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  1. 21 points
    Excellent overview. Coronavirus hype biggest political hoax in history ANALYSIS / OPINION: The new coronavirus is real. The response to the coronavirus is hyped. And in time, this hype will be revealed as politically hoaxed. In fact, COVID-19 will go down as one of the political world’s biggest, most shamefully overblown, overhyped, overly and irrationally inflated and outright deceptively flawed responses to a health matter in American history, one that was carried largely on the lips of medical professionals who have no business running a national economy or government. The facts are this: COVID-19 is a real disease that sickens some, proves fatal to others, mostly the elderly — and does nothing to the vast majority. That’s it. That, in a nutshell, is it. Or, in the words of Dan Erickson and Artin Massih, doctors and co-owners of Accelerated Urgent Care in Bakersfield, California: Let’s get the country reopened - and now. “Do we need to still shelter in place? Our answer is emphatically no. Do we need businesses to be shut down? Emphatically no. … [T]he data is showing it’s time to lift,” Erickson said, in a recent interview. He’s right. They’re right. The data to keep America closed and Americans closed in simply doesn’t exist. If truth be told, it’s questionable it ever did. The scientists leading the coronavirus shutdown charge predicted in March that in America, between 100,000 and 250,000 would die. They based those estimates on computer modeling. But at the same time they were basing those estimates on computer modeling, they were acknowledging that computer modeling is inaccurate and errs on the side of hype. “I’ve never seen a model of the diseases I’ve dealt with where the worst-case actually came out,” said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and a member of President Donald Trump’s White House coronavirus task force, during a CNN interview in March. “They always overshoot.” Catch that? Fauci’s message: Computer models are flawed and inaccurate and always overestimate the problem. But from these faulty overinflated computer figures came all the constitutionally questionable actions by government anyway - from ordering businesses closed to quarantining-slash-house arresting American citizens to doing some quick and pitiful and economically painful income redistribution schemes via stimulus funds’ legislation. Since, about 56,000 have died in America due to coronavirus — or have they? Again, the facts are flimsy. Government ordered hospitals weeks ago to stop performing elective surgeries to make way for the projected numbers of coronavirus patients. So they did. And in so doing, they cut off their revenue streams. So Congress passed legislation giving hospitals billions of dollars to treat coronavirus patients. Conflict of interest? Yikes. Yes. The coronavirus counts, already flawed from computer modeling, were then given another flaw treatment. “[Pennsylvania] removes more than 200 deaths from official coronavirus count as questions mount about reporting process, data accuracy,” The Inquirer reported. Add to that the ever-changing nature of a virus that spreads by air and contact, and honestly, suddenly, even expert Fauci’s best guess is about as good as Joe Neighbor’s best guess. So that leaves common sense, combined with knowledge of past viruses, to guide. But the quote-unquote medical experts refused to go there, refused to acknowledge common sense, refused to compare with past viruses in any way that didn’t hype the coronavirus counts. This virus was different, Americans were told. This virus was far more contagious than anything ever before seen or studied, Americans were told. And any time the case counts dropped off and the numbers proved wrong, well, this was due to the social distancing and quarantining and face-mask wearing that Americans had been doing, by government’s order - Americans were told. It just didn’t make sense. It just doesn’t add up. It just didn’t, and doesn’t, justify the utter shredding of civil rights. And now some in the medical community, thank goodness, are starting to point out the glaring omissions of logic and fact that have plagued this overhyped, overreaching coronavirus crackdown that has stretched on far, far too long. Among some of Erickson’s remarks: “This is immunology — microbiology 101. This is the basis of what we’ve known for years: When you take human beings and you say, ‘Go into your house, clean all your counters, Lysol them down’ … what does it do to our immune system? … Sheltering in place decreases your immune system.” And this: “Any time you have something new in the [medical] community, it sparks fear — and I would have done what Dr. Fauci did … initially. … But you know, looking at theories and models — which is what these folks use — is very different than the way the actual virus presents itself throughout communities.” And this: “Do you think you’re protected from COVID when you wear gloves that transfer disease everywhere? … We wear masks in an acute setting to protect us. [But] we’re not wearing masks. Why is that? Because we understand microbiology. We understand immunology. And we want strong immune systems. I don’t want to hide in my home, develop a weak immune system and then come out and get disease.” And this: “When I’m writing up my death report I’m being pressured to add COVID. Why is that? Why are we being pressured to add COVID? To maybe increase the numbers, and make it look a little bit worse than it is. We’re being pressured in-house to add COVID to the diagnostic list when we think it has nothing to do with the actual cause of death. The actual cause of death was not COVID, but it’s being reported as one of the diseases processes. … COVID didn’t kill them, 25 years of tobacco use killed.” Does it get any clearer than that? Seriously, America. The only reason America is still in shutdown mode is political. Either politicians are too afraid to make any move that might come back to bite them politically or politicians are using this coronavirus to political advantage — to, say, pass gun control laws, like Virginia’s governor, Ralph Northam. Or to, say, float campaign hopes on the current ravaged economy, like former Vice President Joe Biden and oh, all the Democrats facing races. But for the rest of America - the rest of hardworking, freedom-loving America - it’s time to reel in the radically unconstitutional. “If you’re going to dance on someone’s constitutional rights, you better have a good reason - you better have a really good reason, not just a theory,” Erickson said. “The data is showing us it’s time to lift … so if we don’t lift, what is the reason?” That is the key question. As time goes by, the answer will only become more and more evident. The coronavirus may be real — but the hype is hoaxed. Now let’s just hope this is a one-time hoax that doesn’t roll around every time flu season approaches.
  2. 18 points
    Chris, I like your confidence but how is the world going to get moving again? About the only way I see that happening is if this virus is "seasonal" and goes into a silent pout on its own or the hydroxychloroquine turns out to be a silver bullet. IOW, I'm not at all sure that most people have peaked over the hill to see what lies ahead, post-coronavirus. I can't imagine restaurants, bars, barber shops, the DMV, people-to-people contact places opening up to business as usual until there's some assurance those people will survive the experience. Not to try to dampen your enthusiasm but I think we skipped right through the recession part and are now, very likely, in a depression. With depression era unemployment numbers (likely will reach 20-25%). I think the stock market will bottom out again, only much lower this time, probably to a Dow of 12,500--about where it was before the crash of 2008. What we are going through is going to take a few years to recover from as we're going to come out of it with the largest national debt ever imaginable by the drunkest of men. Inflation has to run rampant. About the only thing that can save the oil business right now is a massive infrastructure project across America, and a complete ban of across-the-water oil, at the same time putting a cap on prices at or about $60. I just don't see any other way out at this point--too much has occurred, too much demand destruction, too much debt-making and destruction, too much storage all across the world. We have reached a stage of oil warfare. Compare it: we were in medical or viral or call it what you will warfare with China since SARS, but let it go. We let this go, let our entire United States petroleum business go, we're looking at hostage prices.
  3. 16 points
    Source: AP Photo/Ted S. Warren The last few weeks have provided plenty of support for the political positions traditionally espoused by conservatives. Some of the evidence is so painfully obvious it's hard to believe there could be any dispute about it. And yet, disputes there are. In fact, the divisions in this country seem deeper than ever. As we approach the November election and beyond, it is vital that we understand the lessons current events teach us about what we're facing in our future. Here's a short and (very) incomplete list: 1. Our governments are shockingly weak. COVID-19 has revealed that the twin pillars of some city and state governments are hypocrisy and cowardice. Rules put in place to prevent the spread of the virus were strictly enforced when the would-be violators were Orthodox Jews and other worshippers, small-business owners and skateboarders. Ill and elderly people died alone, their loved ones forbidden from visiting them in hospitals and long-term care facilities. These sacrifices, we were told, were necessary to keep the public safe. But when the George Floyd protests exploded into the streets across the country, the narrative changed. "Social justice" became an exception to the infection rules, as if the virus would somehow distinguish between irate Black Lives Matter activists and frolicking beachgoers. Worse, the riots, arson, violence and secessionist colonies in major cities were allowed to take place with virtually no interference from law enforcement -- often at the express directive of city government. Statues and monuments were vandalized or torn down. Buildings were burned. Businesses were destroyed. People were harassed, assaulted, raped, shot and killed. All of this was done with impunity and under the watchful eye of governments that did nothing, for fear of being called "racist." The clear message is that rules are only enforced against the law-abiding, but the government will let you do whatever you like if it is afraid of you. 2. Never give up your Second Amendment rights. Is it not obvious now? The Second Amendment was not written to enshrine hunting as a protected constitutional right; it was written so citizens could protect themselves from oppressive government. Or, in our case, perhaps, weak and feckless government that allows criminals free reign. The chaos in Seattle, Portland, New York City and Washington, D.C., drove the point home that private citizens are on their own and can expect neither government nor law enforcement to help protect their lives and property. That will double when police are "defunded." 3. The media is relentlessly biased and deceitful. As exhibit A of the above, St. Louis attorneys Mark and Patty McCloskey made national news earlier this week when they confronted a group of protesters on their property in a heated exchange. The McCloskeys were armed, and the press was quick to cast them as the wrongdoers overreacting to "peaceful protesters." (As if we haven't watched riots and arson for the past three weeks characterized by the press as "protests.") Mark McCloskey and his attorney had to point out that the protesters had trespassed on private property, breaking down a wrought-iron gate to obtain access to their home, and that some of the protesters were armed and threatened the McCloskeys with violence. 4. No one can survive the ideological purity tests that are being administered to justify tearing down statues and monuments. And, in truth, they're not meant to. The attacks started with Confederate soldiers but quickly moved to the Founding Fathers (Washington and Jefferson), to presidents (Abraham Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt and Ulysses S. Grant) and even to Jesus Christ and his mother. The battle is really one to tear down Western civilization -- democracy, capitalism and Judeo-Christian values -- and replace it with a Marxist state. If you don't think this is their goal, you're not listening to them. 5. Ah, Marxism! The only example of perfect diversity. No matter where it has been tried, or by whom, Marxist regimes have failed spectacularly. Whether installed by whites (Russia and the rest of Eastern Europe in the old Soviet Union), Asians (China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, North Korea), Hispanics (Venezuela, Cuba, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Peru) or Blacks (Angola, Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia), Marxism invariably promises equality and utopia, and equally invariably results in government oppression, corruption, starvation, torture, imprisonment and death on a massive scale. 6. The highest praise for Marxism comes from those who have never lived under it. History shows that academics and the press in free countries (as opposed to those in the Marxist countries themselves) continue to praise and tout Marxist regimes, even when they are aware of their brutality. True of The New York Times in the 1930s. True of the New York Times today. 7. Yes, it can happen here. Historian Crane Brinton noted in his classic work "Anatomy of a Revolution" that the American Revolution was the only one of the four major upheavals he addressed that did not have a "Reign of Terror." But for all their criticism of the Founding Fathers, today'srevolutionaries seem to have a greater penchant for bloodshed, as we've seen with the antifa movement, violence in the lawless "occupied" zones, signs that say things such as "Murder Andy Ngo" (an independent journalist), the trending #FrenchRevolution hashtag on Twitter, a guillotine in front of Jeff Bezos' home and an enraged Ivy League student threatening to stab anyone who defends the universal importance of all lives. 8. It isn't about President Donald Trump. Those seeking to destroy the United States were committed to that objective before Trump was elected. They'll be just as committed when he's gone. Trump is obnoxious to them because he doesn't fear them or seek to mollify them like so many other politicians. They want a weak president who will capitulate to them as so many mayors and governors have done. We can't give them that.
  4. 16 points
    The governments everywhere are flailing because they were acting like headless chickens when the virus hit was confirmed. It was obvious that it would hit. They planned badly, The US did badly as well. Flying blind without tests because of CDC and FDA power games, which you can also interpret as deliberate sabotage. The WHO acted as a Chinese mouthpiece and its efforts in coordinating vaccine and treatment development are thus suspect. They may be just as well making sure that there is no vaccine or treatment to pass trials. It is typical for example of the NIH and FDA to structure trials and experiments by selecting patients for trial that can't react to a low cost treatment in order to keep away competition from a new patented drug. There is no reason for any European nation to support the WHO and collaborate with it. Its actions as a CCP sycophant disqualify it from any degree of trust. They know better than that. Trump was suckered into the lockdown guidelines. It was a mistake. He is trying to get out of it without having to admit that he was taken in by the establishment - aka "the swamp" - in their role as CCP shills and paid saboteurs and political enemies.
  5. 16 points
    To set the stage, I do not have a medical background, I am an engineer. Furthermore, I am just like everybody else as I to am forced to rely on questionable media sources for my information. That said, there seems to be little, or no, consensus between the various medical association, various doctors, or various politicians, regarding the present lethality of the corona virus, the level of infection, or the effectiveness of any treatment proposed. There also seems to be dissension among the ‘experts’ as to the necessity, or effectiveness, of these draconian lockdown measures. Everyone does seem to agree that the prevention measures presently in place are destroying economies and driving the world to the brink of a depression. For Americans, the trampling of the Constitution and the Bill of Rights is of grave concern. This whole corona virus issue reminds me of the climate change debate where we are willing to bet our livelihood and way of life on science which does not have the blessing of the entire scientific community and has hatched cheerleaders on both sides of the debate that rarely, if ever, actually understand the science supporting what they are cheering about. In regards to the corona virus issue, and the climate change debate, it appears that the blind are leading the blind.
  6. 16 points
    Readers might note that "Dumping" is a specific set of events in which surplus product is sold at prices below that commanded in the home country for the same product. Occasionally, Dumping is taken to mean selling at below the cost of production. There is no hard evidence - yet - that the KSA is selling that crude for less than equal-quality crude is internally sold. It is a bit of an abstract, as I assume that the production of petroleum goods inside KSA is all controlled by the State, and thus pricing ladders are artificial. That said, is there evidence that the oil itself has not already been sold to oil traders? Can traders "dump"? Probably not. I do not see any plausible way for anti-dumping laws to apply to the sale of Saudi oil at fire-sale pricing. Yo9u have this cheap oil everywhere, the world is awash in it. I would not put much stock into anything that Rick Perry says, he is a notorious dimwit. Can the Trump Administration impose import quotas? Yes, it can, and there is precedent for this. Readers are invited to review the combination of tariffs and quotas on construction lumber from Canada into the USA (a perennial sore point, for many decades, between them). Will Trump do that? My guess: no. The US economy benefits immensely from ultra-cheap oil. The users of oil products pay less, thus having more funds to spend on "something else." Or, as in the case of the air carriers, they can offer lower fares, once the hedging contracts run out. All that, cumulatively, puts more cash into individual pockets, be that corporations or individuals. More cash ultimately results in more spending, and greater levels of economic activity. OK, that is not so pleasant for the domestic oil industry, but it is what it is.
  7. 15 points
    Do others, reacting to fear, hype and flawed computer models have a right to close your business, take your job, ruin your livelihood and trample on the Constitution and the Bill of Rights?
  8. 15 points
    There are really 2 separate issues for conventional and unconventional shale fields. Most conventional fields are quite old, and have been using waterfloods for decades to keep the reservoirs pressurized and fluids moving. In a waterflood, you inject high pressure water on 1 end of the field and expect to recuperate that water + oil + gas on another end of the field. By continuously injecting water, you keep things moving underground through the rock pores. Now, if you shut in wells, you also need to stop injecting water, because the reservoir can only take so much. Once you stop injecting water, everything stops moving underground, the rock can swell, effectively closing the pores making impossible to restart the reservoir... or the oil can stick to the rock rather than flow through the water... there are many mechanics that would simply cause the oil to get trapped underground if we shut in these old conventional fields, and would take billions of dollars to get them restarted. So it's just not worth, better to produce the field at a loss for a few months than lose it forever. I would argue that unconventional shale fields are a lot easier to shut in and restart but in many cases there is a huge cost associated with that. Once a shale well is producing, if you shut it in for some time, sand will slowly accumulate in the horizontal effectively clogging the well off completely and there is nothing you can do to get this well back online without incurring huge costs by getting a crew out on location to clean out the well and bring it back online. So again engineers need to carefully evaluate the economics in this scenario to make sure that shutting in a well wouldnt end of causing more economic damage than just keeping the well online even through it is currently uneconomic. all this is to say... turning wells on and off isnt just a simple ordeal... you can turn them off for a couple hours, maybe a day, and not cause long term damage but shutting in some wells for a long period of time is essentially abandoning the asset.
  9. 14 points
    Watching the news in Malaysia this morning I saw where the rioters in the US were pulling down the statues of Confederate veterans, defacing historic sites (including the Lincoln Memorial), and demanding that US miliary installations named after Confederate Generals be renamed. In other news, British protesters and rioters were pulling down statues, defacing others (including those of Winston Churchil) and demanding institutions named after Cecil Rhodes be renamed. Slavery was a horrible institution, most agree on that.,But it needs to be seen in the historical context it existed in. Furthermore, almost every society, at some point, kept slaves (including South America, Africa and the Middle East). Slavery was NEVER a solely ‘white’ institution. The George Floyd/police brutality/racism narrative has now been highjacked. I have never owned slaves and neither have my ancestors. By the same token, no black alive today, in the US or UK, has ever been a slave in either the UK or the US. I refuse to buy into the white guilt or white privilege trip - I have neither. I am seeing ‘black entitlement’, which is unearned. I am to the point where I don’t give a rat’s ass about anyone who loots, burns down residences or beats people up for no reason. This is aggrevated robbery, arson and assault. I hope these people are arrested and prosecuted to the full extent of the law. I am sick of these people trying to rewrite history because they are ‘offended’. These rioters are entitled idiots have lost the plot and are doing more damage to their ‘cause’ than the Floyd murder created. I have zero respect for these rioters and will not shed a tear when they get what they deserve...regardless of their skin color.
  10. 14 points
    The Trump Administration is doing everything possible, and probably too much in some ways. Meanwhile his actions, and that of the entire government are being lied about by almost all of the mainstream media sources. They are guilty for much of the stock market losses and scare mongering going on. It is born out of the same desperation that the motivated the attempts to overthrow him since even before he was nominated and finally the phony attempt at impeachment. These lies are just more of the same.
  11. 13 points
    An upbeat success story about Natural Gas. For some reason, the media complains lately that Natural Gas is a reliable, cheap and abundant competitor to wind and solar - which are unreliable, expensive, and require backup systems for when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow. Seems to me that Natural Gas being reliable, cheap and abundant is a GOOD thing, not something to complain about. Natural gas is crushing wind and solar power ... Meanwhile, the United States continues to reduce its carbon emissions into the atmosphere at a faster pace than virtually every other country in the world. This is because natural gas is not just cheap. It is one of the cleanest ways to produce scalable and dependable electric power for a nation of 320 million people. We don't need brownouts in America as we saw in California, and natural gas is an excellent way to make sure the lights don't go out. It would be hard to find anything NOT to like about this great American success story: energy independence, reliable and inexhaustible supply, low prices, reduced power of the Middle East, Russia, and other OPEC nations, and cleaner air than at any time in at least a century. Yet liberal environmentalists are grousing about this good news. A recent Bloomberg news story exclaims in its headline: "Cheap Gas Imperils Climate Fight by Undercutting Wind and Solar Power." "Gas is such a bargain that it's being viewed less as a bridge fossil fuel driving the world away from dirtier coal toward a clean-energy future," the story tells us, "and more as a hurdle that could slow the trip down. Some forecasters are predicting prices will stay low for years, making it tough for states, cities, and utilities to achieve their goals of being zero-carbon in power production by 2050 or earlier." Ravina Advani, head of renewable energy at BNP Paribus, complained: "The fact that there's an abundance of it makes the move to complete decarbonization much harder … Gas is a tough competitor. It's reliable, and it's cheap." And that is bad news, why, exactly? It's like saying a cure for the coronavirus is bad for hospitals and doctors. Maybe it is high time we admit we have found for now the great energy source of the next few decades and celebrate that America is endowed with a vital resource that is abundant and affordable — just like our best-in-the-world farmland. The Left talks about eradicating "poverty," but "energy poverty" is a primary source of deprivation around the world. Now, there is an obvious solution: Natural gas could easily be the primary source of power production for the world as a whole, slashing costs for the poor everywhere on the planet from sub-Saharan Africa to Bangladesh. Instead, politicians and government bureaucrats around the world are trying to force-feed the world expensive, unreliable, and unscalable wind and solar power. The African Development Bank, for example, is only financing "green energy" projects, not coal or natural gas. It is substituting a cheap form of clean energy for a costly "green" alternative. Why? ... ... It's time to get smart about energy and climate change and throw asunder taxpayer subsidies doled out to all forms of energy production. Let the market, not politicians and environmental groups, choose the safest and most reliable and affordable energy source. Everyone is making a big bet on battery-operated cars and trucks. But who is to say that trucks and buses fueled with natural gas won't be the wave of the future? No one knows what makes the most sense and where the future will lead us. Nuclear power has great promise. But for now, the markets are shouting out for natural gas on a grander scale. Fifteen years ago, no one would have thought we would have a superabundance of this wonder-fuel today. But we do. No one is more surprised than politicians. Why do we let them keep betting the farm on the wrong horse?
  12. 13 points
    (My comment 1 of 2) Simple timeline for you to consider. Your mileage may vary. 1) War on drugs (unwinnable) 2) War on terror (unwinnable) 3) War on Global Warming ( *sigh* ) 4) War on Panic-demic (unwinnable) Each of these items in the timeline has a very specific thing in common: "voluntarily" giving up rights and freedoms in exchange for a false sense of security. See how that works? Also, I refuse to apologize for being a pain in the butt about my views.
  13. 12 points
    I had determined to stay above the fray but when I read these gleeful little quips from the, what, the "Biden Camp," I have to wonder: what exactly is it that you're so excited about? Joe Biden was clearly the poorest candidate in the history of presidential elections. He was bereft of charisma or talent, absent of history, and most importantly, clearly in cognitive decline. Under cover of a pandemic, he was kept in the basement of his home, learning historical facts that most of us here already know, reciting sharp little quips and jabs, trying to get it all together. We saw with our own eyes tens of thousands of people at the Trump rallies in such places as Kenosha and Lansing, then a frail, mentally lapsed Joe Biden holler at a few cars at his rallies and they pathetically honked back. After that amazing dichotomy we're supposed to believe that this poor wretch, this wisp of a man, this forgetter of Mitt Romney's name (the, the, you know, the Mormon man), actually won the most votes in presidential history? When voting irregularity after voting irregularity was pointed out and taken to court, Democrat-run courts refused to hear the allegations. The Supreme Court--that great and grand arbiter of fairness--refused to even sign a denial of record. This could well go down as their greatest mistake since the Dred Scott Decision, which by the way has yet to be reversed by the SC. But what I wonder about most is what you glib fellows, you handy-with-the-word men, really think you have to celebrate. Is the getting rid of a president who is hard to love but produced one victory after another for the United States of America and for the world? Was it worth the subterfuge to get such a man out of office? And what do you propose to replace him with? A Manchurian Candidate, one whose son enriched himself massively doing deals with companies with ties to the Chinese Communist Party? Maybe you don't believe that, and that is clearly your right. But get this: Hunter Biden joined up at age 43. He had to get his first waiver because of his age, but he stated clearly that he wanted to become involved in "naval intelligence." He had to get a second waiver because of a history of cocaine use. No one asked then why it was so important to become an expert in naval intelligence. Be that as it may, he became an ensign, only to get promptly bounced out on "administrative" discharge because of failing a cocaine test. Then he became involved with his dead brother's widow, at the same time refusing to assume responsibility for a child born to a stripper--until the DNA test came back positive. It's true, what they say about sins of your father, but it is equally true what they say about sins of your son. Joe Biden isn't his son. But he damn well knew his son was grifting on his coattails, if not benefiting personally from said grifting. It is quite possible--if the stories are correct--that we are electing as president the most compromised and corrupt man to ever occupy the chair behind the Resolute desk. It is almost a certainty that he is not cognitively intact. The election is in dispute: roughly 80 million people feel that the election was rigged, and some of them are Independents and Democrats. So I ask again, just what is it you're so gleeful about? What exactly about this particular situation leads you to make silly statements that are presupposed to be funny and clever? And that leads me to the next question, just how long do you think this charade can go on? I would say weeks to months. And then we are left with the charming Ms. Harris, who was so accomplished that she didn't survive the first debate in the Democrat primary against a dozen of her (clearly superior) peers. This is an oil and gas forum. Many of us have a spiritual and financial attachment to oil and gas. We recognize that some of you do not, have declared fossil fuels evil and the "last buggy whip factory." The rest of us pretty much tolerate that and actually try to learn from you: some of what you say carries some weight. The great wars could not have been won without oil and gas. I would wager than not one of us would be alive were it not for oil and gas--the pharmaceuticals, the surgical equipment, the heat in the winter and the cool in the summer. If oil and gas were to have its collective spigot turned off, the world would go hard and cold and unforgiving. The result would make the Covid pandemic seem like a sore throat. But still we let you spout, and we listen, and then we spout and you should listen. I doubt that you would treat us so shabbily if we were conversing over a gin and tonic, and mentioned in passing that we'd lost sleep worrying about Mr. Biden saying that he'd shut down fracking on federal lands the first day in office. It surely hasn't dawned on you that the person you're gloating over just vomited over the statement by Ms. Harris--soon to be President Harris--that she'd ban ALL fracking on the first day in office. Surely it didn't bother you that the livelihood of many of us here depends on oil and gas. And Selva, I'm not blaming you for this mess but I am calling you out to run an oilprice.com forum. You could sometimes open this forum and believe that you'd entered some sort of progressive workshop. We shouldn't all nod our heads the same direction but we shouldn't have to tolerate a giddy in-your-face because of an election of a pathetic candidate either. After this, I'm out of here: I can't stand the stench. And the attitude of people from all around the world who inhabit an oil and gas forum to satiate some wanton hunger to hurt someone. But I got off-track. I have to ask you again. What are you celebrating? The death of a king? The rise of a corrupt president? Tell me, what is it you're so proud of?
  14. 12 points
    Dead on accurate. Presented without my usual long winded comments. DEFIANCE – There are More of Us Than Them In April something was bugging me… a familiarity amid the COVID lock-down status & another time… I couldn’t quite put my finger on it until a dear friend reminded me. Many U.S. states are acting like the early 1980’s and the imposition of Martial law in Poland to target the Solidarity movement. Subsequently I wrote about it on a Twitter thread, because the parallels were really quite remarkable. Sacramento California, peaceful protesters confronted by riot police Both Poland circa 1980 and the U.S. friction in 2020, center around fragile economic issues. Both were an outcome of state control; and the key connection is government targeting control over the workers. In both examples the state took exclusive control of the economic and social state of the citizens, and the courts provided no option for redress. In both examples the state locked down the citizens and would not permit them to interact with each other. In 1981 the government in Poland initiated Martial Law and citizens were forced to communicate underground. In 2020 a considerable number of U.S. state governments locked-down citizens in similar fashion and banned citizen assembly. In 1981 in Poland the communist regime used economic psychological pressure, selecting workers permitted to earn wages. Those workers identified as “essential” to the state. In 2020 many State governors selected workers to earn an income by designating them “essential” to the state. In 1981 in Poland; communication amid the Solidarity Movement was forced underground. In 2020 many oppressive State governors demanded social media remove public content adverse to the interests of the Stay-at-Home confinement orders. Big Tech complied with the authoritarian dictate. In 1981 Polish authorities arrested anyone organizing protests against the authoritarian state. In 2020 numerous authoritarian officials arrested citizens for non-compliance with unilateral dictates. From a New Jersey governor arresting a woman for organizing a protect; to an Idaho mother arrested for allowing her children to play at a park; to a Texas salon owner arrested for operating her business. In 1981 Polish authorities had a program for citizens to report subversive activity against the state. Snitching. In 2020 New York City, LA and numerous state and local officials started programs for citizens to report non-compliant activity against the state. Similar snitching. In both 1981 Poland and 2020 USA we also see media exclusively creating ideological content as propaganda for the interests of the authoritarian state (controlling citizens). Interestingly, as we begin to see the American people saying “enough”, and openly defying the authoritarian state. There’s another parallel that is comparable, enlightening and quite remarkable. Just before the authoritarian state in Poland collapsed there was a rapid movement for the citizens to take to the streets in defiance of state control. I remember watching with great enthusiasm as I saw a very determined pole shout on television: Fast forward more than thirty years later and those glorious voices are prescient. The power of the government comes from the people; or as we say in the U.S. “from the consent of the governed.” Thus the underlying principle behind our defiance. If the people will lead, the politicians are forced to follow: If one person refuses to comply, government can and as we have witnessed arrest them. However, if tens of thousands rebuke these unconstitutional decrees, there isn’t a damn thing government can do to stop it…. and they know it. If one barber shop opens, the owner becomes a target. However, if every barber shop and beauty salon in town opens… there is absolutely nothing the government can do about it. If one restaurant and/or bar opens, the state can target the owner. But if every bar and restaurant in town opens; and if everyone ignores and dispatches the silly dictates of the local, regional or state officials… there isn’t a damned thing they can do about it. The power of the local, regional or state authority comes from the expressed consent of the people. As soon as the majority of people deny that consent, those officials and state authoritarians lose all of their power. Yes, it really is that simple. Go live your best life. You’re worth it. Sacramento, California
  15. 12 points
    This is exactly the type of scenarios that the Climate Panic crowd deliberately ignore. I really do get annoyed with the obtuseness of those who demand to magically convert the entire world to so-called "renewable" energy while they ignore the simple fact that these "renewable" energy systems require backup hydrocarbon energy systems. Double the cost, having both hydrocarbon systems and "renewable" energy systems. Germany’s overdose of renewable energy Germany now generates over 35% of its yearly electricity consumption from wind and solar sources. Over 30 000 wind turbines have been built, with a total installed capacity of nearly 60 GW. Germany now has approximately 1.7 million solar power (photovoltaic) installations, with an installed capacity of 46 GW. This looks very impressive. Unfortunately, most of the time the actual amount of electricity produced is only a fraction of the installed capacity. Worse, on “bad days” it can fall to nearly zero. In 2016 for example there were 52 nights with essentially no wind blowing in the country. No Sun, no wind. Even taking “better days” into account, the average electricity output of wind and solar energy installations in Germany amounts to only about 17% of the installed capacity. The obvious lesson is: if you want a stable, secure electricity supply, then you will need reserve, or backup sources of electricity which can be activated on more or less short notice to fill the gaps between electricity demand and the fluctuating output from wind and solar sources. The more wind and solar energy a nation decides to generate, the more backup capacity it will require. On “bad days” these backup sources must be able to supply up to 100% of the nation’s electricity demand. On “good days” (or during “good hours”) the backup sources will be used less, or even turned off, so that their capacity utilization will also be poor. Not very good economics. ...
  16. 12 points
    There is no logical reason for the American voters to wish to reject a second term of Donald Trump (assuming he is the candidate, which is likely, and assuming that his wife does not insist he retire from politics), The USA has effectively a two-party system. The opposition party is the democrats, and they seem incapable of mounting a credible candidate. Wht logical reason would any voter have, to vote for a Democrat candidate, when all they can trot out is some recycled Clintonite? Who needs those people? Nobody. The Chinese have lost all credibility among Ameerican voters. An argument could be made that the corn growers in Iowa might be angry that the market for their crop, and for soybeans, has evaporated, but remember that Mr. Trump can win an election without the delegate votes of Iowa in the Electoral College. The key states are those that "flipped" from Dem to Repub in the last election: Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, and Iowa. That brought Trump to 303 electoral votes, and you only need 270 to win. Trump can lose Iowa. The Americans are going to separate themselves from China. Nothing that China can do is going to deflect that. Is China going to dismantle the Communist Party, remove itself from Tibet, remove itself from Xingjiang and fre the Uighurs, give up the South China Sea, renounce intentions of seizing Taiwan, and start to behave? No chance. So, why should the Americans (or anyone else) have any truck with that crowd? "Trade War truce?" There isn't going to be any trade, forget about those guys. Will China disintergrate internally without the cash influx from sales to the Americans? Probably. Nobody cares about China any more. China is done.
  17. 12 points
    Nope. BUSTED: Media Uses VA ‘Study’ To Launch Easily Debunked Attack On Hydroxychloroquine Read the ^ article. And here is an analysis of this article: The Department of Veterans Affairs study (Outcomes of hydroxychloroquine usage in United States veterans hospitalized with Covid-19) being pushed by the media right now is not a randomized control study, nor has it been peer reviewed. It is a retroactive analysis. The problem with retrospective analysis is that it relies upon secondary data where researchers have no control over how the data was initially collected, essentially making any conclusions in such research studies biased or incomplete. The VA study being pushed by the media right now only involved 385 patients, of which only 368 males between the ages of 59 and 75 were evaluated. From the study: “…hydroxychloroquine, with or without azithromycin, was more likely to be prescribed to patients with more severe disease, as assessed by baseline ventilatory status and metabolic and hematologic parameters. Thus, as expected, increased mortality was observed in patients treated with hydroxychloroquine, both with and without azithromycin.” Given the various clinical characteristics of the patients shown in the study, and the fact that differing treatment protocols were given for various underlying morbidities, it is not possible to accurately determine the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine from this retrospective analysis. From the study: “…we cannot rule out the possibility of selection bias or residual confounding.” In other words, the study does not account for variables that influence both dependent and independent variables. In this case, associated variables pertaining to morbidities are not causally related, essentially making the any conclusions about the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine unreliable. From the study: “Our findings may also be influenced by the demographic composition of patients in our cohort, the majority of whom were black.” 236 of the patients used in this study were black. The median age for the patients was over 65 years. Correlations regarding mortality pertaining to age and race were not established in the documentation of this retrospective analysis, so the study’s conclusions about treatment efficacy are inadequate. The documentation of this retrospective analysis does not indicate anything about the usage of zinc. Given that the hypothetical anti-viral mechanism of hydroxychloroquine is to open the cellular pathway for zinc, the analysis from the VA is incomplete. Hypothetically, hydroxychloroquine allows zinc to enter cells, inhibiting the replicase enzyme, effectively preventing COVID-19 from replicating. The political left is acting as if this study proves that the treatment touted by President Trump is somehow tantamount to snake oil. Given the weaknesses of the study, those who espouse such an opinion are clearly wrong. As you are reading this, the media is conducting a coordinated effort to promote this particular study to discredit and tarnish the President and his supporters. They are pushing what amounts to a false narrative, and people may very well die because of it. Here is a link to the study: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.16.20065920v1.full.pdf ====================================================================== https://twitter.com/ScottFantasy/status/1252786512808292360
  18. 12 points
    As JFK said, the trick is to surround yourself with competent people (paraphrases). Does Trump have an in-depth knowledge of the oil industry? I doubt it. This is similar to him having an in-depth knowledge of military operations or the mining industry. It is ridiculous to assume that he has an in-depth knowledge of each and every industry. That said, he does understand business, and he will have advisors for each segment of industry.
  19. 12 points
    ^ I'm a baby boomer. A lifelong runner. A mountain climber. A biker. And wouldn't you know it, I contracted a bad disease a few years back that left me with only one functioning lung. So, at age seventy-five, I'm in the highest risk category. If this gets really awful, and I present to the ER with say 120 other C-virus victims, I'm going to get triaged to the parking lot. And I'm okay with that. I'm not suicidal and very few people appreciate life more than I, but I think if we come out of this with our same bloated population of elderly people (all that 90 is the new 50 bullshit) and a badly damaged economy, we're in a world of hurt. 90% of Medicare is spent in the last year of a person's life, 25% in the last month. I've had a good run. Most of us have. Yes, protect the economy. Believe it or not, with age comes a modicum of a special kind of wisdom: old people understand the need for a strong economy. Without it there is no future for our children and grandchildren. And that's paramount for most of us.
  20. 12 points
    Should I hazard a guess that some people would prefer China's CCP authoritarianism and EU's Socialism headquartered in Brussels to conquer Capitalism? Thanks but no thanks. CCP has bungled badly with its mishandled coverup and subsequent explosion of Coronavirus. EU budget is now €75 billion in the hole after the UK extracted itself from the EU's Borg collective.
  21. 11 points
    I've had Frankie on ignore but I can tell by the title he's back to doing the wumaodang's bidding. I've been following the news in Taiwan, they are the ones who released a lot of the most incriminating Biden dirt including full backgrounds on the parties the American media ignored (well let's be honest, the media could not have ignored more if they tried, which they did). Taiwan knows full well Biden will sell them down the river, it was arranged in advance. This means China gets TSMC, which means every single semiconductor you've heard of and a lot you haven't is going to be under their complete control. That is the prize. America can't build a Class 10 Fab overnight and we don't have the support infrastructure for post fab work anymore, thanks to years of neglect. We certainly have the best chip designers in the world, I used to work at one, but everyone went fabless in the 90's and TSMC was the beneficiary.
  22. 11 points
    My guess is that the Wall Streeters find management to be "stodgy." If management has no collective intellectual "push," then the worker bees are not going to undertake risk. That dooms the enterprise to sloth. I invite you to take the "military contractor" complex as an aggregate and consider it one gigantic corporation, with revenues of $800 Billion. It has a huge payroll, staggering capital assets, and can and does raise capital at whim for basically nothing. Are those contractors bid through the roof? Nope. There is some intellectual creativity going on, such as "stealth" technology, but it is massively inefficient, so it internally chews up huge sums that would otherwise go to investors as dividends. And therein lies the problem, (in my limited view). Exxon is a bloated bureaucracy. It has the capital to go buy out competitors, and it has, but it does not learn from its mistakes. take the Exxon Valdez, the ship that had the drunken captain and ran aground and busted open. When the ship was finally salvaged it was towed down to drydock in San Diego and re-hulled. It was single-hulled; was it rebuilt with a double bottom? Nope. It was rebuilt to the original blueprints, then the ship re-named, then sent back out again on some other run. At least it did not get sent back to Alaska. Now, is that smart management? Nope. You just had a disaster with one design format. Why set yourself up for exactly the same disaster in the same format? Fix it (or scrap it) and do the double-bottom. But those giant outfits do not do that; they just chug along, and that sluggishness crushes the independent mentality you need for innovation in the enterprise. Without innovation, someone else will eat your lunch. The Fracking boom amply demonstrated this. Who would have thought of horizontal fracturing of tight oil rock? Entrepreneurs do. Exxon managers do not. I am no longer going to be posting much if anything here, getting tired of the CCP ranting. For the record, I am not a Trump Supporter. That said, I also grant that he has done remarkable things, and is emphatically not the stupid dummy that the CCP crowd wants to make him out to be. Specifically, his aluminum tariffs have single-handedly saved the entire US primary aluminum industry. With nothing more than vision and a stroke of a pen. Ditto with a number of other industries, so you CCP guys can go make insults all you want, in the end he accomplished what the Congress could not. The thousands who now have decent-paying jobs will continue to thank him. Trump's major failure was in not hiring me for his Cabinet, but you cannot really blame him, his staff has obviously not told him I even exist (and our paths never crossed even once in NYC, interestingly enough). Can the US be revitalized under Trump? Of course it can. He is probably more competent than Reagan, so you underestimate Trump at your peril. Cheers to all of you who are looking at this and the oil industry in an intellectually detached way. Oil is going to be around for a very, very long time to come.
  23. 11 points
    Protesters have brought this on themselves when they started beating innocent people in the streets, started looting stores, set communities on fire, and started over running the police forces. Not all riots come to National Guard being involved, its only after local police forces lose control of situation and they have. if your solution is to not get National Guard involved and just let this play out on its own then we see things from completely opposite view points. My wife is a RN and makes her commute to a city that is dealing with these protesters right now and you bet your ass I welcome the National Guard if that what it takes to keep these animals from harassing my wife on the way to work or dropping my child off at day care. I know if my town had these rioters making there way down the street past my house I'd welcome them. National guard isn't the problem, Trump isn't the problem, white people aren't the problem, the problem is people who don't know how to function in society and they will hopefully be dealt with one way or another. Its not that I'm not sympathetic, but my sympathy lies with small buisness owners who have lost everything, my sympathy is for the innocent who have been caught up in the middle of this, and my sympathy is with people who really were trying to have a meaningful protest and had all of it overshadowed by these animals.
  24. 11 points
    The Chinese are incredible negotiators. And Westerners, in almost every case, are incredibly gullible. Acting almost as clones, the Chinese: 1. Meet with the target foreign interested concern (FIC) and feign surprise when the FIC "enlightens" them to the possibility of selling the proposed 51%/49% (Chinese/FIC) joint venture's (JV) widgets not only to the FIC's markets, but to the Chinese market as well. This is trap #1. When the FIC thinks they see "enlightenment" in their Chinese partner, they begin to believe they have a motivated (by greed) partner and that this is a restriction (local market) they can get around, with the eager help of their newly enlightened partner. They believe, high on the prospect of selling their widgets to the Chinese market, they have made a breakthrough with this particular partner which will translate into access to markets they have been told they would not have access to. The FIC will report back to headquarters that "even if we only get 1/4 of the Chinese market that is (breathlessly) OVER 250 MILLION CONSUMERS! Now the trap has spread, and the FIC CEO starts making arrangements to expand investment and to make the next trip to meet the partners in person. 2. On the next trip/meeting, the CEO is eager to make an expanded deal; why else would he/she have come all this way? The Chinese partners show them the proposed site(s) for the shiny new JV. The CEO can easily see that the site(s) need an urgent injection of cash, but the Chinese side tells them, sadly, that the government Bureaucracy in charge of providing JV capital moves very slow. That everything else is ready to move forward, everything, just not the Chinese side's money. So sorry. Trap #2 - The site(s) may not even be under the Chinese partner's control, let alone ownership, AND, more times than not they never had any significant capital to begin with. Undeterred and seeing his opening, the CEO will pledge to get the JV a generous $1-5 million cash advance from the FIC's side immediately after returning to headquarters (some are even more efficient and make the transfer before they leave China). The Chinese partner will show amazement at the FIC partner's capabilities and commits to getting the site(s) up and ready for production to begin right away, say 6 months' time? In fact, could the FIC partner go ahead and send some or even all of the production machinery necessary? 3. The FIC CEO confers with his "delegation" to see if they could send machinery too. They decide it is possible, but they would need to have "their man" on the ground for the installation. The Chinese side, acting a bit humbled by such gestures of goodwill, consider this. They know they can get the machinery through Customs, which is a big job anyway and nobody can be sure how long it will take (about 1 week ), but they have not made accomodation for a foreign worker yet. And since they don't know how long it will take for the machines to clear Customs (maybe 3 days ), it's probably not a good idea to have the FIC's man sitting in a hotel for weeks, just waiting there. The Chinese will suggest that the FIC go ahead and send the machines AND the floor plans and they will try their best to get the plant set up by themselves. Trap #3 - The only things the Chinese partner wants are the floor plans and the machines, one of which will be "lost" for reverse engineering. The CEO will again confer with his "delegation" and decide, why not, we have a signed contract (in a country with no neutral arbitration and contract laws that favor ONLY the Chinese partner), and they make the arrangements to send the Chinese everything they need. They agree that a working team will return in 6 months, if all goes well, to get the machinery up and running, begin training the local staff (which doesn't exist) and get ready to open the production lines. 4. Six months later and the working team arrives. They are met at the airport by an interpreter and transported in a NEW small fleet of high-end western cars and vans to their hotel to rest for a day or two. Then they are taken to the JV site(s), where they immediately see that nothing has happened. The machines are there (minus 1 that was apparently "lost") but still in their crates. The buildings have not been cleaned and upgraded as promised and there are very few people around except for a shabby looking security guard. AND the Chinese partner's senior management team is nowhere to be found. Back to the hotel, calls are made to headquarters who order the working team to demand a meeting immediately with the Chinese partners. Frantic interpreters promise to make this happen, and it does a few days later Mind you, the meeting is with the newly appointed senior management team and nobody has met before, except maybe the interpreter is the same as the first meetings. They also note that the interpreter has another "trainee" interpreter with him/her. The team soon learns that the Chinese partners are in Beijing working on approvals for licensing and funding (still)! The team plods forward with their meetings in an effort to find out what is going on and what is needed to get things back on track (250 MILLION CONSUMERS ARE WAITING!). It slowly comes out that there was a big misunderstanding (or quite a few actually). You see, the Chinese side says, we meant that we needed the machines to prove to the authorities that our FIC partners were serious. They thought that would get the government to release the funds needed to get going. "Didn't you understand that?" More phone calls, more delays. "No, that was not what we were told" The interpreter is called out in the middle of the meeting and berated severely, as all of this misunderstanding must be his/her fault! The interpreter is replaced on the spot by (isn't that handy) the less talented but available "trainee" interpreter. Assurances are made that this embarrassing set of circumstances will not be allowed to happen again. So, back to business. Where were we? Oh yes, so where is the $X million we sent you? What? The interpreter didn't tell you what that money was needed for either? Lots of heated embarrassed discussion goes on in front of the team, and then, slowly, it subsides. Silence. The team leader asks the new interpreter: so what do we do now? Shrug. Just wait a moment please, Manager Xi is waiting for some information and must talk to the partners. Let's meet again tomorrow, okay? Tomorrow. Manager Xi informs the team where the money that was sent before had to be used (don't mind those shiny new vehicles outside): X had to be used to pay off old debt (What?!), X had to be used to pay off old electric bills and upgrade the electrical supply for your machines, X had to be paid to Beijing for approvals, X had to be used to staff the JV (still no sign of these people), etc. etc. etc. The team asks "So, is there any of that money left? (No, sorry) What about the funding from your side? Has that been approved/released?" Answer "No, that's why the owners are in Beijing, and it doesn't look good. They think it might take another few months, or maybe, maybe, a little bit longer. Trap #4 - They can't get up and running without another injection of cash. This goes on for month after month until you have a working factory, you have given over your blueprints and designs (because what would happen if any of the machines were to breakdown in the middle of production? And that's what they demand in exchange for 250 MILLION CONSUMERS WAITING! Finally, if they don't need your expertise anymore, they will trump up charges against your company and your team and throw the lot of you out, never to return. There is no real recourse in the Chinese courts, and YOU agreed to those terms anyway. You have no leg to stand on, and may well be on your way to bankruptcy, while the Chinese own your designs and your markets and your sales contacts and everything else. Have a nice day. Sorry it didn't work out. I saw this play out dozens of times and the U.S. Consulate people I was in contact with shared devastating numbers of times that this same scenario was replayed. We're talking thousands of companies every year. And I guarantee you there are still companies going in today that will fall for the same things, all in the pursuit of those same 250 MILLION CONSUMERS(!) that have absolutely no interest in your widgets.
  25. 11 points
    In my personal opinion, there are simply too many people involved in the issue who simply want to make a buck or a reputation out of this pandemic at this point.
  26. 11 points
    "I have read repeatedly in articles that some types of oil reserves and some of the equipment used for extraction can take damage when production has to be stopped, implying that you cannot simply pause production and restart once demand bounces back. Could you please help me out with explanations and links to understand why this is the case? I am aware of economic damage which can endanger the company, I am asking explicitly for technological/geological/chemical/physical factors here. " It is a huge question, from a Petroleum Engineering perspective equivalent to how long is a piece of string, but I am going to take a shot at it anyway as a 34 Year PE how could I resist. Please accept that these are broad brush strokes, there will always be exceptions, the range of reservoir and fluid types that we work with and produce is vast; but I will lay out some 'rules-of-thumb' that will demonstrate the majority of cases that would result. In the majority of cases, shutting in a well will result in increased production post shut-in, for a variety of reasons but mostly due to the increased pore-pressure as the draw-down into the reservoir is eliminated and the average near wellbore pressure equates with the average reservoir pressure. Increased pore-pressure due to the elimination of draw-down, this means that when the well is started up, as the drawdown into the reservoir is redeveloped that there is more available pore-pressure for the Productivity Index (PI) to work with, assuming not on a fixed choke at the surface. Increased pore-pressure, will have multiple effects on solution-gas (e.g. if the Pressure Build-Up PBU crosses the bubble-point), condensate environments (or the dew-point), other depositional environments (some other phase envelope), again resulting in improved flow before the lower-pressures re-establish themselves. Increased pore-pressure, will reduce the effective stress (Terzhagi), which will result in less stress on the proppant pack in a hydraulically fractured well and unpropped or natural fractures retaining more conductivity; this is the reason why some parties carefully manage post-frac flowback for example (to minimize stress on a proppant pack). Gravity segregation, depending upon duration, certainly within proppant-packs (several 1,000 Darcy) this would be a real effect and water/gas/oil would separate, that could have a positive or potentially slightly negative effect on well restart, though in time the balance would likely be restored. ... In some cases, shutting in a well will potentially result in reduced productivity, for a variety of reasons some of the biggest culprits of which I will summarise here Cross-flow, with more than one reservoir open in a vertical (or multiple fracs in a horizontal), variation in near-wellbore pressure will result in crossflow taking place during shut-in, debris, solids, water and unwanted material can cross-flow into these zones, this is particularly bad with cased/cemented/perforated as perforations can plug (surging on start up with the additional pore-pressure available can help). Waxes, Paraffins, Hydrates and other depositions in the Tubing/Wellbore, some wells are so paraffin/wax prone that to shut them in without thoughtful suspension can make start-up a difficult operation, wells like this should be circulated and soaked to a sympathetic fluid, note this is also an opportunity to soak a stimulation in these wells. ... This list is not exhaustive, every cup of tea I have I am sure I could add another 2 or 3 items, but some of the major effects noted here, on the whole I would say that there would be little detrimental behavior. I have also noted that Waterflood has come up a few times, and I believe that the misperception is that the water is sloshing around in the reservoir like water in a tank. The reality is that the velocities of the streamlines are very low indeed, and in fact I would go as far as to say that there is as much evidence that stopping and starting a waterflood could be beneficial as there is indicating that it could be damaging. Interestingly not great deal of work in the published arena in this area, but i expect there will be some pretty eager MSc students right now.
  27. 11 points
    Jimmy, he is briefed on the oil price. I doubt he has it on his laptop. If the briefer gets it wrong, so does he. I really do not think people realize how much information Trump, or any Head of State, is juggling in their heads at any given time, let alone in these times. To expect Trump to be an expert in, and knowledgable about, each and every industry or issue is irrational.
  28. 11 points
    Just spitballing: Suppose there's no deal and prices stay low. Shale production dips temporarily, but stabilizes the second oil prices rise, a la 2014-2016. Shale workers suffer, the US loses its net exporter status, and OPEC retains some market share. Most OPEC nations can't balance their budgets at these low prices, so allowing the market to run its course merely delays their inevitable decline while introducing price instability. Overall, not a great result for the US. Suppose there's a deal and prices increase a bit. Those prices still won't be high enough to stimulate much shale drilling. The net benefit to shale workers would be negligible, the US would still likely lose its net exporter status, and US consumers would lose the benefit of ultra-low prices. OPEC still experiences that long-term instability. It doesn't seem like there's much in this for the US. Suppose there's no deal, but the US government decides to protect its market share. This could be accomplished through a cocktail of tariffs, sanctions, waived regulations, fast-tracked project approvals, reduced royalties, low interest rates, letting OPEC nations fall into chaos, and perhaps even actively stoking conflict. Prices would rise little more than if the US struck a deal with OPEC, except this time the US gains market share, protects shale workers, remains a net exporter, etc. There's a lot for the US to like about this scenario. All of that said, does the US really need to strike a deal? It seems to me that we hold all the cards. Why not lend shale oil some support while letting OPEC producers fight among themselves? It would be easy to keep the industry afloat until the dust settles. On that note, there's a ready-made conflict brewing in the Middle East: Iran keeps chucking missiles at US bases. Meanwhile, the US appears to be withdrawing troops to Western Iraq. From this location, it's more difficult for Iran to target US troops - but those troops remain perfectly capable of unleashing chaos. I also noticed that Trump has ordered the military to prepare a plan for striking Iranian-backed terrorist groups. What happens to Iraqi oil production if conflict erupts on its soil? What happens to Saudi production if there are more attacks on its infrastructure? Bad things, I imagine. And we're one incident away from that happening. Now, if I were the intelligence agencies, generals, and elites planning such disruption, I'd want to do it with a minimum of damage to my own economies. The problem in the past was that any disruption to Middle Eastern supplies would cause skyrocketing oil prices, upsetting The Voters. Today, that seems not to be the case. We have plenty of new production queued up, inventories are rapidly reaching their upper limits, there's a domestic industry to protect, citizens are distracted by a pandemic, and oil traders have been conditioned out of their old panicky habits by the Saudi infrastructure attack. If there were a time to initiate Middle Eastern chaos, the next 2-3 months would be it. Maybe I'm missing something, but I don't see how the US walks away from this empty handed.
  29. 11 points
    Let’s see....the world is set up to run on oil. The world is now swimming in CHEAP oil. Yep, guess you’re right, it sure looks like the end of the oil era! You can apply your EUROPEAN Green Deal to Europe if you like, but please leave the rest of us out of it while you freeze in the dark.
  30. 11 points
    Illegal immigration is ILLEGAL. The EU really is turning into the Borg collective. Happy I'm back in the U.S. where it is slightly less Borgy. See 90 second video in this tweet: https://twitter.com/OrtaineDevian/status/1231426342933000192 Quote from EU official to media: "Criticism of migration will become a criminal offense. And media outlets - that also concerns you - that give room to criticism of migration, can be shut down." Hey EU ministers, illegal immigration is ILLEGAL. Illegal immigration sucks, and the EU should feel bad that criticism of it is going to be illegal. Apparently EU ministers are unable to handle legitimate criticism. Will this forum be shut down in the EU because this forum (so far) allows me to criticize illegal immigration? P.S. all the EUphiles here - please feel free to criticize me. I can take it. Illegal immigration is destroying the EU. Illegal immigration is destroying the U.S. Don't like what I said? Let's debate it civilly, instead of making it illegal in the EU to say what I just said.
  31. 11 points
    MbS is a little boy who never was told no. Putin probably told him that it wasn't feasible for them to turn down production in Siberia, and he didn't take it well and three a hissy fit. The point is patience: with time, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will go bankrupt. People are telling him that, as best they can. When you have a guy like that in charge of about 50% of the world's oil, you get messes like this. Again, this isn't Putin's doing. This is on MbS. He is a child. I doubt he lives to be an old man. With his foolish act he has harmed some very important people very badly.
  32. 11 points
    Guys, The OPEC members are national oil companies, the Russian firms are also essentially national oil companies. That said, cuts can be mandated by the government. The companies in the US are independent from the government. If the government tried to impose a cut, not only would it be ignored, it would be illegal (price fixing). You are trying to compare apples to oranges.
  33. 10 points
    No, Western Countries would happily seize all oversea China personal assets and use that for compensation for loss in a sanction with China. This means all the red capitalists would see their assets value evaporated and food and energy would be a problem. I wonder if Xi can demand such a sacrifice from the internal CCP themselves for Taiwan. Why should anyone care about the enemy's assets or loans? And with the tech innovation evolving speed nowadays, soon China would be far far behind and would they pay Russian oil with RMB? US would be happy, Japan, Korea would be happy, Germany would be happy. Can China have great innovation from sticks without resources? Deng was able to make the border war with Vietnam in 1979 to consolidate power because China had nothing to lose back then after the great lead forward and the great culture revolution (and partly most of the Vietnamese battalions was in Cambodia)
  34. 10 points
    What you are seeing is a microcosm of what goes on in the greater society. There is this loss of self-restraint, a grab for power without consideration of the consequences. Look, this Forum is for the community membership, not the self-aggrandizement of some moderator. If the members want to spend some time conferring on election issues, hey, it is not strictly "oil," but so what? Let the members decide what they want to post about. Ultimately, the climate inside Washington is going to determine the shape and flows of the international oil markets, so it is not as if it is totally out in left field. These are serious issues. For example: assume Mr. Trump is re-elected. It is plausible that the US will retract from Middle-east entanglements and leave the Arabs to their own devices. Will that re-shape world oil markets? You bet it would! If Mr. Biden is elected, then the Obama/Clinton hangers-on in that coming Administration will once again re-energize the Trans-pacific Partnership, and re-boot China into the top slot of world manufacturing. That will have significant consequences for the minerals, oil, and coal trades. It will also doom the US aluminum-ingot, steel smelting, and various recycling efforts to disaster, all will flow over to Mainland China. I predict it would also result in Chinese shipyards taking far more than the current 49% of shipbuilding tonnage, mostly away from Korea and Japan, two staunch allies of the USA. What that does for instability on the Korean Peninsula is anybody's guess, but it is not good. These are serious issues, and the censorship of the "moderators" is not helpful.
  35. 10 points
    Guys We lived through the greatest era of world history; post WWII through, you pick the year it ended. The United States with all her flaws was indeed a shining city on a hill. The US fought tyranny and liberated the defenseless. The US fed the hungry. The US stood for freedom. The US created immense wealth across the globe. It's over. Power hungry politicians in the US do not work for the benefit of the citizens. Indoctrination masked as education has left us dumb. Belief in economic theories which have NEVER brought positive economic results now prevail. There is no longer a sense of responsibility or integrity in the average American. The high water mark of this grand experiment is over likely having seen it's peak in the 1990's. Blame whomever you want but the Media is at the forefront of the demise. Societally destructive technology maimed the minds of the young who now find themselves pitted against the a country which delivered so much to so many. I get little sleep some nights thinking what my 20 and 17 year old girls face. Maybe it's just normal to worry as the world changes and my views don't? I don't think so. Our country used to be united against socialism. Today we are moving at warp speed into adopting socialism. In the words of the great David Byrne of the Talking Heads .... My God, What have we done
  36. 10 points
    Peter Zeihan's latest newsletter. Pretty strong stuff. Thoughts? A Failure of Leadership, Part II: How To Lose Friends and Mobilize People Against You By Xi Jinping (and Peter Zeihan) on May 14, 2020 The propaganda out of China of late has been…notable. Beijing has accused the French of using their nursing homes as death camps, has blamed Italy for being the source of the coronavirus (at the very peak of Italian deaths), has charged the US Army with bringing the virus to China in the first place, has thrown a “fact sheet” of truly disbelievable disinformation at the fact-oriented Germans, and turned the country’s ambassadorial core into cut-rate tabloid distributors – all while leaning on anyone and everyone from the United Nations to the World Health Organization to the European Union to regional legislative bodies to alternatively suppress and delete any information or analysis that does anything but laud China, as well as push them to take public stances that slobberingly praise China. In doing so the Chinese have seemingly deliberately wrecked their relations with the Americans, French, Italians, Germans, Czechs, South Africans, Kazakhs and Nigerians, just to name a few. (The Swedes had all but ended their diplomatic relationship with China – having come to the public conclusion that the Chinese government was a pack of genocidal, power-mad, information-suppressing, exploitive, ultranationalists – before COVID.) Nor are these disturbing shifts limited to the realm of foreign disinformation. Propaganda at home is boiling in a new direction as well. Overt, blatant racism is the core of the new program, with the government expressly blaming foreigners of all stripes for coronavirus in specific and China’s ills in general. Everything from restaurants to buses to gyms are banning foreigners. As a rule the government edicts are color-blind, but there are plenty of stories out there of this or that municipality or establishment singling out this or that nationality or skin color for…special consideration. And the invective will get more offensive and self-destructive and seemingly stupid. China’s propaganda offensive April was done by the professionals – the folks at the head of the Ministry of Truth-, er, Foreign Affairs. All the lies and everything that demeaned and insulted countries in the grips of the coronavirus was expressly deliberate and sanctioned from the top, with the ambassadorial core directed to follow suit. (For those of you who like names, watch spokesman Zhao Lijian, a man who enjoys Chairman Xi’s personal sponsorship). But we aren’t in April any longer, and China’s propaganda effort has become more diffuse, adopting more of a mob mentality. Now the entire governing apparatus has been unleashed, including agencies and bureaus down to the local level who normally have nothing to do with public relations, much less official propaganda. There is no longer a cohesive storytelling effort a la the Soviet style of propaganda. It is as if the Chinese equivalent of the MAGA crowd and the Bernie Bros are suddenly part of the propaganda effort, working alongside – or at least in parallel to – the Voice of America and the State Department. The April propaganda was sophomoric and moronic, particularly at influencing foreign audiences or achieving some sort of strategic goal. In May it has already degraded into the realm of the infantile. My personal favorite was when an apparatchik made a lovely post stating “We condemn the fatso to death” with the “fatso” in question being US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Considering the ultrafine mesh the Chinese internal censorship dragnet has been using of late, that particular post’s ongoing longevity is a testament to just how holistic the CCP’s effort has become. In the past few weeks the Chinese have deliberately destroyed three decades of efforts to build up soft power. I have never seen this sort of influence collapse, much less on a global scale. Even the Soviet fall saw Moscow retain influence throughout Latin America, Africa and the Middle East…and then the Soviet Union collapsed. The Trump administration just lost their Olympic gold in Gravitas Destruction to the Xi administration, and not by a small margin. So…what the hell? Hong Kong The Party may be descending into narcissistic ideology, and the Han Chinese may have always had a superiority complex based on a superiority complex, and we all may be a bit aghast at both the new tone and substance of Beijing’s foreign policy, and CCP is too paranoid, controlling, arrogant and bunkered to pretend to lead anything on a regional – much less global – scale, but I think we can all accept that the Party is not run by a bunch of morons. The explanation is unfortunately very simple: the Chinese leadership is well aware that soft power isn’t what is going to solve the problem they see. There’s some guidance as to the CCP’s thinking in how the propaganda effort is being explained within China, and it doesn’t bode well for the future. Semi-officially, the CCP called the April (official) effort Wolf Warrior diplomacy, in reference to a recent (and wildly popular) Chinese movie series about ethically pure Chinese soldiers who purge the world of evil American mercenaries. The closest equivalent I can think of would be like calling an American propaganda effort Starship Troopers diplomacy. (Yeah, it is as stupid as it sounds.) The (more disperse) May effort, in contrast, is being referred to as a Yihetuan Movement mindset. It is a reference to a particularly chaotic period at the turn of the 19th to the 20th centuries when a particularly violent strain of ultranationalism erupted in response to foreign actions within China. Most non-Chinese readers probably don’t recognize the Yihetuan Movement reference, but they probably do recall how it was labelled in the West: the Boxer Rebellion. More on that in a minute. This new propaganda program isn’t about Xi attempting to convince the wider world of China’s greatness or rightness. This isn’t about the United States or Europe or Africa, and certainly not about global domination. Instead it is about intentionally saying things so far beyond the pale that there’s a global anti-Chinese backlash. The backlash itself isn’t the goal, but instead a means to an end. Xi is attempting to use a global anti-Chinese backlash to enflame anti-foreigner nationalist activity within China. Put simply, Xi is trying to get the world pissed off at China so that China becomes pissed off at the world. Xi feel he needs to hyperstimulate and mobilize a large enough proportion of the population so that they can assist the state security services in containing, demoralizing, cowing – and if necessary, beating, killing and disappearing – those who do not buy in. Think this seems a bit…extreme? Brush up on your 20th century Chinese history, particularly in the context of how the CCP is explaining its propaganda effort to the Chinese citizenry. Google the Great Leap Forward to review just how deliberately brutal the Chinese government can be to their own people, and just how good the Chinese government can be at motivating its own citizens to persecute one another. Check out the Cultural Revolution to see how mobilizing portions of the population to repress the rest of the population makes the East German Stasi look like New Zealand socialists. Review the Tiananmen Square massacre to remind yourself of how far the CCP will go even in “modern” times when it faces a threat to its power. Look up the Boxer Rebellion to see how such processes result in the state-sponsored lynching and murder of Christians and foreigners. (Btw, if you are a manufacturer or investor and you still have personnel in China, now would be a glorious time to get them the fuck out). The only part of this that is new for China is that this time they have industrial and digital technologies to help manage the population so that the sharp end of state power can be brought to bear more quickly. This leaves only one question: Why…WHY would Chairman Xi feel this sort of extreme action is necessary? Put simply, Xi fears the end of China is nigh. And that, again, requires a completely new newsletter. Stay tuned for Part III…
  37. 10 points
    Marcin, despite that I shared this article (for information and assorted viewpoints) I have stated repeatedly that I am generally in favor of increasing oil & gas pipeline infrastructure anywhere in the world, regardless of the country or the politics. That includes Nord Stream 2. EU should be able to have Nord Stream 1 and 2 and also have the option to import LNG. Competition and choice are good.
  38. 10 points
    Excellent read. Excerpt and bullet point summary below, although I highly recommend reading the entire article. The Truth (and Lies) about Coronavirus Primary Author: David Williams, MD Revised April 23 with updates to section regarding COVID-19 deaths and the addendum. This is being written on April 19, 2020. Although there is a central author, it is being written on behalf of multiple physicians in West Alabama and will be distributed through multiple medical offices. Between us we have well over a hundred years of practice and have treated hundreds of thousands of patients suffering infectious diseases. Including mission trips we have treated patients on five continents. We planned this date for several reasons. First, most of our patients now realize there is something “funny” about the coverage and handling of this disease. Secondly, if it wasn’t being handled differently by April 19, we knew it would take action from us and our patients to change that handling. Finally, we were told in March by our state officials that experts predicted New York, Florida, Texas, and Alabama were projected to have the median most fatalities from the COVID-19 outbreak with the peak in Alabama expected to be April 19. On this date, Alabama was supposed to be on pace for 5,516 deaths and be short over 21,000 hospital beds. The information just listed, and every piece of information discussed below, can be verified with a quick internet search. Many of the sources will be directly referenced. So here goes: TRUTH: COVID-19 is an actual medical disease that will lead to tragic deaths. Although this seems obvious, it should be clear that no one involved wishes to express anything but sympathy to those affected and their families. Respiratory failure is a terrible way to die. That is true if that death is due to asthma, COPD, pneumonia, influenza, smoke inhalation, cystic fibrosis, ALS, or COVID-19. LIE: We don’t know much about coronavirus. This is one of the media’s favorite lies. It is much scarier if it is unknown. We know that coronavirus is a zoonotic disease. In other words, it’s natural hosts are birds and animals as opposed to humans. We vaccinate domestic animals for them. We know that four forms cause colds every year. We know it mutates and evolves just like the flu. We know it sometimes becomes deadly as it has in SARS and MERS. We have done medical studies on coronavirus as a coexisting illness in patients in the past. LIE: COVID-19 is more infectious than influenza. This is one of two lies most often quoted by the millions who call national radio programs or post on social media. ... LIE: COVID-19 is more dangerous than influenza. The second lie of the medically uninformed. Even among those who do contract COVID-19, most under 60, including virtually everyone under 21, will never know they had it. ... LIE: The fact one doesn’t know he or she has COVID-19 makes it more dangerous. All viruses shed and are primarily spread while the infected host is asymptomatic. Repeat, all viruses do this. ... TRUTH: COVID-19 is more dangerous to the elderly and immunocompromised. TRUTH: That doesn’t really mean anything in and of itself because everything is more dangerous to those unfortunate individuals. It does mean we should try to protect those individuals from infections in general. TRUTH: It is now almost impossible for anyone in the general public or general medical community to know the actual number of deaths from COVID-19. That is because sometime in March US hospitals started testing all ER patients and every patient who died, regardless of cause of death, for COVID-19. Those patients are being included by the media in COVID-19 death tolls. Yes, a victim of a car accident brought to a US ER who passes away will be tested for COVID-19. ... REVISED April 23, 2020. This is actually much worse than we thought. According to worldometers.info from January 1 to April 1, 2020 the worldwide deaths from COVID-19 were 46,438 as opposed to 121,993 for influenza. To recap, during the same three months, with the same social distancing, the same shelter in place, and even handicapped with a vaccine against it, the flu still killed more than two and a half times as many people as COVID-19. In terms of deciding to shut down the economy, there were 11 causes of death on the list. Influenza and COVID-19 were ranked a distant 10th and 11th. On March 23, 2020, a Vox.com article by Dylan Scott outlined COVID-19 risks by age group. CDC figures cited a death rate of 2.7 percent for those 65 to 74, 4.3 percent for those 75 to 84, and 10.4 percent for those 85 and over. How does a virus that killed 46,438 globally in three months (and which about 96% of those 75 to 84, and 90% of those 85 and older survive) suddenly kill 143,984 in the next three weeks, according the same worldometers.info? ... TRUTH: The current policies instituted by our local, state, and national governments are causing greater health problems than the virus ever will. According to the Wall Street Journal, 22 million Americans have filed for unemployment in just four weeks. When you consider spouses and children, it seems reasonable that up to 70 million Americans would be affected by that number. Staying at home is not without consequence. ... TRUTH: The media as a whole has grossly misrepresented this disease. We felt if we used the word “deliberately” we may have to present this as an opinion, but it sure appears deliberate. ... OPINION: The way in which the media has pushed fear nonstop amounts to psychological warfare against this country. If it hasn’t occurred to you that we have heard one story and essentially one story alone for literally two months, well, that should have aroused suspicion. TRUTH: The media will continue to fight reopening of this country by stating “experts” predict a spike in deaths if we do so. We would assume those are the same experts who initially predicted 2.2 million US deaths, revised to 200,000, then 100,000, then 60,000, then ordered testing all US deaths just in case they had coronavirus because we weren’t on pace for even 30,000 prior to that change in policy. TRUTH: Not every country has shut down their economy, and none of those countries have suffered higher rates of death because they have kept their economy going. One of the searches done prior to putting this together related to countries who kept their businesses open. One of the lowest mortality rates in the entire world is Japan, who fits that description. ... OPINION: Medical organizations have failed this country. Literally every doctor in America should know everything listed above. So why haven’t organizations like the AMA and AAFP, as well as state organizations, presented this information to their governors and the President? TRUTH: China is involved, but not how you think. We can not tell you how many times people have expressed consternation about not knowing what China is hiding. Generally, they feel it is horrific death numbers or the genesis story of the virus. China withheld information about the virulence of COVID-19. They knew they had cases of asymptomatic individuals, possibly hundreds of thousands such patients. By not including this data it changed the mortality rate greatly. ... TRUTH: The NBA cancelled their season voluntarily, with no external domestic pressures, and China is a huge market for them. Their financial interests in China were threatened after a single tweet from Houston GM Daryl Morey in October supporting Hong Kong protestors. ... TRUTH: People are lazy, or they have an agenda. Not only did the media not ask pertinent questions about the NBA, they have not reached out to knowledgeable health professionals even when they were provided the names and contacts of such individuals. If the narrative did not fit COVID-19 terror, it was ignored. We know this has happened both locally and nationally. Local, state, and national politicians have done the same thing. ... TRUTH: Amazon founder Jeff Bezos is making a fortune, and he wants you to stay home. In addition to owning Amazon, he owns the Washington Post. Just read any headline or article it has ever written regarding a plan to reopen the economy. Do with that information what you will, but we hope it means you stop ordering from Amazon and support local businesses instead. TRUTH: COVID-19 has been treated like a world-ender; it’s not even remotely close. As mentioned earlier, it has infected just over 2 million people in the world. Not killed 2 million people. Actually, not even made 2 million sick. Just infected. So it is 76 million short of infecting 1% of the world’s population. ... TRUTH: Quarantine is a period or place of isolation in which people who have been exposed or infected with a contagious disease are placed. The government has used it to impose shelter in place on healthy individuals and close businesses. There are words for that, but quarantine is not one of those words. TRUTH: This is not a medical crisis, but a political crisis. There is a saying in politics, “never waste a crisis,” and this is apparently true even if the crisis is fabricated. We briefly debated leaving out politics, but the reality is most have already figured this out and there is no explaining the phenomenon that is COVID-19 hysteria without talking politics. In short, Democrats attempted to impeach Trump late in 2019 and failed. Shortly after a State of the Union address in which he touted considerable economic success, COVID-19 was made front and center by the media. Most probably feel both parties have failed us but there is no debating which party is most responsible for pushing the fear. Every time President Trump argues for reopening, the press and the Democrats gnash their teeth and talk higher death tolls. ... TRUTH: The Alabama coronavirus numbers presented in the opening paragraph appear to be way off. We are nowhere near 5,000 deaths. In fact, we currently have only 4,700 total cases and 113 deaths. ... TRUTH: If you love your children, enjoy sports, or know anyone who owns or is employed by a small business you should be angry. Very angry. We can absolutely take steps to protect the elderly and vulnerable, but everything should reopen immediately. ... TRUTH: Nothing will change unless it is demanded. Seriously, take this, repost it, and act on it. It will have to happen nationwide. Call mayors, governors, representatives, senators. Call back the next day. Email them. Email these facts. Verify for yourself which facts you are comfortable utilizing. DO NOT BE LAZY. Call radio stations, TV stations, national news outlets. Send it to medical organizations like the AMA and AAFP. It needs to happen by the thousands. They clearly aren’t paying attention. Or they assume you aren’t. ADDENDUM: I would like to address a few of the concerns and criticisms this document has received. I am changing from we to I because I am speaking only for myself. Primary criticism has been either 1) how do we know this is true/qualification issues or 2) it is a political piece. The first criticism simply validates one of the main points of the document. This information can be verified and was valid at the time of publication. Most of the time, you were told exactly where you could find it. The complete lack of effort the public has shown to educate themselves about this virus has contributed to the terror it has created. It really shouldn’t matter who wrote it if the information is valid. I am not an epidemiologist, but, for the record, it was reviewed by one and he agreed. The second criticism I can at least understand. The objective of the paper was not to be political but to recognize the role it plays in behaviors related to the virus. Frankly, I have never been able to successfully explain why we are hearing so much about a virus that doesn’t make most people sick without involving the politics (and I have tried, and that information is also available). However, I may not have done as well as I could have in conveying that. I am not happy with either party’s handling of the issue. I have had political discussions with patients of every race and persuasion and said the same. Both parties have failed us. I haven’t voted for somebody in way too long. I have voted against somebody else. I have told everyone that has to change if we are going to make it. My primary political concerns are reduced health care premiums, lower deductibles, less expensive drugs, lower taxes, taking care of the environment, and smaller government. We should take care of ourselves and each other. It is my opinion, though, that the media and the Democratic party are most responsible for pushing the fear and trying to keep us from reopening the economy. The point of the paper is to suppress fear, dispense information, and reopen the economy. Yesterday (April 21), Texas’ Governor and Lt. Governor called for reopening their state and the country. The article in The Hill goes on to say Texas has nearly 29 million people with 19,458 having tested positive for coronavirus and 495 fatalities. The response of Texas Democratic Party Chair Gilberto Hinojosa was that they “would put Texans at-risk to enrich themselves and their stock portfolios.” “They would see our family members die to bail out Wall Street,” Hinojosa said. “The lives of our families, our friends, and our communities have no dollar amount. Texas Republicans can no longer claim to be the pro-life party anymore.” You can draw your own conclusions. I based mine on statements such as those. REVISED April 23, 2020. For those who question whether I am truly anti-fear, as opposed to having another agenda, President Trump disagreed “strongly” with Georgia Governor Brian Kemp’s decisions to reopen certain businesses in his state. I strongly agree with Governor Kemp.
  39. 10 points
  40. 10 points
    ^ Same with some U.S. frackers, if I have been tracking this correctly.
  41. 10 points
    Ah yes, quoting The Daily Beast, that shining beacon of far left journalistic integrity. Carry on.
  42. 10 points
    In this time of national trauma and self-doubt, and noting the comments of @Ward Smith in another thread of mine on fuel demand destruction, I would revisit history, and take you back to August 21, 2015, when three young Americans, two soldiers and their chum a college student, were sitting on the Amsterdam-Paris high-speed train and a Moroccan terrorist gunman burst into the compartment with a firing Kalashnikov. The youngsters leaped out of their seats and down the aisle straight into the gunman, tackling him, taking the gun, and tying him up. This enormous, astonishing act of raw courage in the face of certain death saved the lives of over 500 passengers on that train. Francois Hollande, President of France, awarded the Americans the Legion d'honneur, the highest medal of France, in grateful thanks for stopping the incipient massacre. In a special ceremony held in California, where the Americans lived, the Government of France issued French Citizenship by naturalization to the fast-thinking vacationers. Here is the picture, done three years later, on January 31, 2019: And this is why I, a foreigner, like living in America. I am surrounded by perfectly ordinary guys who can and will do astonishingly heroic things, all instantaneously, without any thought of personal risk. There is something in the culture of Americans that brings the best out in its people. It is a salient feature of Americans. The planet is fortunate to have the Americans. I remain humbled by these guys. Good work, men!
  43. 10 points
    Because since 1945 the US has had to gag on their own bile and agree to pretty much protect Saudi Arabia from destruction while at the same time pay them pretty much whatever they asked for a barrel of oil. The United States basically groveled for 65 years, importing ten million barrels of oil per day at ghastly prices, watching these morons fly one of their 20 jets, cavorting away to one of their many palaces, always with a hundred-man entourage. Take up the entire Georges V in Paris. Women. Whatever they wanted. And then the United States sort of tumbles into this half-assed way of getting oil out of tombstone rock, and lo and behold they become pretty good at it, and then they're producing more oil than Saudi Arabia and the KSA can barely stomach this--they're the ones gagging on their own bile. But back to retracing history . . . Over the course of 65 years, the United States of America has made a shitty little tribal bunch of inbred ingrates filthy rich. They've mostly tossed it into the wind. Everyone wants to talk about how the profligate Shale Cowboys have pissed it away . . . . man, that's nothing, not even a drop in the proverbial bucket compared to what these "royal" cousins can do to a billion bucks. And now, because of who knows what sort of perverse deal, what sort of crap is known, what sort of corruption, we have to watch these assholes demand the deal, snicker behind their robes, knowingly and dishonestly jack up the numbers. Why the hell do you think it might be hard for the US to make an announcement agreeing to cut production? Yeah, it's pretty damn baffling to me too. Me? I'd throw the bastards to the wolves--there are plenty of them out there who'd like to tear these guys a new asshole. And before this is over, that's exactly what we'll have to do. Sorry, bud, but I think your friends are calling. Answer, please, while they're still on the line.
  44. 10 points
    ^ Thanks for posting. Data--mostly anecdotal--should be leaking out by now about HCQ. This virus is a very cunning little sucker! A researcher has found that 2-deoxy-d-glucose will inhibit Covid replication in cells, even in such small doses in the cell culture medium that it is safe and doesn't kill the culture cells. A "prodrug" is being developed for that and shouldn't be very hard to manufacture. 2-deoxy-d-glucose is merely glucose that has a 2-hydroxyl group replaced by hydrogen, so it cannot undergo any further glycolysis but will competitively inhibit glucose-6-phospate synthesis for energy inside the cell. The answer may be something as simple as this: starve the virus, selectively, for glucose. Get the thesis: human cells are obviously replicating all the time but, in absence of cancer, at a constant rate. Whereas a massive infectious bolus of Covid-19, replicating furiously within respiratory tract epithelial cells, would eat up "fake sugar" preferentially. In other words, treat it like a malignantly replicating cancer cell with selective poisoning. Pretty novel idea. I hope it works. I'd sure like to see something simple and safe stop this devious little bastard!
  45. 10 points
    If I ever start to feel worried I listen to your President and obvious my own PM who might have got off to a bad start but I think he is following Trumps lead to a degree especially after recently announcing they will re-evaluate the partial lock-down we have in place in just 3 weeks time (similar to Trump's plan). You guys have an amazing president (probably the best for decades), he has a very calming effect and shows true leadership. There is still massive panic and people spreading fake stories about what you can and cannot do but maybe that was needed for the less intelligent to start listening and stop overcrowding the shops and going on holiday etc making things worse. I've lost all my work now for the forseable future but strangely I feel very positive. I think this virus will pass as will the hysteria and once the medical services get the extra support they need the restrictions on what people can do will be lifted. I've snoozed anyone on facebook who posts anything about this virus, I have stopped paying attention to the hysterical media who gleefully report each and every death to gain clicks. I've started on the garden now the weather is nice and started to think about ways to improve my health after years of severe stress and worry caused by the volatile oil industry. Now they are getting a handle on the virus and economy I have full faith they're going to work on rebalancing the oil market whether it be by carrot or stick. US energy independence is not a gift that should be thrown away. Best of wishes to all of you including those that will not agree with me. I am sure things will get better eventually.
  46. 10 points
    H1N1 had a vaccine in short order. Nobody said Zika would kill us, it was just going to hurt babies. Mosquito control is rather easy if you have money. There is not enough evidence for any treatment at this point to get rid of social distancing. Sorry, but trump just doesn't want to hold the reins during the one of the greatest economic collapses of all time. It might not be entirely his fault, but nobody wins reelection when the public is unemployed and fearing death so he wants to downplay this. Wear the silly red hat at funerals and in the unemployment lines?
  47. 10 points
    President Trump hopes to reopen the economy by Easter if possible. We now have treatments and plenty of equipment that can be used. We need to throw all our resources at the critically ill but most patients will recover on their own and without hospitalization. The aged need to stay home but the rest need to get back to work as soon as possible. Otherwise we will have more damage to our economy than it can take. One is as important as the other in keeping us all healthy physically, mentally, economically, and emotionally.
  48. 10 points
    Expensive oil, eh? Try rolling an oil barrel into Starbucks and load it with your favorite latte. It'll cost you $3,700--despite the fact that while oil requires a million years to mature, coffee beans get right to it. Peasants grow most of them. They're easy to harvest, ship, roast and brew. Then drive out to an oilfield--ANY OILFIELD--and see what goes into harvesting a cup of oil. I have heard so much bullshit about expensive oil that I think I'll throw up the next time. And "expensive oil" had very little to do with the financial crisis. As I recall that was taking about a hundred million mortgages, slicing and dicing them into tiny pieces, putting them together in packages that no one could undo and selling them for a massive profit. No one went to jail. I don't know where you're from Geoff, or how old you are or even what level of education you have. And I'm not trying to pick a fight. But before you go talking about "expensive oil," at least visit an oilfield. I suspect you use plastics. Maybe pharmaceuticals. You likely learned to drive an ICE vehicle. Maybe you've had a surgical procedure. You couldn't have done any of those things without oil products. Please! For Christ's sakes, I don't mind if you go say this stuff at a cocktail party, but try not to insult us, will you.
  49. 10 points
    Unfortunately. He's 78, with coronary artery disease. He's a wealthy socialist. He would totally ruin America. Surely the younger population will come to their senses at some point. If not, there's probably not enough of them to vote him in. No matter what you feel about Trump, he's about the only viable candidate for the office at this dispositive point in time.
  50. 10 points
    Does anyone else feel that this whole corona virus thing is being blown out of proportion?