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  1. Past hour

  2. U.S. Presidential Elections Status - Electoral Votes

    Dan Warnick replied to topic's Eyes Wide Open in Geopolitics

  3. Tesla Semi

    Dan Warnick replied to topic's Dan Warnick in Renewables

    So another day on the job for the people who do this every day? 80% of trucking in the U.S. is 250 miles or less. Less maintenance for EV. Less operating cost. Cleaner job site with only a small amount of diesel storage necessary, if any at all. If someone is planning to build a new depot, it would be sweet to build such a place, I would think?
  4. Today
  5. the vid is for morons. not a single fact presented. just more fear mongering to prepare dumbshit murcans for war. what else to expect from a senior member of the war machine?

  6. Natural Gas Demand Will Grow For Decades To Come

    Meredith Poor replied to topic's RichieRich216 in Nat Gas / LNG

    It’s cheap, Plentiful and we have Decades of it!
  7. Yesterday
  8. Excellent point ORO. Harry Dent predicts trends by viewing that metric of "population", e.g. Japan.
  9. Emerging sanctions-driven EU alliance with Navalny reeks of Western neo-colonial moves which helped destroy Russia in 1990s 30 Nov, 2020 14:47

  10. Is it time to talk about Hydrogen?

    Wombat replied to topic's ronwagn in Renewables

    Many thanks, I will try them again. It has been decades since I gave up on rechargeables. Here is something I found from another reliable source. https://www.ign.com/articles/best-rechargeable-batteries

  11. War for Taiwan?

    frankfurter replied to topic's ronwagn in Geopolitics

    Boat, we just "elected",maybe, Biden. He is beholden to China and his son is totally exposed and should be going to prison. The American people have little choice but to buy the products available for a reasonable price. The media do not tell the truth and hide the truth. So who is pissed off enough to actually do anything regarding trade without Trump's leadership? Watch the Demoncrats and RINOS trying to kiss the asses of the Chinese. Do you think we will really switch our manufacturing to alternate countries without Trump? What other countries will face the reality and oppose China in any meaningful way? Serious questions. I would like everyone's opinion.

  12. WTI / ​​​​​​​Price Forecasting 

    Dr.Masih Rezvani replied to topic's Tomasz in Oil (General)

    After only 2 days with have also information about first 29 days of November http://www.finmarket.ru/news/5364891

  13. Natural Gas Precaution

    Anisha fatima replied to topic's Tom Nolan in Nat Gas / LNG

    Two options A) Either run like hell, or B) Strike a match to find the leak. If you like the projected policies of Biden and "The Great Reset", I suggest Option B.

  14. Russia loses its chance to capture the EU gas market

    Tom Kirkman replied to topic's Tomasz in Nat Gas / LNG

    As the company notes, this change is mainly due to an increase in the amount of long-term loans and borrowings in ruble equivalent due to the increase in the dollar and Euro exchange rates against the ruble. 1 $ is now about 75 roubles
  15. That's why big Pharma is re-testing as millions of vials are being flown globally!!! Too late for some.....I am not getting no injections until they can prove with 100% certainty it won't alter the cells in body forever.

  16. Mail IN Ballot Fraud

    Bob D replied to topic's ronwagn in Geopolitics

    Who breaks their foot playing with their German Shepherd? He must have osteoporosis along with his dementia.
  17. The Nord Stream II company officially announced the resumption of works on the laying of Nord Stream II on December 5, 2020, because probably with the big help of German technical thought, the Akademik Cherskiy currently meets all the technical requirements of the Danish side and is able to complete the construction of the gas pipeline slowly but surely. The unaware I would like to inform that this is probably partly due to the fact that, for example, in Poland, malicious people call the Baltic Sea the Baltic pond - the sea is not really deep in the deepest place, it is probably 200 m deep and the work is to take place closer to the shore. It is also not a sea where storms or any other weather events are like those in the Pacific Ocean. We will see now how the Americans react to it, but given that the US is politically quite messy after the last elections and there is coming transition of power in White House from strategic point of view the moment may be right to finish the pipeline.
  18. It's a manipulated market, without a doubt. Real refiners never buy on the spot market, but everyone pays attention to it. The hedge funds (leveraged to the hilt) can push the price up or down at will, while the oil companies can't compete, they're too busy producing real value.
  19. Canada's [Fish] Oil Industry Will Be Indispensable For Decades To Come. As far as the petroleum industry goes, anyone that would say something like this given what's going on with various energy technologies is living in another world. It might be a correct assertion, but it would be exceedingly dangerous to count on it. Canada's fertility rate is 1.6 children per woman, so Canada's population in 2050 could have shrunk by one third, to around 25 million. That alone could alter the ratio of demand for electricity in comparison to hydrocarbons.
  20. I decided that since this issue is extremely important in the field of oil production in the USA and Canada, it is worth quoting a basic article about the giant - the Russian publicly traded company Transnieft, in which the Russian government seems to have a significant stake and some shares are also listed on the stock exchange. As far as I know, this company has a practical monopoly on the transport of crude oil and petroleum products in the territory of the Russian Federation. It is only really strange that this report omits last year's big scandal with the contamination of the Druzhba pipeline, because it has such big scandal impact that paradoxically it contributed to the fact that oil exports in the second quarter, especially in June, were not really lower than in 2019 and the effects of export cuts were not felt by Russia until 3rd q. Thus, officially, in the second quarter, the Russian GDP fell by 8% year on year and in the third quarter by 3.6% and, according to the Ministry of Economy, 1.6% of these 3.6% is a decline in oil production.
  21. All in all, if some kind of temporary solution to the problem in Europe is that everyone who has the opportunity use their own car commuting in the city, which was to be expected, in my opinion this is the best option for public health and the global oil market. I personally commute to work with my own car since March, although I have a very good bus connection which normally would be more convenient than my own car. As temporary solution I think it should be accepted even in ecology friendly cities or cities with some traffic problems.
  22. Last week

  23. How China Is Racing To Expand Its Global Energy Influence

    Meredith Poor replied to topic's Tomasz in Geopolitics

    I was wondering because I was following the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict and the Armenians who lost the war are now comforting themselves that they live in a democracy and the Azeris in much more authoritarianism Because when the Armenians were building democracy, the Azeri dictator was building an army and buying equipment, so he finally recaptured Nagorno-Karabakh. Then suddenly it occurred to me whether in 20-30 years it would not be the main narrative in the American media after defeat in a fight for global domination with China. Overall, life is probably not really fun in the Chinese system, but given the degree of aggressiveness of American foreign politics after World War II, each side has advantages and disadvantages. In any case, the US has grown up a rival much more powerful than the USSR ever was because even now China is economically much stronger, so it's slowly time to buy popcorn because Trump has already offered the first volley in the global war for global domination.
  24. Hey, I'm sure not only I was having the idea that Electric-Mobility create whole new industries and some materials will be needed in amounts hard to imagine, same as a 1930 civilian after the 1929 "Black Friday" (in US its Thursday because of the 6 to 9 hours difference between Germany/Central Europe and the "Lower 48"? Alaska is 10 hours earlier than Berlin afair (now 17:55, means 11:55 in New York City/East Coast and 8:55 in California/West coast. Alaska than 7:55 and Hawaii 6:55 (for political reasons? Correct would be 5:55 or earlier?!), we have Corona as a "crisis", in 1930 it seemed unbelievable that global oil demand would reach 15 million barrels daily, even growth to 10 million global seemed far away due to the 1929-crisis. 2019 maybe was "Peak Oil Demand" and supply was somewhere between 99 and 100 million barrels per day, closer at 100m than at 99m...1970 to 2020 are hard to compare even with 1973, 1979 and 1990/91 etc... Its more like early 20th Century and electricity and the bulb existing for years now got cheaper to produce and the new bulbs are safer, cleaner and offers many different types of light (Kelvin, brightness, duration...) and without the car existing as real mass product looks like petroleum lamps in 50 years could be almost not used anymore... and even reducing oil fuels to aircraft, special ships in international waters taking advantage of a cheaper oil propulsion and so on in 2020/2021 still leaves large industries. First we larger populated and heavy oil revenue "addicts", with no real net natural gas imports bringing at least a small relief (as Natural Gas is marketed another Way to trade it sooner or earlier above oil prices as its the "greenest" of the "big three" (Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Coal). "The least dirty" is more correct. WTI was first time in history (strong) negative and Oman made a unique offer for their (maybe they know more, but not long ago at least ~75% of Omans oil reserves were in that block... they wanted some billions cash now and other conditions for a majority or full access to the block? First Middle East oil producer who sells his oil I think again in a "up to" 50-year step forward, but already 2030 plans in many economies is dangerous, new technology...Norway plans to ban new fossil fuel vehicles by 2025, how will the global oil market look in 2030, 2035 and 2040 with 2045 being "half time"?!
  25. I’m pretty sure these guys will shake the world by the results of their working experience in nearest future!

  26. Can Hydrogen Energy Save Coal Country?

    a topic posted Meredith Poor in Renewables

    Scenario 1 is that existing silicon solar cells and wind power costs decline in a predictable progression, leading to solar panels costing roughly 1 cent per watt before 2030. The current lowest price I can find in China is about 15 cents per watt for a panel. The current lowest price I can find per cell is around 7 cents per watt. Note: I have found a price of 2 cents per watt quoted by one Chinese vendor, if the order is for 465 MW cells, or 100,000,000 units. Scenario 2 is that perovskite solar cells become commercially viable, shortening the path to one cent per watt to the mid-2020's, or earlier. The 'one cent per watt' price might be for a panel that only lasts 10 years, however this may well be economically viable. Scenario 3 is that thermal hydrogen fusion commercializes no later than 2030. Scenario 4 is that HB11 fusion commercializes, also between 2025 and 2030. None of these necessarily excludes the others - there are some situations where silicon PV would remain desirable even if perovskite panels are significantly cheaper - generally smaller scale uses where high longevity is paramount. There may be so much cross fertilization on the fusion front that 'all of them' commercialize in their respective niches. Of these scenarios, the most desirable for incumbent power plants is scenario 3, since this is a 'boiling water' system that simply replaces the coal with a fusion reactor. This isn't 'Green Hydrogen', but it is a 'hydrogen' solution, so to speak. Anyone that proposes hydrogen as a fuel should look up hydrogen embrittlement. Start with the idea that ordinary hydrogen is the 'smallest' atom making up the 'smallest' molecule (H2). This is going to be stored under pressure in tanks made of steel or similar materials, and transferred through pumps, pipes, valves, and metering over long distances. Hydrogen's energy potential is enormous - great as a fuel when burned in appropriate circumstances, not so great when it's burning the ship or the pipeline it's being transported in. This leads to the idea that there are appropriate hydrogen 'carriers', such as methane, ammonia, urea, or propane. Methane is a very stable molecule, unfortunately it is a gas at room temperature and a contributor to global warming. Ammonia and propane are both liquids when transported in bulk, usually under moderate pressures. Urea is a solid at room temperature, and is both non-toxic and non-volatile. Using nitrogen (in ammonia and urea) as a carrier is problematic due to the energy required to disassociate the nitrogen molecule. The flip side of that is that when the hydrogen is consumed at the end, the 'emissions' are nitrogen and water. However, urea also contains a carbon, so it's disassociation produces a certain amount of CO2. Hydrolyzing water to make ammonia or propane would be 'perfect' work for the kind of people that operate power plants and oil refineries, since this is a lot of plumbing and chemical reactors. So this is good in scenarios 1, 2, and 3 where electricity (and/or sunlight) needs to be converted to chemical energy. Scenario 4 generates electricity directly, so there is no boiling water and no point in transporting fuel. If, for example, a locomotive ran on an HB11 reaction, it would have no fuel and no engine. There would be something that looks vaguely like a fuel cell or battery generating electricity. There might also be batteries to store 'regenerated' power - the fusion reactor would ramp up and down 'slowly', keeping the batteries 'topped off' while the train is underway. This would also work for ships. It may or may not work for aircraft. Much of the 'problem' in the coal areas is that there is no inherent reason anyone would want to live in eastern Kentucky, Wyoming, Montana, or West Virginia. While the people might find jobs, they might find them in places that are more attractive - due either to culture or climate.
  27. Here in Commiefornia; Our Sh!thead Gump and Legislature have decreed that by the year 2045 it will be ILLEGAL for car dealerships to sell new ICE powered autos. Period. Full Stop. On top of that, the state is mandated to be 100% renewables powered by the same time period. Never mind our existing electrical power grid is as fragile as a new born fawns legs just hrs after its birth. The grid will be minus all the Nat Gas plants which as of 2018 figures from the state is a 45.5% hole that must be filled. They establish these edicts and say the majority of existing sources of power are soon to be Verboten. Not to mention, these idiots in the Bill Mill will be long gone from the scene and thus will skate any responsibility when the lights go out.

  28. America Could Go Fully Electric Right Now

    Meredith Poor replied to topic's KilonBerlin in Renewables

    Heating: statistics are different, question is who faked them.. West-Berlin until 1989/90 had the Cities power supplier (now Vattenfall) had a absolute primary unique German role to create electricity under conditions which for other metropolitan regions already in 1989 or before were out of question, thermal which now is gaining popularity here in Berlin-Center, also former West-Center, I mean area is small, West-Berlin and "Central" areas close to the West-Berlin-Border were better places, deep inside the east until today often you feel where you are... Energyplan 2030 however needs the capital, private households and even high buildings used much oil, for laarge housing buildings (10+ floors is large, the typical pre-war housing was/is up to 4 floors, main house and in the back left/right entries...but everything not "Altbau" (="Old Build(ing") was made oil after 1948-1949 airlift expierence, same as coal was kept for electricity even when natural gas outside the US started to see heavy increases and exports, especially by the Soviet Union were ignored, as flying in Natural Gas is no option, after the war when surviving mattered and not "clima", the so called "City Gas" was used in the East and Western cities close to coal regions (= whole Germany post war somehow -.-), like Hitler planned Coal-to-Liquid (Oil/Gasoline) already before he got Kanzler, planned only as gapfiller, some companies back than made it, Coal-to-Gas for the civilian use I think (kitchen and heating where wood was not available or forbidden to get your own wood and here Coal-Gas was cheaper (Coal was further used I guess, just the gas was exctracted first or during the process?!) than collected and "correct" (with a long-time plan to be sustainable) grown wood in larger cities, increasing wealth and huge health risks caused to replace city gas by real natural gas in limited amounts (cooking needs not much) and disappeared from large industry use... in West-Berlin oil is still popular in former West-Berlin housing units planned and starter in late 60's and I guess here there are differences for planned constructions until November 1973 and than once more ~1979 and buildings after this, but such large units were very limited in the 80's as the new areas offered space, just with few green place, the big house my good primary school friend lived in had such a "machine" which was giant and visible via the windows, the house had like 12-14 floors and I think 4 entries with a lot of flats per floor... I guess this was a oil heating XL-unit for these thousands of people, with many large units very close, some "smaller" (up to 7 floords or so), maybe it was connected to them, and there were multiple backups... This is looking at geographic North-East-Germany a massive oil heating consumer compared to other areas, but the new plan is baning almost all pure oil heating units, except when a change is not possible and historical reasons or so... every new home (1-family is the usual people they are aiming at, as companies know what to do) starting 2026 needs a hybrid system if it wants to use oil, and oil is the secondary fuel, photovoltaic-oil and heat-pumps-oil (too expensive here/yet?!) are possible "everywhere", its a electric-heating-system, for now there is a low where 30 years or older oil heaters have to be changed immediately, when this was introduced they thought to pay for every change/destroyed oil heater, oil lobby maybe wanted to keep a little bit market share so far and it is a support if you reach 30 years or decide to change an old oil system for the ~5 years to come, not clever but possible, How much Oil? I think as it was used in the wealthy West-Berlin Island in new buildings here a lot of people are reached without even knowing it if they don't study the costs for things like heating, garbage etc... Numbers vary up to "20 million people - almost 1/4th of the ~83.5 million population", but what about people using oil at work and gas/else at home? Another number I did read was ~3 million units, much of them in the 1-2 family buildings in the areas close to the former wall, here it was popular too and here 1 unit is for 1 or 2 family (depends on house), I think the more former West-Germany the more oil is found, and in former GDR less, except for newest buildings... the one source which also spoke about "german speaking" area oil heating in Austria/Switzerland added another 0.5 Million total I think. There was a interesting number which was so "low" that even me loving numbers forgot it, I guess a pretty modern site/number, all these german oil heaters running at unusual bad weather would only use <barrels? of heating oil Extra Light>, representing so and so much (or few) per cent of German or Worldwide crude oil consumption (Pre-Corona). US had a surprising small number in oil heaters, but many "Housing units" had no heating at all in the south of the southern states/areas and ofc Florida, Texas and California etc often only primitive but effective fireplaces or so, like a small camin almost never needed at the mexican border...

  29. Exxon oil price per barrel

    a topic posted Wilcall in Oil (General)

    Question for all you experts. If Exxon makes appropriate 500 million on every raise of one dollar. Is that estimate based on WTI raise in price or Brent. There is a big price difference. Thanks for your help.
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