you don't need a president to get that going, or even Dr. Fauci. there are 137 companies working on vaccines and one or more will nail it. Fine to take sides; everyone has. But to put the blame on anyone is not very practical, not when you look at the numbers.
  37. 6 points
    The more interesting aspect of this story is the credibility conferred by Twitter verification and the consequent risk if verified accounts are compromised. If people as tech savvy as Musk and Gates are getting hacked then Twitter may have a larger security issue going on that it should address, especially given the amount of political activity that happens on Twitter these days.
  38. 6 points
    The Grey Lady, ruined by the illiberal mob controlling Groupthink there, and at every MSM outlet not named Fox News. Even now, they're doing everything they can to destroy Fox, including attacking advertisers, boycotting products and routinely running catfishing plots to try and catch someone in a honeypot at minimum. When Fox tries to be fair and balanced by asking a liberal to come on beside the conservative, the liberal shouts constantly during the conservative's turn, purposefully to make sure they're not being heard. What drives humans to behave like this, all for ideology that itself is morally bankrupt? To "invite intelligent discussion from all shades of opinion" is anathema to them. This is why they organize protests on college campuses when so called conservatives come to speak and why they work full time on cancel culture initiatives, and why they bully and demean coworkers until they quit a hostile work environment.
  39. 6 points
    RINOs are political machine Republicans who the Trumpists see as aligned with the looting of the country by the Democratic machine and their assorted corporate crony capitalist supporters. You are viewing this entirely incorrectly. Nobody wishes for a more disciplined and coherent person than Trump supporters, but they take what they can get, as the number of credible people wanting to run for office to dismantle state power and cut off corporations from politics and extract the US from its relationship with China is not a natural phenomenon even among Republicans. Trump at least stands for that and has acted in that direction. Nobody else has even bothered to pay lip service to those goals.
  40. 5 points
    So long as the CCP narratives are followed by Dems and tech and other companies and aggressively acted out by Antifa and co. while Dem local gov. stands down police, then it is a CCP effort and the followers and promoters of the narratives are being influenced or directed by the CCP or its partners. China is the pillar of the New Left Marxism today and over the last 2-3 decades, so is a primary cause and driver. It is most certainly its fault. That you have fallen for so much of the CCP's claptrap is a display of lack of critical thinking on your behalf. You have displayed far stronger reasoning and argument. Don't be lazy about it. It may cost you your future. Because one thing that is demographically predestined is that China will not remain as important in the future as it is now. Their demographic cliff is a round trip of the active population to 1960 levels by as early as 2050. The good thing being that after losing 40% of their arable land, they might be able to feed themselves. The brighter lower red line is the actual tracking of births shifted into the age group corrected for over reporting. That is the line copied into the forward groupings of the peak population of the China boomers. Blue is the peak spending group of 30-50 Green is the peak savings group of 45-60 or 65 Grey is the retirement group 60-80 The rectangular boxes mark the peak plateau. Women are 95% of men due to prenatal gender selection favoring boys. The spending wave has started its decline already, and the savings wave declines in 2035, The center of the savings cohort passes retirement age in 2025, when the net retirement savings vs. draw runs through 0 on the way to negative numbers. China as neither a production base, consumer market nor capital source - as it would be by 2030, is no place to conduct business, or invest. Thus it is neither an attractive trade partner for anyone. The overcapacity built to supply the growing Chinese population's consumption crossed over to negative growth margins in 2014. The CV19, social destabilization and racial war narratives of China and its allies in the US, are a hard break from reality of the future, where the West in general would do better being unexposed to China's inefficient production capacity. Their zombie industries get infinitely refinanced while competing with Western business and employees having to meet profitability requirements and stay financially afloat, even during the CV19 crisis, despite huge Fed and govt. money. Thus pressing incomes and gaining share in markets they must eventually lose when their workers retire, leaving the world with unstaffed abandoned industrial capacity in China and bankrupt mothballed or disassembled ind. capacity in the West. The better endpoint for the West is achieved by cutting off China now rather than later, while China is only buying time for its soon to retire employees with returning to export led growth - now at a loss.
  41. 5 points
    Hence the idiocy of the Greenpeace leader's comments. The green movement is not about the environment, it was and remains a tool of the Soviets and now Chinese. It is entirely about economic sabotage. Not saving the planet, not global warming, not disappearing species. It is part of the cold war the Chinese never stopped fighting.
  42. 5 points
    Anything that smells of political correctness is just another means to muzzle freedom of speech and thought. Perhaps now you understand why us ‘old timers’ restrict our visits to OP...it is no longer worth the effort to ‘discuss’ anything on this forum.
  43. 5 points
    I agree that the Soviet Union was instrumental in defeating the Nazis. But keep in mind that early in the war that Russia had a non-aggression pact with Nazi Germany. This pact spelled out the partitioning of Poland between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany. The Soviet Union was sitting on the sidelines, waiting on her rewards, when Hitler, their supposed non-aggressive ‘ally’, attacked them! Now we need to consider the massive Lend-Lease program where the US supplied arms and material to the Soviet Union until they could move their armament factories East of the Urals, set them up, and start producing their own arms. Even then they still demanded Lend-Lease material. Lastly, the Soviet Union was fighting on a single front. Due to the Europe First policy, the US was heavily involved in Europe (daylight bombing of Germany in which more Americans servicemen died than all deaths in WW2 suffered by the US Marine Corp), North Africa and Italy. The US was also required, almost singlehandedly, to stop the Japanese advance in the South and Southwest Pacific. So yes, the Soviets were instrumental in defeating Nazi Germany, but they sure as hell didn’t do it on their own! It was a WORLD war and they only participated on the Allied side after Hitler reneged on their deal.
  44. 5 points
    The US didn’t invade Libya, the Europeans were instigators of NATO’s involvement, quoting Obama “leading from behind...” Iraq was hardly stable or peaceful before US invasion. Ie. Iran/Iraq war, Iraq invasion of Kuwait. Syria was a popular revolt triggered by a historic drought. It’s origins are a mystery to you because you choose not to look. I heard it was the CCP in cahoots with Moscow that started the Syria war, after all those are the two countries that benefited the most. See, we all hear the craziest things, maybe spend a little time vetting incoming information.
  45. 5 points
    There goes the party line again. We don't know that there is immunity because it isn't from a vaccine. This virus is from outer space and is so novel nothing we know of the biology and physiology of viruses and how the immune system works applies to it, yet we will have a vaccine. You are throwing doubt on facts and dismissing the entirety of the body of science of virology immunology and the ability of actual practicing scientists to analyze things correctly. Again, a pro bureaucrat position that bows down to unqualified authority of politically selected "experts" and the vague cloud of "science directed" policies that seem to crumble at any factual check or demand for proof of the science. Yes, in the body of evidence of 16 million recorded confirmed infections and similar order of recovered let us focus on the rare occasions of reinfection. Because that will really tell us what we need to know about immune responses of the general public. Immune suppressed or deficient patients would not have the means to fight an infection though they have had it before. And they would barely benefit from a vaccine. Why do you think people with full blown aids die? Do you point to them to throw doubt on the immune function of healthy people? If immunity is impossible then how did the transmission stop BEFORE NYC shut down? How did infection rates drop to near nothing in Pakistan after they revoked all restrictions? If immunity is not possible then how do you expect the vaccines we are waiting for to work? It is that same "not made here" (FDA and client firms) immune system that humans are supposed to use to fight the virus after inoculation produces immune responses entirely identical to those of the actual infection. Do you understand what your statements and criticism imply? You are so blinded by the authority of these incompetent boobs and sycophants to politically induced narratives that you have stopped thinking at all. Herd immunity is a scientific concept of immunology and epidemiology. Your cloudy vague attempt to ridicule it with no content or argument is simply a declaration of dismissal of the entire science from which you can understand anything about a pandemic. The experts must prove their doubts have a foundation in the science. They don't have such proof. What we do know is that the main response to the CV19 infection is by T cells, which remains long after an antibody would in the absence of re-exposure. The notion of no herd immunity is equal to the dismissal of the possibility of a vaccine. The vaccine is simply the means to achieving herd immunity while saving us from having to undergo the actual infection. Mutations so far have not altered the virus into a new form without antigens recognized by the immune system of the recovered. If there are such mutations in the future (some >300 have been recorded as of a couple of months ago). This is direct quoting of the WHO (i.e. China) talking points emitted by their so called experts, who deny the existence of the knowledge of all related sciences in favor of their expressed unfounded doubts. They are literally "un-experts". Touting their authority under the WHO as superior to actual scientific knowledge that they dismiss as a matter of course. It is only they, holders of the magic staff that can pronounce what the science is. The "healthcare professionals" are career bureaucrats that had no idea what they were doing and did not flatten out anything. The virus had burnt out in the main epicenters via herd immunity. In regions where the virus was not yet endemic, the shut downs did stop its progress to herd immunity (and substantial deaths among the elderly and ill if those same "professionals" did what they had done before). As we can see in dozens of reopening countries and US states, the virus was not wiped out anywhere, but where it either didn't penetrate deeply into the population, and particularly where it had reached herd immunity in the population, such as NYC, NJ, Boston. I reject the notion that the shutdowns stopped endemic spread from continuing. If there are superspreaders then R was never 2.3. If T cell prevalence is going to continue measuring at 3 X antibody prevalence then the infection to confirmations ratio is on the order of 30 to 60. Thus the case number curves you follow with such worry are merely 2% of the actual number of infected. They are not representative of the virus' action on the vast majority of those infected. That also means that it is less deadly than a seasonal flu to the general population, and that the attempts to stop its transmission in the general population was a costly and deadly mistake. All the resources should have been focused on informing and protecting the high risk population. What the "healthcare professionals" did was panic and run in the wrong direction. Throwing the globe into a frenzied panic. And creating a global depression, particularly harsh in highly productive economies where services employ so many of the people. That while failing to protect the elderly and frail. How could that ever count as the slightest achievement?
  46. 5 points
    Texas has a unique advantage in ERCOT, and the blend of various power suppliers, and being the wind power capital of the US, helps. Thirty or so years ago ERCOT embarked on revitalizing the overall grid, it's ability to shift and adapt might be the best in the country. Power is generated mostly by commercial for profit wholesales, and various groups aggregrigate and sell resale. And for heavy industrial users, having their own power plant, with a grid tie in, is not unusual. It's a common negotiation tactic of large users for negotiating rates. Competition with many providers keeps the system honest, and the occasionally very high spot demand with very high spot buy wholesale power keeps the system with enough capacity. ERCOT facilities this model and was directed to embrace it probably twenty plus years ago, as opposed to the classic utility model focussed on power production. Commoditize production! The Tesla site itself is just about surrounded by gas electrical generation sites within a few miles, the wind corridor is far away, not unlike LA getting power from Hoover Dam. In Texas an entity like Tesla will in all probability contract for 100% clean energy, which is really a marketing scheme and they will pay a bit of a premium for it. More than a few organizations do that including my employer. I have the option even for my house, but won't pay the extra money to say I am 100% green. Of course that's a bit of misnomer since electricity is blended so to speak. And one of the largest coal generation facilities isn't that far away, and there is a nuclear facility feeding in as well. Every day is a elaborate bid process to provide power for the next day. Fremont/MUNI won't shut down because of Texas. The Central Texas site will take time to bring up and it will have serious ability to expand, which isn't an option in Fremont. Also close enough to San Antonio to leverage the supply chain infrastructure Toyota put in place for the their pickups. Far enough out of Austin to have access to relatively inexpensive housing, cost of living, and practicing sitting on two major highways. A logistal dream site. A big win for Central Texas. It is of the most balanced economic eco systems in the country. To your point, Texas, despite oil, gas, and coal interests some might say, is a leader in renewable energy, and it's driven by economics rather than politics. However it took politics to change the utility business model to commodize power generation with real competition. In parts of Texas the retail electrical grid is smart enough to where you rates are affected by time of consumption. So you electric car, cheap recharge while you sleep at night which helps the overall system. Technically speaking, you could sell electricity to the grid during peak times from your vehicle and charge at night. Nobody does, but folks thinking storage needs to be cheap as inexpensive production are wrong, you just need to make money on the filling the peak surge spot buy costs, which today is more about competing with diesel than gas. A ways to go, but it will get there.
  47. 5 points
    “Vaccine, vaccine, vaccine . . . that's all that has made a difference. And you don't need a president to get that going, or even Dr. Fauci. there are 137 companies working on vaccines and one or more will nail it.” Now keep in mind that there was never a vaccine for HIV, MERS or SARS. We never screamed that the sky was falling, we never considered a ‘new normal’ and we never mandated masks. When did we become victims and allow the media to control our lives?
  48. 5 points
    Ideally, they would have seen this coming and pre-released the maximum water they could, in advance of the water wave to come. I suspect this was not done, because the dam has suffered from feature creep. Now they have concerns about continuous power generation, shipping traffic through the locks and silt accommodation. Therefore they waited until it was basically too late to open the flood gates. Considering that when designed, the primary purpose of the dam was flood mitigation, I'd say they failed.
  49. 5 points
    Man, this is some seriously deranged stuff. Ward may be strident in his views, but "paid troll" he is not. Do try to lighten up.
  50. 5 points
    Agree with ^ To paint a mural in front of Trump Tower that suggests the president is racist is the most dishonorable thing I've ever seen done. If I were he, and if I could squeak out four more years, I'd cut off every damn cent to the city of New York. And I personally don't think NYC is going to be even a good shadow of its former self. Who but the bleeding hearts would want to go there, much less live there?