Sign in to follow this  
Followers 0
SK

.

Recommended Posts

(edited)

.

Edited by SKEP
  • Like 1
  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Saudi is simply sitting back (as is the rest of OPEC+) until the house of cards known as the US Shale Oil Miracle collapses due to faltering production and debt. At this point they will regain market share, the oil price will level out, and any surplus (real or imagined) will be liquidated. Exploration will be kick-started and the global O&G industry will breath a sigh of relief.

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1
  • Upvote 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Douglas Buckland said:

Saudi is simply sitting back (as is the rest of OPEC+) until the house of cards known as the US Shale Oil Miracle collapses due to faltering production and debt. At this point they will regain market share, the oil price will level out, and any surplus (real or imagined) will be liquidated. Exploration will be kick-started and the global O&G industry will breath a sigh of relief.

Well put! The US Shale Patch cannot be used as a weapon against OPEC it’s not a healthy section of the market and you wouldn’t bet your future policy on it!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, SKEP said:

They have never had to compete.  just leveraged their monopoly. Will be very interesting to see how OPEC/SAUDIS go forward when real competition finally comes to the world oil market in 2020.

US majors in Permian won't fold to OPEC this time around.

What will competition do to oil prices in 2020 as US Exports hit the world market.

I honestly don't know.  I'm inclined to assume prices go down . How much ?

We have never seen this before. Nor has OPEC.

Actually, it's America (shale oil) that can't compete in a free oil market. 

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(edited)

On 8/6/2019 at 9:13 AM, James Regan said:

.

 

Edited by SKEP

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(edited)

On 8/6/2019 at 9:14 AM, Uduak said:

.

Edited by SKEP
  • Downvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, SKEP said:

I heard Medical Bone Saw business is booming in KSA.  

If you can't win your original debate....being in something totally unrelated and try again.

  • Great Response! 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think quite a few here are partially wrong, based on their emotional bias linked to prices swung one way or another. I don't have the time to explain my complete view, so I'll keep it short. 

I think theres a few issues. 

1. Price of oil overvalued. If you look back historically, other than the period of the last boom/bust economically, oil has been a fairly cheap commodity. the last sky high price that many greed mongers imagine simply is not sustainable, nor natural. it tanked the world economy. However, greed is as greed does. And individuals got quite accustomed to those margins and revenue. 

2. Which leads us to 2. Over valuations of companies, assets and portfolios. The price of oil has to be in the $100+ club, well because it "has" to. Because these companies are valued and invested in on what? Revenue and profits. And shareholders need growth YOY, right? Wrong. The industry has built a house of cards relationship with false structure to it. 

 

There are many, many issues that I see in the oil market. I could go on and on. But I believe there are many people, namely bulls who have got it wrong based on their relationship bias to pricing. 

Look at this chart in relation to 2013 $US

http://chartsbin.com/view/oau

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(edited)

On 8/6/2019 at 9:13 AM, James Regan said:

.

Edited by SKEP
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, please sign in.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  
Followers 0