Brex(out): Tony Blair Sees 50-50 Chance Of Another Brexit Referendum

Former British leader Tony Blair said there was a 50-50 chance of another Brexit referendum as Prime Minister Theresa May will be unlikely to secure a parliamentary majority for any divorce deal. Less than six months before Britain leaves the European Union, there is little clarity about how post-Brexit trade between the EU and the world’s fifth largest economy will function. If May can strike a deal with the EU, her minority government then has to get it approved by a deeply-divided parliament. “Whatever Brexit is on offer today is going to result in significant economic harm,” Blair, former head of the opposition Labour Party and prime minister from 1997 to 2007, told Reuters. “I think the odds are now 50 percent that you will get another (referendum) vote.” “I still believe it is possible that Brexit is stopped,” he said. “There is no majority in parliament for any proposition that the prime minister brings back.”
 

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Too long lasts. It's obviously Theresa May has no support for her own policy. They should probably vote on another Brexit since most people were unaware of the ramifications when they voted the first time.

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Parliament will have the final say. Give such a big decision to the plebs again. Messed up the first time...

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And he thinks the EU will simply agree to whatever the UK comes up with next? Referendum every two years, once a year, twice a year?

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Makes a sense. Recently, French President Emmanuel Macron have suggested Britain could still change its mind... 

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3 minutes ago, pinto said:

Makes a sense. Recently, French President Emmanuel Macron have suggested Britain could still change its mind... 

They already made a referendum for the Brexit why do they want a new one? What will happen if people chose Brexit once again, will they ask for a new referendum?

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3 minutes ago, damirUSBiH said:

They already made a referendum for the Brexit why do they want a new one? What will happen if people chose Brexit once again, will they ask for a new referendum?

As we get close to a no-deal Brexit the opinion seems to be shifting from Brexit to Remain.  The reason for a new vote would be to be sure the Brexit is still supported by a majority of voters. If it's not the case why should they go on with a move that is no more supported by the British population ?

http://uk.businessinsider.com/this-poll-shows-millions-of-brexit-voters-now-want-to-remain-in-the-eu-2018-9?r=US&IR=T

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29 minutes ago, Guillaume Albasini said:

As we get close to a no-deal Brexit the opinion seems to be shifting from Brexit to Remain.  The reason for a new vote would be to be sure the Brexit is still supported by a majority of voters. If it's not the case why should they go on with a move that is no more supported by the British population ?

http://uk.businessinsider.com/this-poll-shows-millions-of-brexit-voters-now-want-to-remain-in-the-eu-2018-9?r=US&IR=T

I strongly believe there is no space for a new voting. It could send bad message generally, and of course it would be a political suicide for Theresa May and Conservative Party (electoral consequences could be dire). The possible economic consequences of 'no-deal Brexit' are catastrophic. IMF warns global economic stability at risk from no-deal Brexit..etc. Those consequences directly threaten the stability of the UK... Of course, there are mix of views about no deal Brexit consequences and all eyes will now be on the EU summit next week, described by Donald Tusk as 'the moment of truth'. 
 

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The facts are if Parliament vote down the deal then we get a no deal Brexit. The UK has informed the EU it is leaving in March 2019 this cannot be stopped by Parliament without defying the will of the people and the promise that the result of the Referendum would be honoured. It must be considered as well that a new referendum or vote by Parliament to stop Brexit will bring civil disorder, many are threatening it already. 
The most likely scenario is a extension to allow talks to continue. The only major sticking point from a deal is the Irish border which is where the EU are being deliberately awkward as a negotiating tactic I feel. You cannot demand a country splits up and has different trade rules, NI is part of the UK not EU and has to have the same rules as the UK mainland or you screw up internal trade. This is a totally unreasonable by the EU and in the event of a no deal the border will become a mess so its in everyone's interest to get a sensible agreement.

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