Tomasz

 What Russia has reached over three months diplomatic and military pressure on West ?

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(edited)

Gorbachev advised the US at the time of the collapse of the USSR that new opportunities would arise and that if the US would help Russia and its satellites then the entire world would benefit. He also cautioned that if the US tried to take ADVANTAGE of the situation in a selfish way (i.e. by expanding NATO to the border of Russia) then the world would regret it.

After the Soviet Union collapses and the Cold War ends, the US expands NATO to Russia’s borders, attacks and attempts to destroy successful Chinese companies like Huawei, supports rioting in Hong Kong, arms Taiwan, illegally sanctions both countries and is “alarmed” that Russia and China have defensively turned in support of each other.

How's anyone surprised that the two countries that the US demonized are now best buddies? Doesn't take a public policy degree to see this coming a mile away.

Wake-up call from NYT

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/20/us/politics/russia-china-ukraine-biden.html#commentsContainer

Edited by Tomasz
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The Europeans have been very clear.

As Macron has put it, “there is no security for Europeans if there is no security for Russia” —. This is apparently the language U.S. doesn't understand:

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz made this point in Moscow on Tuesday. “For all Europeans, it is clear that sustainable security cannot be achieved against Russia — only with Russia,” he said.

But President Biden persists and signs with Mr Blinken just following the same stance Mr Trump / Pompeo had in past years, and it's a very aggressive one, sending troops and arms to Baltics and Poland

. And what was Mr Blinken doing this last days in the Fiji and Solomon's Islands?

What the U.S. can expect as a return from Russia and China?

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On 2/18/2022 at 11:57 PM, ronwagn said:

 

Andrei, you can do better than use an excuse like that. 

Convicted felons may not run for a public office for a while. Same as in US. While he still could, he ran for the Moscow's mayor and came 2nd to the incumbent.

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(edited)

On 2/18/2022 at 7:56 AM, Andrei Moutchkine said:

This does not really solve anything in the longer run. Because

1) LNG is inherently more expensive than pipeline gas

2) US LNG producers also much prefer to work based on long-term contracts, which EU is planning to phase out

For as long as EU insists on price formulas based on spot prices, Gazprom actually benefits from NS2 staying closed / missing volumes being compensated by expensive LNG. Higher margins more than compensate for missing volumes right now.

PS Sidewinders require a Western-made aircraft to launch and only work against other aircraft. I am pretty sure Ukraine got none of them, thusly.

Did I say sidewinders...I meant stingers........

 

Enjoy the thought that your countrymen that fly to far will be coming home in body bags

Stingers could be a game-changer in the battle for Ukraine

BY GLEN HOWARD, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR — 02/04/22 12:00 PM EST

As the world awaits a pending Russian move on Ukraine, military experts are examining the various scenarios for a Russian invasion. With more than 100,000 Russian military forces deployed along the border, Russian President Vladimir Putin has an array of invasion options before him. President Biden informed Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky last week that an attack may occur within two weeks.

By European standards, Ukraine is a large country, roughly equal in size to France but with only two-thirds of the population, at 45 million. Russian forces are deployed approximately along an 1,800-mile front stretching from the Ukrainian border with Belarus to the Sea of Azov near the Black Sea. Ukrainian officials are increasingly feeling a sense of encirclement in the shape of a giant Russian boa constrictor descending upon their country from the north, south and east, creating a guessing game as to where the brunt of a potential attack might fall.  

North of Kyiv, Putin has exacerbated Ukrainian fears by playing the Belarus card, organizing the Allied Resolve military exercises by dispatching 5,000 troops that could reach as high as 30,000. These exercises will linger into mid-February and create the specter of a potential invasion. An attack from neighboring Belarus is an intriguing option but unlikely because of the massive Pripyat swamps that dominate most of the Ukraine-Belarus border. Its marshy terrain is highly unsuitable to mechanized warfare, while the other part of Ukraine’s northeastern border with Belarus is flanked by the highly radioactive Chernobyl Exclusion Zone, complicating these two routes as a potential invasion corridor.

In eastern Ukraine, Donbas is frequently cited as the likely point for a Russian invasion because of the ongoing hostilities there with Russian-supported separatists. Donbas is where the bulk of Ukraine’s 245,000 armed forces are deployed against Russian forces in a war-torn landscape dominated by a vast maze of barbed wire and trenches reminiscent of World War I. 

To Ukraine’s south there is the threat of a Russian attack emanating from northern Crimea in a bid to capture the Ukrainian ports of Odessa and Kherson, which is where the strategic Nova Kakhovka water supplies are located. The strategic dams at Nova Kakhovka previously provided the Crimean Peninsula with most of its fresh water and were shut down by Ukraine in 2014. Moscow is heightening Kyiv’s concerns further by conducting major naval exercises in the region and bringing six landing ships to the Black Sea in the coming days, which may be used as part of an amphibious naval assault. 

It is in the northeastern direction of Ukraine, across the Russian border in the Bryansk region, that worries officials in Kyiv the most. The Bryansk region would be the springboard for an attack on the Kyiv-Chernihiv autobahn, a strategic roadway that leads straight to the Ukrainian capital. This roadway is particularly enticing to the Kremlin because it is the starting point for Ukraine’s 139-kilometer, four-lane autobahn to Kyiv. Russian forces could threaten the Ukrainian capital in a matter of hours after crossing the border and would follow a familiar pattern of attack used by the Kremlin to target the Georgian capital of Tbilisi in its 2008 war with Georgia.

Putin attaches great strategic significance to Kyiv because he views the Ukrainian capital as the cradle of Slavic civilization. Seizing it could cause the sudden collapse of the Ukrainian government and paralyze Ukrainian forces fighting in Donbas. Defending the Chernihiv-Kyiv invasion corridor likely would be Ukraine’s first line of defense. With proper Western assistance, however, the United States and its NATO allies could help Ukraine turn the strategic autobahn into another “Highway of Death” for invading Russian forces, similar to the fate that fell upon Iraqi armored forces as they retreated from Kuwait in 1991, when U.S. forces destroyed over 1,400 armored vehicles.

With over 1,000 Javelin anti-tank missiles in its growing arsenal, the Ukrainian army now has a force-multiplying weapon in its hands to stop a Russian attack. The dense forests that adjoin the autobahn make it a perfect place for Ukraine’s Javelin-equipped, tank-hunting units to attack Russian armored columns. The forests, however, are also a liability that could prevent Ukraine from deploying armored forces to protect the Javelin-equipped units. These forces would be highly vulnerable to air attacks by Russian Ka-50 helicopters, which could neutralize these pockets of defense because of Ukraine’s shortage of air defense weaponry.

The United States could swiftly rectify this problem by transferring Stinger man-portable air defense weapons to Ukraine that would dramatically reduce the Russian advantage — and may even deter Moscow from pursuing this invasion scenario. Until recently, the White House had prevented the transfer of Stinger missiles from Lithuania to Ukraine, but this decision was reversed last week when Lithuania received approval to send its older-version Stingers to Ukraine. The Biden administration should be applauded for taking this step, but it needs to expedite the transfer of more modern Stingers before Moscow acts. 

 
Edited by notsonice
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Well, it looks like Russia is going to annex the Ukraine by this weekend. WWIII didn't last very long.

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Major Russian banks will be kicked off the SWIFT financial communications network and Russia's Central Bank's assets will be "paralyzed," the EU has announced.

EU Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen outlined an unprecedented package of "massive" sanctions as part of the 27-member bloc's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Financial institutions that have been sanctioned in recent days, including Russia's largest banks, will be ejected from the SWIFT network, thwarting their ability to conduct transactions internationally, von der Leyen said in a late-night press conference in Brussels.

"We will paralyze the assets of Russia's central bank," she added.

"This will freeze its transactions and make it impossible for the Central Bank to liquidate its assets."

New from The Moscow Times tonight. 

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(edited)

The most important Topic for Russia is Nato eastward expansion and those are stopped now for at least 25 years. Ukraine with Nukes Nato nukes is  no option for Russia at all.

Edited by Starschy

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7 hours ago, Starschy said:

The most important Topic for Russia is Nato eastward expansion and those are stopped now for at least 25 years. Ukraine with Nukes Nato nukes is  no option for Russia at all.

what are you babbling about???? No one wants to take over Russia, including NATO. Putin is suffering from severe mental disease

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On 2/24/2022 at 12:27 PM, Metalmania said:

Well, it looks like Russia is going to annex the Ukraine by this weekend. WWIII didn't last very long.

weekend is almost over. annex???? war over???? it will last forever until Putin and his troops are sent packing back to their holes in Russia

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8 hours ago, Starschy said:

The most important Topic for Russia is Nato eastward expansion and those are stopped now for at least 25 years. Ukraine with Nukes Nato nukes is  no option for Russia at all.

And now Finland is going to join NATO, so much for stopping eastward expansion.

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On 2/24/2022 at 8:27 PM, Metalmania said:

Well, it looks like Russia is going to annex the Ukraine by this weekend. WWIII didn't last very long.

You are underestimating the size of Ukraine. It's one large place

There is officially no annexation plans, just removing the Western puppet government

There are no plans whatsoever for the far West, where they are no Russian/Soviet loyalists

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19 hours ago, ronwagn said:

Major Russian banks will be kicked off the SWIFT financial communications network and Russia's Central Bank's assets will be "paralyzed," the EU has announced.

EU Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen outlined an unprecedented package of "massive" sanctions as part of the 27-member bloc's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Financial institutions that have been sanctioned in recent days, including Russia's largest banks, will be ejected from the SWIFT network, thwarting their ability to conduct transactions internationally, von der Leyen said in a late-night press conference in Brussels.

"We will paralyze the assets of Russia's central bank," she added.

"This will freeze its transactions and make it impossible for the Central Bank to liquidate its assets."

New from The Moscow Times tonight. 

They are potentially wrecking the international financial backbone as we know it. Obviously planning a hyperinflation run on the ruble, which did not work so far due to Russian Central Bank interventions. Let's see how far they get. So far, has there been a complete carnage among speculators trying this.

 As far as immediate results, they will primarily hurt Western companies buying stuff in Russia. How are they going to pay? Russia sells more than it buys. Will have to switch to rubles, I am afraid.

Visa/MC cards issued by the sanctioned banks that were backed by dollar/euro accounts stopped working worldwide. The ones backed by ruble accounts work as always, so the "dollar bypass" is obviously already in place.

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17 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

And now Finland is going to join NATO, so much for stopping eastward expansion.

Where did you hear that? Sounds very doubtful.

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57 minutes ago, notsonice said:

weekend is almost over. annex???? war over???? it will last forever until Putin and his troops are sent packing back to their holes in Russia

The territory under Russian control has been growing. They largely avoided entering major cities yet.

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8 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

You are underestimating the size of Ukraine. It's one large place

There is officially no annexation plans, just removing the Western puppet government

There are no plans whatsoever for the far West, where they are no Russian/Soviet loyalists

removing the Western puppet government???? What a sad statement on your part. How much does Putin pay you to post such garbage???

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1 hour ago, notsonice said:

what are you babbling about???? No one wants to take over Russia, including NATO. Putin is suffering from severe mental disease

They will take destroying Russia instead.

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Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Where did you hear that? Sounds very doubtful.

Far less doubtful than your claiming to know Putin's intentions.

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Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

The territory under Russian control has been growing. They largely avoided entering major cities yet.

largely avoided....More like the Russians are getting their asses kicked. Enjoy watching your fellow Russians being returned in body bags.

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1 minute ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

They will take destroying Russia instead.

Putin is destroying Russia, enjoy the thought. No one wants anything to do with Putin or Russia anymore.

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Just now, notsonice said:

largely avoided....More like the Russians are getting their asses kicked. Enjoy watching your fellow Russians being returned in body bags.

Such are the facts. Ukrainian cities even have water, power and Internet still. You'd cut that first thing. For the amount of vehicles abandoned / destroyed, there are barely any wounded or dead, actually.

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2 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Far less doubtful than your claiming to know Putin's intentions.

Did I ever do that? So, got anything on Finland beyond media rumors?

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Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Such are the facts. Ukrainian cities even have water, power and Internet still. You'd cut that first thing. For the amount of vehicles abandoned / destroyed, there are barely any wounded or dead, actually.

Such are facts that Putins forces are getting pummeled by the Patriots of Ukraine.......

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Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Did I ever do that? So, got anything on Finland beyond media rumors?

You've done it several times just on this page.

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2 minutes ago, notsonice said:

Putin is destroying Russia, enjoy the thought. No one wants anything to do with Putin or Russia anymore.

Emotional like a little girl. Wait for a few days, then we'll see?

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Just now, Jay McKinsey said:

You've done it several times just on this page.

Sure. Let's assume I did. Got anything firm on Finland for me?

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