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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/30/2020 in all areas

  1. 2 points
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-rise-over-2-million-again-but-data-offer-glimmer-of-hope-2020-05-28?mod=economic-report In my area, yesterday's shopping spree showed businesses desperate for workers, with signs out at the windows of all restaurants and stores I passed by or entered. Stores parking lots were loaded. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/personal-income-surges-105-in-april-on-the-back-of-government-relief-payments-but-spending-lags-2020-05-29 Personal income is up 10.5% despite a drop of 8% in wage incomes. The Federal programs have more than compensated for the damage to incomes. With so much of the economy closed, people had less opportunity to spend than they may have been willing to. Consumer spending was down " Consumer spending fell 13.6% in April after a 6.9% drop in March. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a 13% decrease. " As a result, personal savings have risen 33% after having risen 13% in March. Prices are -0.4%, however, this accumulation of purchasing power and decline in output are promising a future surge in price inflation. This looks like fuel accumulating to fund consumption and rehiring as well as industrial expansion to displace China from supply chains. Which is what Trump is likely to campaign on and will start acting on NOW with the Chinese imposition of mainland law on HK, being viewed as a breach of China's obligations on the return of HK to Chinese control. Thus making the claim of its word being worthless and its commitments on the "trade deal" being considered as null. That is going to be coupled with a mass migration of approximately 28% of city labor to work from home outside the city. (based on surveys from Redfin and Zillow referenced in other posts) with a large construction boom in locations yet unknown. We don't know what the distribution would be in geographies. We also don't know how much of it would be within the US, but we do know that it can't be in China and other countries where you can not secure communications. Particularly any that use Huawei or other Chinese communications equipment. The Fed has established swap lines with 14 central banks Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Swiss National Bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Banco Central do Brasil, the Danmarks Nationalbank (Denmark), the Bank of Korea, the Banco de Mexico, the Norges Bank (Norway), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and the Sveriges Riksbank (Sweden). It appears to be the core of the US global trading system to come, with Taiwan and EU still pending, not obvious whether the EU needs the swap lines now - it did in the GFC. I think this will involve a rise in US oil consumption, not so much any rise in global oil consumption, particularly not in Europe, which is demographically set for a rapid decline in demand, nor in China, that is also set to peak in oil consumption because of the same demographic factors, if it hasn't peaked already. Pricing may be higher than expected soon because of the oil intensity of the recovery in the US, in deliveries, in construction, and industrial expansion.
  2. 2 points
    Obamagate without consequence will undermine the trust of people to the FBI and even the future elections. Without the trust, both sides will not accept the outcomes of any election and there will be a collapse in economy and higher of possibility with the Civil War. It is unacceptable for US citizens/party/organizations that have some sense in their mind to think by any mean of cheating/spying and win the election "for the greater good". Its very stupid to defeat an "evil" President in one term by cheating and lose the trust of half of the US forever. Election is political peaceful civil war, if people don't trust the election, at some point the Civil War will occur because election has no meaning. Minneapolis and St Paul will Mandatory Curfews this weekends after 3 days of vandalism and looting around urban and some suburbans. It seems they following metro stations. I wonder who these "protestors" vote for in next election? And last time Minnesota voted red is in 1972. Got a new Dem Governor last year. In Rome, do what Roman do, I will buy a gun and do target practice and back to martial art training. Question: why have to shoot to kill but not in the legs or arms?
  3. 2 points
    Yep, fasting and intermittent fasting work wonders. Great boost for keeping healthy. Keto + intermittent fasting increases health benefits. Autophagy for longer fasts (3 days or more of zero calories) gives your body a good spring cleaning with autophagy. Here is a series of around 40 articles about fasting, in non-technical plain English, start here: Fasting – A History Part I @ronwagn also knows about the health benefits of intermittent fasting, and I think @0R0 does too, but not sure.
  4. 1 point
    Early Outpatient Treatment of Symptomatic, High-Risk Covid-19 Patients that Should be Ramped-Up Immediately as Key to the Pandemic Crisis Dr. Harvey A. Risch Published May 27, 2020 DEPARTMENT OF CHRONIC DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGY , YALE SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH. https://academic.oup.com/aje/advance-article/doi/10.1093/aje/kwaa093/5847586 "Evidence about use of hydroxychloroquine alone, or of hydroxychloroquine+azithromycin in inpatients, is irrelevant concerning efficacy of the pair in early high-risk outpatient disease. Five studies, including two controlled clinical trials, have demonstrated significant major outpatient treatment efficacy." HCQ administered and monitored by a doctor is extremely safe. One has to monitor the patients electrolytes. Time for the Charlatans in the FDA, NIH, CDC, CNN and Democratic Party need to desist with the Hate Trump mentality and put working to save lives ahead of political power grabs. It's sad state of affairs we find our country in. Very sad. U.S. Congress looks more like a Jerry Springer TV show than a governing legislative body with Statesman and Stateswomen. Let me ask the FDA, CDC, W.H.O. if Hydroxychloroquine is so dangerous and can cause death shouldn't you take it off the market or at least issue a warning for use in treating Malaria, Lupus, and Rheumatoid Arthritis ? HCQ is even approved by the FDA for pregnant women.
  5. 1 point
    Really? Protests and riots are two different things. Are you insinuating that the US supported the protests AND the riots in HK? Are you further suggesting that American’s support the recent rioting in Minneapolis? You, once again, are creating your own narrative to suit your bias.
  6. 1 point
    Or an excellent analysis of selected information.
  7. 1 point
    @SUZNV West of you, down I-90, Sanford Health in Sioux Falls is conducting a HCQ and Covid19 Study. They call it PEPCOH. You may wish to give them a call, and see if you or your family can be added. You may have better luck with Sanford than Mayo.
  8. 1 point
    And the corporate driving will be autonomous of all shapes and sizes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2020/05/29/demand-for-these-autonomous-delivery-robots-is-skyrocketing-during-this-pandemic/#6f96505c7f3c
  9. 1 point
    ORO Good piece Other Topic : You have some interesting insight into our world problems. Well informed. If you wouldn't mind I'd be interesting in your thoughts on the evolving China situation taking into consideration Trump's recent response today. Seems a little light on action. I'm thinking he might be giving China a chance to rethink their position before the September Hong Kong implementation goes onto effect. He also has an election to consider and doesn't want to upset the U.S. economic apple cart . . . . at this time. I suspect if Trump's is given a second term we will see quite a bit of action from Trump on China and a myriad of other issues. Your thoughts ? Whenever you get the time if you want.
  10. 1 point
    And an over representation of the IFR, Which varies greatly. If you take the prisons and nursing homes out, where deliberate negligence and policy actions CAUSED the spread, Then the number of deaths in the general population is half or less than reported. The epidemiologically relevant numbers are not these headline numbers you are locked into. They are contaminated yet you don't use any analysis to come up with a tighter proximity to reality.
  11. 1 point
    This country has a 240 year tradition of not attacking prior presidents. Even guilty, Obama will most certainly get a pass so that no precedent gets established. The Demoncrats will be more than willing and able to concoct fraudulent charges against Trump once he's out of office, given they've already done that while he's in office! But yeah, you've got TDS so bad you still believe the Russia hoax. No cure for stupidity
  12. 1 point
    I am willing to estimate and find upper and lower bounds. You are looking for a P<0.005 number. Which in a disease with a low fatality rate means enormous numbers of samples of comparable reporting standards, thus not a likely number for you to obtain. You have to use what is available. Not the favorite puppet show numbers from WHO.
  13. 1 point
    Yep, complete jackasses on two and four wheels! If you want to drive or ride like that -go to the track! If ANYTHING would have gone wrong, they could have killed some innocent people. Not very macho in my opinion.
  14. 1 point
    There are many inconsiderate and foolish motorcyclists out there, people who have the money for a bike, but not the ‘sense’. It only takes a few to ruin it for all. In my experience, he majority of bikers are pretty good folks.
  15. 1 point
    heh heh, it's always a pleasant surprise when stumbling across someone else who has similar contrarian views on oil & gas, renewables, climate panic, China Flu, and the EU. China To Boost Oil & Gas Exploration, As EU Prepares To Commit Suicide From Reuters: BEIJING, May 22 (Reuters) – China said on Friday it will bolster the capacity of the country’s energy reserves and offer lower gas and electricity charges to key industries, as it looks to ensure energy supply and offset the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. In energy announcements on the first day of the parliament, known as the National People’s Congress (NPC), authorities also pledged to boost the country’s oil and gas network and continue to support exploration for unconventional gas reserves. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said in a statement it would push forward construction of crude oil reserves. The coronavirus pandemic has led to a slump in demand for crude oil, with insufficient storage capacity worldwide. The NDRC said it would also press ahead with competitive trading of mining rights for oil- and gas-bearing zones, aiming to attract more market players into oil and gas exploration and production. The country will also accelerate construction of oil and gas network and encourage the opening up of pipeline facilities to all eligible users, said the state planner. China set up its long-awaited national oil and gas pipeline company in December aiming at providing fair market access to infrastructure and boost investment in oil and gas production. https://uk.reuters.com/article/china-parliament-shalegas/update-1-china-to-bolster-energy-reserve-capacity-support-unconventional-gas-exploration-idUKL4N2D41LN Meanwhile, back in the rotting corpse known as the EU, car manufacturers are in desperate crisis, faced by the long term threat of climate policies and the immediate threat of coronavirus: https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1285804/EU-news-france-renault-nissan-Bruno-Le-Maire-car-industry And the corpse’s response? https://www.dw.com/en/eu-commission-planning-green-auto-industry-rescue-report/a-53505451 So car manufacturers, already facing oblivion because of lockdown, can only expect aid to see them through difficulties not of their own making if they agree to bankrupt themselves in the search for “cleaner cars”. I suspect many, like Nissan, will say “on your bike”!
  16. 1 point
    No worries, I am going to take a break from discussing the panic lockdowns / CCP propaganda on this forum. Some people PREFER to be mindless zombies and apparently ADORE being told what to do by the government. And I am just beat down, trying to use reason, logic, humor, memes, anything at my disposal, to attempt to broaden the viewpoints of those who think CCP style government is perfectly fine, that Pelosi, Schumer, et al are saviors of America, and enforced facemasks and enforced lockdowns and enforced destruction of economies are wonderful tools of democracy. Some people willingly give up their rights and freedoms, and want to burn the U.S. Constitution and Bill of Rights, and want to cede authority of the U.S. to Fauci, UN, WHO, and Bill effing Gates. Xi would be proud that successful media propaganda is successful. So I'm going to ignore for a while the willing lemmings who want to not only slit their own throats and hurl themselves off a cliff, but who demand that everyone else also slit their own throats and hurl themselves off a cliff, for "their own protection". Have at it, slit your own throats and hurl away with abandon. Go SPLAT on the rocks at the bottom of the cliffs. Worship your W.H.O. gods. Adore the CCP style authoritarianism, and jackboot clampdown against dissent from the Official Narrative. But stay the eff away from me with these unconstitutional, illogical, destructive, and outright suicidal demands. And unplug your damn TV. Chinese_State_Media_Tweeting_Between_Centralized_Propaganda_And_Competition.pdf Flagrant_Foul_China_s_Predatory_Liberalism_and_the_NBA.pdf Predicting_Authoritarian_Crackdowns_A_Machine_Learning_Approach.pdf The_Road_to_Digital_Unfreedom_How_Artificial_Intelligence_is_Reshaping_Repression.pdf Three_Painful_Truths_About_Social_Media.pdf Tweeting_through_the_great_fire_wall_min.pdf
  17. 1 point
    Technically you are correct, but... Donald Trump has signed into law an act obliging Washington to help bolster international support for Taiwan, putting the US on a collision course with China even as the two countries try to stabilise relations that have deteriorated over the coronavirus pandemic. The Taiwan Allies International Protection and Enhancement Initiative (TAIPEI) Act, a law passed with strong bipartisan support, requires the Trump administration to reward third countries that have strengthened or upgraded relations with Taiwan. The law also says the US must “alter its economic, security and diplomatic engagement with nations that take serious or significant actions to undermine the security or prosperity of Taiwan”, and calls on Washington to advocate for Taiwan’s participation in international organisations.
  18. 1 point
    We should probably steer this back to tankers. Else the reasons for the ignorance, lack of growth and prosperity, will get all pissed off and then attempt to demonstrate why it is not going to happen easily.
  19. 1 point
    Trouble in Paradise. I'm shocked. Shocked I tell you! Is Trump Kicking the Saudis to the Curb the Beginning of Something Not Terrible? More than anything else in Saudi Arabia, that thing you smell is fear. Everything is coming unglued for the royal family there all at once. If we all weren’t so distracted by the Coronapocalypse these things would all be front page news. In the past week there have been three major stories concerning Saudi Arabia, none of the bullish. First, there was the news that UAE-backed forces in Yemen broke with the Saudis-led coalition there to declare the Southern Transitional Council the new administrators over southern Yemen which includes the capital and major port at Aden. This led to major clashes over the next week between forces which less than two weeks ago were supposedly on the same side. In addition, Saudi mercenaries were routed in Northern Yemen. The UAE pulled its troops out of Yemen ending its fight with the Houthis after the attack on the Ab Qaiq oil processing facility last summer. Finally, the Saudis accepted a UN-brokered ceasefire with the Houthis. This is a two-week provisional ceasefire, but considering how badly their mercs and pet head-chopping animals have been faring this should be considered a mercy gesture by the Houthis. The war against Yemen has reached its terminal stage and it only took the impending financial collapse of the entire world to get it done. Next up we have two news items from Thursday which underscore just how irrelevant the Wahabist government in Riyadh has become. They accepted the reality that they can’t win an oil price war with the Russians by raising the tender prices for Saudi Aramco grades across the board. They had no choice since China told them they liked more expensive Russian oil better. Buying from the Salman family is like buying from Donald Trump and under the current set of geopolitical imperatives China’s leaderships would be colossal fools to do so just to save a few dollars. ... Trump’s been vocal about how vulnerable the regime in Riyadh is without his support. But the bigger reason for this, I think, has nothing to do with punishing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman for starting an oil price war which created a mess in U.S. oil markets. This is about Trump realizing that oil should no longer be central to foreign policy objectives. In a world of $20-25 per barrel oil, why are we basing our entire foreign policy, which costs trillions we now truly cannot afford, on controlling the physical commodity markets which we are more than capable of producing? ... ... With oil this low the petrodollar simply isn’t that important anymore and neither is the survival of what we currently know as Saudi Arabia.
  20. 1 point
    I think my favorite argument to address against nuclear is the waste argument. Because apparently material that's less radioactive than its starting material, encased in a concrete cask and buried a mile underground is a big problem.
  21. 0 points
    Always nice to know when one has information that is "100% accurate", without needing to explain how one arrives at that 100% accurate figure. That 31.55% figure seems pretty darn precise, too. Science shows that 87.5934% of statistics are simply invented out of thin air. 97% of science deniers will deny that. The science statistics are settled though, despite the science denier's denials.