My first interview in russian by a russian media portal Eurasia Expert

[jose chalhoub + 388]

My first interview in russian on Iran nuclear deal. I dont know if we have russian speakers or russian native in the forum and if its allowed but i would like to share my latest publication and interview by Eurasia Expert on Iran nuclear deal and Washington being out of it and its implications. 

[Tom Kirkman + 8,860]

Congratulations Jose.

Yes, of course you are encouraged  to share your interview on the Iran nuclear deal here on the Oil Price forum.  It's very much relevant and on topic.

I just read the interview using Google Translate.  Well done.

http://eurasia.expert/voennaya-operatsiya-ssha-protiv-irana-sprovotsiruet-otvet-kitaya-ili-rossii/

[Marina Schwarz + 1,576]

11 hours ago, jose chalhoub said:

My first interview in russian on Iran nuclear deal. I dont know if we have russian speakers or russian native in the forum and if its allowed but i would like to share my latest publication and interview by Eurasia Expert on Iran nuclear deal and Washington being out of it and its implications. 

We do.  Well done! How do you think the results from Iraq's elections fit into this picture?

Edited May 16, 2018 by Marina Schwarz

[Tomasz + 1,608]

According to new budget rule praised by World Bank Russia set a very conservative price of 40 $ of ural in their budgets for next 3 years. Today it is 74 $ for Urals, 66,19 $ from the beggining of the year according to OPEC.

It means also the highest price in rouble ever- higher than even in 2008.

And break even price for russian budget is now something about 55 $. So they are know comfortably back in black. As one of only few countries in OPEC/non-Opec agreement with such low break-even. And as one of oilprice.com contributor - specialist in russsian oil/gas industry Victor Katona said with 0,5 mln barrels of spare capacity.

Edited May 16, 2018 by Tomasz

[jose chalhoub + 388]

4 hours ago, Marina Schwarz said:

We do.  Well done! How do you think the results from Iraq's elections fit into this picture?

not just iraq results but also lebanon results of the elections where Hezbollah got to reach an important win... definitely an assertive shiite axis Tehran Baghdad and Beirut also with Damascus... Thats Tehran revenge..

[Tomasz + 1,608]

I read that the fact that Muktada al-Sad suprisingly won the election is a defeat both for USA and Iran which had their own candidates.

Once I heard a joke - the biggest final success of US invasion on Iraq is the fact that Lukoil and Rosneft will explore a lot of iraqi oil without Russia spending even one dollar on invasion instead of US companies.

Edited May 16, 2018 by Tomasz

[jose chalhoub + 388]

1 hour ago, Tomasz said:

I read that the fact that Muktada al-Sad suprisingly won the election is a defeat both for USA and Iran which had their own candidates.

Once I heard a joke - the biggest final success of US invasion on Iraq is the fact that Lukoil and Rosneft will explore a lot of iraqi oil without Russia spending even one dollar on invasion instead of US companies.

Indeed Russia seems to be the big winner out of all this mess in Iraq in terms of oil exploration and production but also the Kremlin might run the risk of being entangled in another chaos ensuing in the country and in the whole region. I see Washington retreat as strategic by the Trump administration in some way while leaving the mess for others, this thinking out of the box. But as I said in that interview, the real strategy by Washington being out of the deal is against China and Russia. 

[Seleskya + 50]

China is the definitive threat here, I would whole-heartedly agree. But the U.S. has already lost immensely to China. Can you further explain your take on the 'real strategy' by Washington? I have trouble seeing an actual strategy here. The U.S. is also losing big in Sub-Saharan Africa, to China, and that loss is largely cemented already. 

[jose chalhoub + 388]

China has been experiencing an expansion in traditional areas of US influence in Eurasia, the Middle East and as well as Russia, and as the U.S. is trying to redirect itself to Southeast Asia especially with its LNG and oil exports, i see its flexing muscles in the region leveraging on the energy tool. 

[Marina Schwarz + 1,576]

Some day they'll do a movie about it and call it "While You Were Sleeping, Washington."