Karl V

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  1. Jan , do you really talk to those people ? Where are these people located ? What are their ranks ? Of course , the whole situation could lead to that small enterprises , that after being educated / having been apprentice , and had chosen , to start their own small business , will vanish from the market , because the ones , who are longer in the market , and stuffed with long time accumulated wealth , will simply educate each year newborns , who possibly will start their own enterprises once in future . Since work does not pay , people might see some horizon in shipping , with charter rates from ten to three-hundred thousand US-Dollars , a day , possible . And then , some $5'000 more for fuel is at hard competition at a 10'000 charter rate a large amount of money , which could probably be compensated with lower crew wages , as seen in the civil air traffic .
  2. The main problem is , that people getting older , and after few years , are in lesser training . And each year , more people die or become pensionists . The thing seems to be , to delay everthing for many years , and then the problem with any native unemployed will sort itself out , simply because people will fell into different slots , then .
  3. For Germany , there are accusations / rumours , that Jews will get these weapon permitts mainly , because they are able to declare being threated easily . There are two levels of weapon permits in Germany . 25 years ago , who could think of the need to protect himself from the government ...
  4. While investigating into Nuclear Power Insurance , I had read , that operators of Hydro-Power would not be insured to dam breaks , that would release such massive amounts of water into deep valleys , that a wave rinding through these could possibly drown 10 thousands of people . Would need to search for that specific topic ...
  5. IThere are many marine websites on the net to be visited , and reading them , shows , that there is LNG news many times . Scrubbers are likely installed , because there is pretty much money available , and some owners seem not to care , if they would need to file for some kind of Chapter 11 bankruptcy . 2015 : LNG would be 40% cheaper , than Heavy Fuel Oil : https://shipandbunker.com/news/world/573106-lng-bunkers-approximately-40-cheaper-than-heavy-fuel-oil Recent news : https://shipandbunker.com/news/world/469552-whats-up-with-the-hsfo-bunker-prices-and-why-are-all-the-scrubber-guys-getting-worried https://www.marinelink.com/news/crowleys-lngfueled-conro-completes-maiden-461633 http://www.seatrade-maritime.com/news/asia/polaris-shipping-goes-for-open-loop-scrubbers-on-seven-ships.html https://worldmaritimenews.com/archives/category/news/ If available space on ships would be a problem for implementing LNG as main driving fuel , no ships would actually implement that kind of engine . The main challenge would be , that major ports would offer LNG fuelling . Container Carriers , who will arrive at Rotterdam Harbour at regular intervalls , will be able to refuel . Ships , who will shuttle between harbours , who do not signal to invest in LNG fuelling possibillities , will have to install scrubbers . But my guess is , that ports can not afford to ignore investments into LNG terminals on the medium run , since that would likely decrease traffic .
  6. Perhaps you can explain what you don't like about my post on Maritime Act of 2020.

    1. MM

      Karl V

      You say , that there are technical restrictions in regards of LNG usage , but I doubt , that these are that important . These tanks are isolated , and these isolations are more than 1 foot of thickness .

       

      And than the "for the money" saying : It is more about fear of people , to do the steps before everything is clear to them , so they bind themselves to old practices . Ships have become tools , that are scrapped if necessary .

       

    2. MG

      Jan van Eck

      On this forum, that does not generate a red-arrow downvote, which we consider to be impolite for disagreement.  If you disagree, by all means go post your own thoughts and why you disagree with the previous poster.  A red-arrow is reserved for a repudiation of a flaming jerkhole post.   And I think you know exactly what I mean.  And even then, to be applied by a Moderator. 

  7. Canada's Equalization Payments System is not that bizarre ; Germany has such , as long as I can think of , with the Southern States usually being the givers , and the Northern States being the takers . Money itself became that much of an income , that the State of Hesse with the Banking Place city of Frankfurt being the largest giver IIRC . Somehow it does not hurt the giving states much , since that South-North scheme is functioning since two to four decades at least . Of course , complaints are expressed all the time .
  8. Large ships will be fueled by Liquified Natural Gas ( LNG ) , even crude carriers . https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/dnv-gl-awards-aip-to-daehan-shipbuilding-for-lng-fuelled-aframax-design/ There will be a transition phase , but prices for low sulphur maritime fuels will decrease . Bunker Rates
  9. hellenicshippingnews.com said yesterday , that the average price for WTI had been $65 and $72 for Brent in year 2018 , with a high at 3rd October and low at 24th December . Overall , I would predict a lower average for 2019 , than for 2018 ; average prices like during years 2015 and 2016 ($50) . Opec+ might throttle supply , but if Iran sanctions will screw further , Opec+ will be able to push more oil onto the markets . Venezuela might get online again , since I can't believe , that China and Russia will stay neutral in regards to their investments . Brazil will deliver more , and Mexico probably could reduce domestic oil theft . Canada is only capable to throttle production , due to authoritie's measures , if drillers are left to heir own devices , the production in Canada will rise again . Without any governmental regulations worldwide (International Socialism) oil could cost even $20 and less . Nevertheless , WTI and Brent likely are worth more than many crudes , since they have short ways to their markets : The lower the transportation costs , the higher the oil price . Electric Vehicles are still not yet deployed much , but in 10 years may make up to 10% of cars in use worldwide . Power-To-Gas and -To-Gasoline will likely become deployed in the next 10 years to come , increasing the pressure on crude oil prices . From tecson.de : https://www.tecson.de/historische-oelpreise.html
  10. My guess is , that there is so much money in global shipping , that the owners and charterers will adjust to the markets they head to . Singapore said , that it will not allow loop scrubbers in it's ports , smaller vessels will be too expensive to add scrubbers , and recently oilprice.com wrote , that there had been a very high amount of tankers demolished in 2018 , pointing to low charter rates . Ship owners will shift to environment friendlier technology , just to spare legal hassle , and able to demand higher charter rates , since such ships will be universally deployable everywhere . Older ships of ages 20+ will be scrapped year for year , and there will be only newer engine technology available at the few giant shipyards left over worldwide .
  11. Where is this Thread Starter copied from ? Seems , that Japan is able to pay off it's bonds , and able to find customers of it's newly issued bonds .
  12. Wrong title : Imports , not Outports . Astonishingly , Saudi Arabia had replaced Iraq as main supplier of Calif -Föhrenian Crude Oil during the years 2000 to 2004 . Since Bin Laden is of KSA -heritage , one could knit a conspiracy theory about it ... Wondering , why it is still affordable to ship 150 million barrels from Arabia across the half world in year 2017 , making 75 arrivals of some VLCC tanker ship necessary , rouchly one each 5 days . Such a tanker ship would need 30 to 45 days for one tour , and shuttling back the same time . And this would make roughly 4 to 6 transports a year each tanker , demanding around 15 VLCC all the time just to transport Crude Oil from Arabia to California . If Russia , Canada and Alaska could provide enough capacity , the transport to California would be much faster , and probably cheaper . The USA needs to build tankers , Trump should spin off a company to build tankers , any costs will be received , since the Jones Act 'guarantees' a 40+year lifespan for steamers sailing the US-Coasts .
  13. Words and paper are patient . When both are of age 90+, their Alzheimer will not remember anymore .
  14. People want to be optimistic . People don't change easily , because change would require relocation and new positive job perspectives . The income of banks is created by loans , and banks need an optimistic outlook to receive debt customers . My guess is , that predictions of "experts" are of the positive kind , usually getting worse . Here in this case , I would side with Citi Bank with $49 .
  15. These would also block parking places for handicapped people . French Revolution , Steam Machine , Sabotage : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabot_(shoe) See also : Maschinenstürmer , Swing Riots : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_Riots