Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 25, 2022 40 minutes ago, Old-Ruffneck said: Oil Will Still Dominate The U.S. Energy Market In 2050 By Tsvetana Paraskova - Mar 24, 2022, 7:00 PM CDT While the energy transition is undoubtedly underway, the EIA believes oil and gas will continue to dominate the U.S. energy mix in 2050 as population and economic growth boost energy demand. Electric vehicles are expected to become more popular in the coming decades but gasoline cars will still make up 79 percent of sales in 2050. U.S. crude production is expected to reach a record high in 2023 due to soaring oil prices and natural gas production will also increase as demand for exports grows. Oil Will Still Dominate The U.S. Energy Market In 2050 | OilPrice.com Damned if oil will still be King in 2050!!! LOL @Jay McKinsey @notsonice HaHa, you are going to look quite the fool. I've bookmarked this report so we can all have a good laugh two years from now when BEV sales pass their 2050 prediction: "BEV sales grow, increasing from 0.34 million in 2021 to 1.52 million in 2050" 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eyes Wide Open + 3,555 March 25, 2022 (edited) 7 hours ago, Rob Plant said: Average income in Germany According to the Federal Statistical Office of Germany, in 2020 the average gross annual salary was 47.700 euros, or 3.975 euros per month. Current XR is 1.1 USD to the Euro According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the annual mean wage for a full-time wage or salary worker in the United States is $53,490 per year or $1,028 per week (for a 40-hour work week). This equates to €48,627 per year, so a difference of €927 per year or €77/month hardly substandard, unless you think US wages are substandard I guess. Mr Plant let bring some clarity, that post was not one of international parity but one of local or regional parity. In short Tesla is disrupting local market's. Tesla’s Berlin Plant Paying Employees 20% Less Than German Rivals https://www.carscoops.com/2022/01/teslas-german-plant-paying-employees-20-less-than-rivals/ A note here. While there is not much discussion being made on the topic of disposable income I can assure you nations cannot survive without it. There are some references time to time in regards to demand destruction however and the results. COVID 19 was quite a glaring example, chaos around the world only to be exhasburated with Russia declaring war. To my point, American discord has its foundation's due to the lack of disposable income and the population is now rioting. Make no mistakes here the US is In a very precarious position, there are large swaths of the population doomed to poverty for a lifetime. A personal oberservation, 200k yearly would only scratch the surface of what was a middle class lifestyle. Edited March 25, 2022 by Eyes Wide Open Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
notsonice + 1,255 DM March 25, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said: Mr Plant let bring some clarity, that post was not one of international parity but one of local or regional parity. In short Tesla is disrupting local market's. Tesla’s Berlin Plant Paying Employees 20% Less Than German Rivals https://www.carscoops.com/2022/01/teslas-german-plant-paying-employees-20-less-than-rivals/ A note here. While there is not much discussion being made on the topic of disposable income I can assure you nations cannot survive without it. There are some references time to time in regards to demand destruction however and the results. COVID 19 was quite a glaring example, chaos around the world only to be exhasburated with Russia declaring war. To my point, American discord has its foundation's due to the lack of disposable income and the population is now rioting. Make no mistakes here the US is In a very precarious position, there are large swaths of the population doomed to poverty for a lifetime. A personal oberservation, 200k yearly would only scratch the surface of what was a middle class lifestyle. 200k yearly would only scratch the surface of what was a middle class lifestyle?????? 200k is not middle class....what are you smoking???? 200k family income puts you in the top 6 to 7 % in the US ....Oregon 7% (2022).......Your observations are that of a babbling senile old man.... https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/what-percentage-of-american-households-make-over-200k over 200K 150k-200k 100k-150k New Jersey 14.00% 10.00% 18.00% Massachusetts 13.00% 10.00% 18.00% Maryland 13.00% 11.00% 19.00% Connecticut 13.00% 10.00% 17.00% California 12.00% 9.00% 17.00% Virginia 11.00% 9.00% 17.00% New York 11.00% 8.00% 16.00% Washington 10.00% 8.00% 18.00% Hawaii 10.00% 10.00% 20.00% New Hampshire 9.00% 9.00% 19.00% Colorado 9.00% 8.00% 18.00% Alaska 9.00% 10.00% 19.00% Minnesota 8.00% 8.00% 18.00% Illinois 8.00% 7.00% 16.00% Texas 7.00% 7.00% 15.00% Rhode Island 7.00% 8.00% 17.00% Pennsylvania 7.00% 6.00% 15.00% Oregon 7.00% 7.00% 15.00% Georgia 7.00% 6.00% 14.00% Delaware 7.00% 8.00% 17.00% Vermont 6.00% 6.00% 16.00% Utah 6.00% 7.00% 19.00% North Dakota 6.00% 6.00% 17.00% Florida 6.00% 5.00% 13.00% Arizona 6.00% 6.00% 14.00% Wyoming 5.00% 6.00% 17.00% Wisconsin 5.00% 6.00% 16.00% Tennessee 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% South Carolina 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Ohio 5.00% 5.00% 14.00% North Carolina 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Nevada 5.00% 6.00% 15.00% Nebraska 5.00% 6.00% 16.00% Missouri 5.00% 5.00% 14.00% Michigan 5.00% 6.00% 14.00% Maine 5.00% 5.00% 15.00% Louisiana 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Kansas 5.00% 6.00% 15.00% Iowa 5.00% 5.00% 15.00% South Dakota 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Oklahoma 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% New Mexico 4.00% 5.00% 12.00% Montana 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% Kentucky 4.00% 4.00% 13.00% Indiana 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Idaho 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Arkansas 4.00% 4.00% 11.00% Alabama 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% West Virginia 3.00% 4.00% 11.00% Mississippi 3.00% 4.00% 11.00% Edited March 25, 2022 by notsonice 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eyes Wide Open + 3,555 March 25, 2022 (edited) 2 hours ago, notsonice said: 200k yearly would only scratch the surface of what was a middle class lifestyle?????? 200k is not middle class....what are you smoking???? 200k family income puts you in the top 6 to 7 % in the US ....Oregon 7% (2022).......Your observations are that of a babbling senile old man.... https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/what-percentage-of-american-households-make-over-200k over 200K 150k-200k 100k-150k New Jersey 14.00% 10.00% 18.00% Massachusetts 13.00% 10.00% 18.00% Maryland 13.00% 11.00% 19.00% Connecticut 13.00% 10.00% 17.00% California 12.00% 9.00% 17.00% Virginia 11.00% 9.00% 17.00% New York 11.00% 8.00% 16.00% Washington 10.00% 8.00% 18.00% Hawaii 10.00% 10.00% 20.00% New Hampshire 9.00% 9.00% 19.00% Colorado 9.00% 8.00% 18.00% Alaska 9.00% 10.00% 19.00% Minnesota 8.00% 8.00% 18.00% Illinois 8.00% 7.00% 16.00% Texas 7.00% 7.00% 15.00% Rhode Island 7.00% 8.00% 17.00% Pennsylvania 7.00% 6.00% 15.00% Oregon 7.00% 7.00% 15.00% Georgia 7.00% 6.00% 14.00% Delaware 7.00% 8.00% 17.00% Vermont 6.00% 6.00% 16.00% Utah 6.00% 7.00% 19.00% North Dakota 6.00% 6.00% 17.00% Florida 6.00% 5.00% 13.00% Arizona 6.00% 6.00% 14.00% Wyoming 5.00% 6.00% 17.00% Wisconsin 5.00% 6.00% 16.00% Tennessee 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% South Carolina 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Ohio 5.00% 5.00% 14.00% North Carolina 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Nevada 5.00% 6.00% 15.00% Nebraska 5.00% 6.00% 16.00% Missouri 5.00% 5.00% 14.00% Michigan 5.00% 6.00% 14.00% Maine 5.00% 5.00% 15.00% Louisiana 5.00% 5.00% 13.00% Kansas 5.00% 6.00% 15.00% Iowa 5.00% 5.00% 15.00% South Dakota 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Oklahoma 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% New Mexico 4.00% 5.00% 12.00% Montana 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% Kentucky 4.00% 4.00% 13.00% Indiana 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Idaho 4.00% 5.00% 14.00% Arkansas 4.00% 4.00% 11.00% Alabama 4.00% 5.00% 13.00% West Virginia 3.00% 4.00% 11.00% Mississippi 3.00% 4.00% 11.00% Your understanding of such matters would be woeful at best. Aside from stating openly you are a badly misguided soul. A very brief history, I post this knowing full well you will not take the time to comprehend the article you simply lack the courage and intellectual honesty. Democrats cant win until they recognise how bad Obamas financial policies were https://dailytimes.com.pk/34963/democrats-cant-win-until-they-recognise-how-bad-obamas-financial-policies-were/ A note here..the below numbers reflect 1985... How Much Do Production Workers Make? Job Title Salary Boral Production Worker salaries – 10 salaries reported $32/hr Randstad Production Worker salaries – 6 salaries reported $29/hr Guala Closures Production Worker salaries – 5 salaries reported $22/hr Workforce International Production Worker salaries – 4 salaries reported $28/hr What Is Starting Wage At Gm? https://www.thesharpener.net/what-did-a-production-worker-for-gm-make-in-1985/ Edited March 25, 2022 by Eyes Wide Open Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 25, 2022 They sure beat Trump without any such recognition. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eyes Wide Open + 3,555 March 26, 2022 15 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said: They sure beat Trump without any such recognition. Indeed they did, the question would be will it be a decisive turn in US history. Soon we will know the final outcome. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 2 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said: Indeed they did, the question would be will it be a decisive turn in US history. Soon we will know the final outcome. Final outcome?? No, just the next chapter. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
notsonice + 1,255 DM March 26, 2022 (edited) 4 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said: Your understanding of such matters would be woeful at best. Aside from stating openly you are a badly misguided soul. A very brief history, I post this knowing full well you will not take the time to comprehend the article you simply lack the courage and intellectual honesty. Democrats cant win until they recognise how bad Obamas financial policies were https://dailytimes.com.pk/34963/democrats-cant-win-until-they-recognise-how-bad-obamas-financial-policies-were/ A note here..the below numbers reflect 1985... How Much Do Production Workers Make? Job Title Salary Boral Production Worker salaries – 10 salaries reported $32/hr Randstad Production Worker salaries – 6 salaries reported $29/hr Guala Closures Production Worker salaries – 5 salaries reported $22/hr Workforce International Production Worker salaries – 4 salaries reported $28/hr What Is Starting Wage At Gm? https://www.thesharpener.net/what-did-a-production-worker-for-gm-make-in-1985/ 200k yearly would only scratch the surface of what was a middle class lifestyle?????? dude your babbling BS shows how far you are off the deep end.............Just one question...how old were you when you went into your mental decline????? 200K is middle class????? try $52,187 – $156,560.... top top end in NY or NJ is 156 for middle class in your state Oregon Income needed to be considered middle class: $27,684 – $134,239 Median family income: $82,540 (20th highest) Share of income held by “middle class”: 47.9% (14th highest) Share of income held by wealthiest 5% of households: 20.7% (7th lowest) Cost of living in Oregon: 2.2% more expensive than U.S. avg. where does 200K figure in???? what was a middle class lifestyle......oh boy I have a bridge to sell you Edited March 26, 2022 by notsonice Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nsdp + 449 eh March 26, 2022 On 3/23/2022 at 2:30 AM, Jay McKinsey said: An asynchronous generator is used to spin a flywheel that then powers a synchronous generator. But the even better answer is that batteries are just programmed to skip that step. Information is about to be recognized as the fifth form of matter. Jay , now that it is official How Ukraine Unplugged from Russia and Joined Europe’s Power Grid with Unprecedented Speed https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/ You read an article like Calculus for Dummies on how the grid change over happened. Ukraine still has do upgrades to the system to sell power to the One of the primary challenges of interconnecting grids is synchronizing them, which is what Ukrenergo, Moldelectrica and ENTSO-E accomplished last week. isks persist even now that Ukraine is on board. Interconnected grids do not just allow shared benefits; they also create the potential for shared problems. An issue in one part of the grid, such as a plant failure, could cause a change in frequency to ripple throughout the entire network. In a worst-case scenario, a generator with inadequate power-stabilization capabilities could amplify the change in frequency and send it back to the grid at large. ttps://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/" ttps://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/ That means a fixed frequeency. Tesla on the other hand does not want to be locked in at 17 mph which would be the result of synchronous generator. So they make some key design changes in their alternators that make their use on a synchronous 50/60cylce grid potentially catastrophic. They split the core into four synchronous magnets.Tesla Model 3's IPM-SynRM Electric Motor Explained. Tesla uses a motor not a generator. It produces mechanical power not electrical power. It also "According to Learn Engineering, it helps to reduce the eddy currents and lowers the risk of magnets overheating." https://insideevs.com/news/461811/video-tesla-model-3-electric-motor-explaine Eddy currents destroy transformers used to change AC from one voltage to another. Next time you look for electrical engineering advise don't consult a waffle iron salesman. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 (edited) 13 minutes ago, nsdp said: Jay , now that it is official How Ukraine Unplugged from Russia and Joined Europe’s Power Grid with Unprecedented Speed https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/ You read an article like Calculus for Dummies on how the grid change over happened. Ukraine still has do upgrades to the system to sell power to the One of the primary challenges of interconnecting grids is synchronizing them, which is what Ukrenergo, Moldelectrica and ENTSO-E accomplished last week. isks persist even now that Ukraine is on board. Interconnected grids do not just allow shared benefits; they also create the potential for shared problems. An issue in one part of the grid, such as a plant failure, could cause a change in frequency to ripple throughout the entire network. In a worst-case scenario, a generator with inadequate power-stabilization capabilities could amplify the change in frequency and send it back to the grid at large. ttps://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/" ttps://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-ukraine-unplugged-from-russia-and-joined-europes-power-grid-with-unprecedented-speed/ That means a fixed frequeency. Tesla on the other hand does not want to be locked in at 17 mph which would be the result of synchronous generator. So they make some key design changes in their alternators that make their use on a synchronous 50/60cylce grid potentially catastrophic. They split the core into four synchronous magnets.Tesla Model 3's IPM-SynRM Electric Motor Explained. Tesla uses a motor not a generator. It produces mechanical power not electrical power. It also "According to Learn Engineering, it helps to reduce the eddy currents and lowers the risk of magnets overheating." https://insideevs.com/news/461811/video-tesla-model-3-electric-motor-explaine Eddy currents destroy transformers used to change AC from one voltage to another. Next time you look for electrical engineering advise don't consult a waffle iron salesman. Dude, Tesla does not use their car motor technology for grid applications. What kind of waffle irons are you selling? Edited March 26, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
notsonice + 1,255 DM March 26, 2022 Peak Coal getting hammered down...Enjoy.. Timed to coincide with EV production increases.......Oil????? no need for gasoline for cars in 2035...unless you are driving a clunker Biden administration announces first wind power lease off Carolinas BY ZACK BUDRYK - 03/25/22 09:57 AM EDT 446 © AP Photo/Michael Dwyer, File The Biden administration on Friday morning announced the first offshore wind energy lease sale off the coast of the Carolinas, part of a broader goal of installing 30 gigawatts of offshore wind power. The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) will auction off the two lease areas, which cover 110,091 acres in the Carolina Long Bay, on May 11. The Interior Department projects the area could provide 1.3 gigawatts of offshore energy after development. “The Biden-Harris administration is committed to supporting a robust clean energy economy, and the upcoming Carolina Long Bay offshore wind energy auction provides yet another excellent opportunity to strengthen the clean energy industry while creating good-paying union jobs,” Interior Secretary Deb Haaland said in a statement. “This is an historic time for domestic offshore wind energy development. We will continue using every tool in our toolbox to tackle the climate crisis, reduce our emissions to reach the President’s bold goals, and advance environmental justice.” The 30 gigawatt goal is part of a broader Biden administration goal of halving U.S. carbon emissions by 2030. In autumn of 2020, the administration released a roadmap for offshore wind power that envisions installations across the east and west coasts of the U.S. as well as the Gulf of Mexico and the Gulf of Maine. The announcement comes as environmentalist groups have aggressively lobbied the administration to accelerate the transition to renewable energy sources as gas prices soar amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The administration has taken relief measures such as releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and appealing to both domestic oil companies and nations like Saudi Arabia to increase production. However, advocates have argued the hike demonstrates the volatility of fossil fuels in general, saying the instability shows the need to transition to renewable energy sources that are not subject to those same swings. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nsdp + 449 eh March 26, 2022 On 3/23/2022 at 1:02 AM, Jay McKinsey said: Sorry, but even if your out of date tech analysis were true it is simply a non issue to spin up a synchronous generator with battery power, we have plenty of them sitting all over the grid. Jay this is the piece of stupidity that has to come from a waffle iron sales man. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 (edited) 18 minutes ago, nsdp said: Jay this is the piece of stupidity that has to come from a waffle iron sales man. A synchronous generator is just a bloody flywheel. A battery does a better job of frequency synchronization than any other device on the grid. The only reason to spin up a synchronous generator is for inertia. It is a non issue to spin one up using battery power to the proper frequency. The output frequency of a synchronous generator can be more easily regulated to remain at a constant value. Synchronous generators (large ones at least) are more efficient than asynchronous generators. Synchronous generators can more easily accommodate load power factor variations. Synchronous generators can be started by supplying the rotor field excitation from a battery. Permanent magnet synchronous generators require no rotor field excitation. http://www.electway.net/news/difference_between_Asynchronous_and_synchronous_generator.html Edited March 26, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 Solar starts strong, growing 40% year over year in January (Moore's Law, doubling every two years) US solar generation reached new heights despite a year of challenges. Plus, pv magazine discusses “renewable” vs. “sustainable.” MARCH 25, 2022 RYAN KENNEDY Image: Photo by Andreas Gücklhorn on UnsplashSolar PV reached new heights through 2021, with top line estimates pegging total global deployment at the inspiring milestone of 1TW of installed active capacity on the planet. In January 2022, the United States made its latest contribution by bringing 22 projects to commercial operation, adding 952MW of capacity. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its January Electric Power Monthly update. For the month, solar photovoltaics generated 8GWh, which represented 2% of total (utility scale) electricity generated for the month in the United States. Impressively, January’s generation increased nearly 40% year-over-year. When including estimates for small-scale solar, EIA reported the United States generated 11.17GWh of solar photovoltaic energy, up from 8.47GWh in the previous year, or a 33.5% increase. Image: PV intel The three largest projects added in January were Fort Powhatan Solar in Virginia, with a nameplate capacity of 150MW, followed by Searcy Solar in Arkansas with 100MW, and Assembly Solar III in Michigan, clocking in at 79MW nameplate capacity. Renewable vs. sustainable Renewable energy, including solar PV, solar thermal, wind, biomass, geothermal, and conventional hydroelectric power combined for a total generation of 79.29GWh. A distinction should be made between “renewable” and “sustainable” energy. Johns Hopkins University describes renewable energy as something that comes from sources that naturally renew themselves to meet our energy needs. This can include such technologies as biomass, hydropower, etc. “Sustainable” energy is defined as energy that can support both the current generation as well as future generations. John Hopkins considers solar and wind as primary sources of sustainable energy. While hydropower is the chief source of “renewable” energy on the planet and mitigates carbon emissions onset by fossil fuel generation, its sustainability has come under question. Hydropower does not directly pollute, but its facilities have large environmental impacts by changing the environment and affecting land use, homes, and natural habitats in the dam area. The climate is posing risks to the generative capability of hydropower, too. Take Glen Canyon Dam in Arizona, for example. The dam, which has a capacity of 1.32GW and serves over 5 million customers, has reached alarming low levels of water caused by human activity and the most extreme drought in 1,200 years. Water levels are so low, that they threaten to fall below the intake for the turbines that generate energy for millions of Arizonans and five tribal communities. Excluding hydropower, solar PV and wind led the way for sustainable energy, contributing a combined 46.2GWh. Currently, the hot topic in Texas is whether solar and wind can now replace coal. In the rapidly drying Western states that rely on a good deal of hydroelectric power, the conversation may turn to finding how much solar and wind energy is needed to replace the dams. Image: PV intel 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eyes Wide Open + 3,555 March 26, 2022 13 hours ago, nsdp said: Jay this is the piece of stupidity that has to come from a waffle iron sales man. NPSD Jay&Co are taking a "Take No Prisoners" approach to Green Energy and they have a very formidable financial backing. Since the failure in the EU have unfolded this campaign has doubled down on their focus. Do not expect any type of rationality, but merely anarchy, rancor and obfuscation taken to unseen levels. Below is a link that describes how they approach the masses...it's just not ready yet..Nevermind by its design it will not fully integrate...nor the trillions of dollars to get there The wires aren’t ready for it. Researchers at Princeton University estimate that the country’s high-voltage transmission capacity needs to grow by 60 percent in the next decade to meet its clean energy goals. “The grid that we have wasn’t designed for what we do with it now, let alone what we want to do with it, with all sorts of renewables,” says Seth Blumsack, an economist who studies the grid at Penn State University. I think it's best summed up below..valid green power generation and having no transmission line's..Priceless. Say you want to build a wind farm. You find a nice empty knoll in northern Vermont, where the breeze blows steadily and the neighbors don’t complain about sullied views. (A damn miracle, in other words.) You line up investors, get the right permits, and prepare to install your turbines. Then you hit snag: power lines. There aren’t enough in rural Vermont; they’re all in Boston, along with the people and their Teslas. So you’ve got a problem. The wind is blowing here, but there’s no way to get its green energy there. https://www.wired.com/story/renewable-energy-great-grid-slow-down/ 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 1 hour ago, Eyes Wide Open said: NPSD Jay&Co are taking a "Take No Prisoners" approach to Green Energy and they have a very formidable financial backing. Since the failure in the EU have unfolded this campaign has doubled down on their focus. Do not expect any type of rationality, but merely anarchy, rancor and obfuscation taken to unseen levels. Below is a link that describes how they approach the masses...it's just not ready yet..Nevermind by its design it will not fully integrate...nor the trillions of dollars to get there The wires aren’t ready for it. Researchers at Princeton University estimate that the country’s high-voltage transmission capacity needs to grow by 60 percent in the next decade to meet its clean energy goals. “The grid that we have wasn’t designed for what we do with it now, let alone what we want to do with it, with all sorts of renewables,” says Seth Blumsack, an economist who studies the grid at Penn State University. I think it's best summed up below..valid green power generation and having no transmission line's..Priceless. Say you want to build a wind farm. You find a nice empty knoll in northern Vermont, where the breeze blows steadily and the neighbors don’t complain about sullied views. (A damn miracle, in other words.) You line up investors, get the right permits, and prepare to install your turbines. Then you hit snag: power lines. There aren’t enough in rural Vermont; they’re all in Boston, along with the people and their Teslas. So you’ve got a problem. The wind is blowing here, but there’s no way to get its green energy there. https://www.wired.com/story/renewable-energy-great-grid-slow-down/ No, wind power for Boston will come from off shore turbines connected directly via underwater HVDC. Examples: New York Developer joint venture assigns contractor to install export lines for 704MW project that will deliver power to states of Connecticut and Rhode Island starting in 2025 from offshore wind. Fierce Competition in Plans to Upgrade NJ Grid 13 Companies Offer Plans to Prepare for Offshore Wind Energy Eighty transmission proposals to interconnect New Jersey's offshore wind to PJM were submitted by 13 companies to the state's Board of Public Utilities. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 (edited) US Finally Stitches Renewable Energy ‘Seams’ Together The US renewable energy profile is about to bust wide open as two key transmission stakeholders find a way to work together. US Finally Stitches Renewable Energy ‘Seams’ Together The US renewable energy profile is about to bust wide open as two key transmission stakeholders find a way to work together. ByTina CaseyPublishedMarch 7, 2022 56 Comments For those doubting that the global economy can decarbonize fast enough to avert catastrophic warming, take a look over at the United States. The nation’s massive offshore wind resources are finally in the pipeline, and its land-based renewable energy profile is about to get a shot of adrenaline. Two leading transmission stakeholders in the US have hatched a plan to stitch themselves together, opening a bottleneck that has held back wind and solar developers for years. At this writing, Russian President Vladimir Putin seems intent on murdering as many people in Ukraine as he can. Millions are fleeing and in need of assistance. To help refugees from that conflict and others, donate to Doctors without Borders or other reliable aid organizations. Know Your Seams, Renewable Energy Edition For those of you new to the topic, the US electricity grid could be all interconnected, enabling states with ample wind and solar resources to send their clean kilowatts over to others. However, it is not. The US is chopped into various regions that are not seamlessly interconnected. Jumping the seams between grids is a cumbersome exercise, holding back wind and solar development. The US Department of Energy has been working on a grid modernization initiative that would help renewable energy development, with a focus on the east-west seam that slips the country down the middle until it meets Texas, which has its own grid under the management of ERCOT (long story!) For those doubting that the global economy can decarbonize fast enough to avert catastrophic warming, take a look over at the United States. The nation’s massive offshore wind resources are finally in the pipeline, and its land-based renewable energy profile is about to get a shot of adrenaline. Two leading transmission stakeholders in the US have hatched a plan to stitch themselves together, opening a bottleneck that has held back wind and solar developers for years. At this writing, Russian President Vladimir Putin seems intent on murdering as many people in Ukraine as he can. Millions are fleeing and in need of assistance. To help refugees from that conflict and others, donate to Doctors without Borders or other reliable aid organizations. Know Your Seams, Renewable Energy Edition For those of you new to the topic, the US electricity grid could be all interconnected, enabling states with ample wind and solar resources to send their clean kilowatts over to others. However, it is not. The US is chopped into various regions that are not seamlessly interconnected. Jumping the seams between grids is a cumbersome exercise, holding back wind and solar development. The US Department of Energy has been working on a grid modernization initiative that would help renewable energy development, with a focus on the east-west seam that slips the country down the middle until it meets Texas, which has its own grid under the management of ERCOT (long story!). Just a few months after former President Trump took office with a coal-friendly agenda, the Energy Department went ahead and updated the public on their grid modernization efforts. That included something called the Interconnections Seam Study which was designed to support utilities and other grid stakeholders by quantifying the value of addressing the seam issue. Apparently the White House got wind of the study, so to speak, and promptly buried it. Renewable Energy Not Dead Yet With the climate-friendly President Joe Biden in office, naturally the Interconnections Seam Study is on the move again. Last October, the Energy Department’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory published an update in the journal IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. “Uniting the Eastern and Western U.S. electric grids could offer significant value in strengthening the power system’s ability to share generation resources and flexibility across regions, according to the Interconnections Seam Study,” NREL explained. NREL senior research engineer Josh Novacheck emphasizes the impact on cross-country renewable energy resource sharing: “With variable renewable resources like wind and solar contributing an increasing share of our nation’s electricity supply, the ability to transfer those resources across regions could be incredibly valuable—whether that’s in periods of power system stress, like extreme weather, or during a typical day when we want to take advantage of the best available resources.” “Results show that increasing the transmission capacity between the Eastern and Western Interconnections could enable more economically efficient and flexible exchange of power throughout the United States—with scenarios showing up to $2.50 in benefits for every $1 of cost,” NREL explained. MISO & SPP Not Waiting On Your Seam Study Even though the NREL study was officially on ice during the Trump administration, various other attempts to stitch up those seams continued apace. The east-west divide described by NREL is further divided into nine regional transmission organizations, and two of them have been collaborating on new a study that is about to bear fruit. One of the partners is MISO, the Midcontinent Independent System Operator. It covers 15 states in the midsection of the US, along with the Canadian province of Manitoba, and serves a population of 42 million people. The other is SPP, the Southwest Power Pool. It sits adjacent to MISO and covers 14 states on a membership basis, and has a reliability agreement with three others. More Renewable Energy For The US With more than half of US states under their belts, MISO and SPP could have an outsized impact on the nation’s renewable energy profile, and that is exactly what they have in mind. About 18 months ago, the two partners launched the “Joint Interconnection Queue Study,” with the particular aim of busting open the bottleneck that has been preventing new projects from hooking up to the grid. Last week they announced the results, along with specific guidance on next steps. “..the study identified a seven-project portfolio with a planning level estimated cost of $1.65 billion, resulting in increased reliability by mitigating constraints, improving transfer capability between the two RTOs [regional transmission operators] and better aligning the MISO and SPP interconnection processes,” the two partners explain. “In addition, economic analysis conducted by the RTOs shows customers can anticipate an Adjusted Production Cost (APC) benefit of $724 million in the MISO footprint and $247 million in the SPP region,” they add. Wind & Solar In The US: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet As described in the JTIQ Study, the proposed portfolio would result in anywhere from 28 gigawatts to 53 gigawatts of “improved interregional generation enablement” for projects located near the seam, and the wheels are already in motion. “Cost allocation discussions for these interregional projects is underway and projects are subject to approval from each RTO’s respective Board of Directors,” the two partners explain. In a letter introducing the executive summary of the new study, MISO CEO John Bear and SPP President and Barbara Sugg emphasize that “consumer preferences and public policy goals have increased the demand for renewable energy, and increasingly, our member utilities are moving to address those needs.” As described by the two executives, the nation’s current grid setup was designed to provide for local or semi-local generation to fill local needs. It simply can’t handle the demands of a decarbonized, distributed energy profile. “…renewable technologies have very different operating characteristics than controllable units,” they explain. “Because of these and other factors, the grid of tomorrow will be very different than the one we see today. These trends transcend boundaries.” Next Steps For Renewable Energy In US: Follow The Money If you’re wondering why nobody has ever tried this before, that’s a good question. The two partners point out that when previous studies have triggered costly upgrades, the interested parties have dropped out. The JTIQ Study is a ground breaker that demonstrates how grid stakeholders can target interconnection relief to get the most bang for the buck. The partners expect that the success of the initial portfolio will touch off additional interest. “… the joint study identified projects that will better prepare both of our systems for future portfolio change. This effort has paved the way for further collaboration between our two RTOs,” the explain. “As more renewables are connected to both of our respective systems, the ability to move power from where it is generated to where it is needed will only grow in importance.” In a tragic coincidence of timing, the JTIQ Study has come out as Russia continues its murderous rampage through Ukraine, leading to the potential for a global energy crisis. The study’s advocacy for renewable energy is a stark contrast with the chorus of calls for more oil and gas drilling as a response to the potential crisis. Perhaps the loudest voices making the argument for oil and gas have their own self interest in mind, or perhaps not. Either way, if quick action is the goal, asking people to conserve energy at home would help. Or, is that asking too much? Edited March 26, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 26, 2022 (edited) California is planning for clean energy transmission upgrades FEBRUARY 2, 2022 Photo via iStock IN SUMMARY California’s existing transmission system can accommodate new resources with six relatively small planned transmission upgrades. By Simon Baker, San Francisco Simon Baker is the interim deputy executive director for energy & climate policy at the California Public Utilities Commission. Re: “California’s electric grid is not ready to meet climate goals”; Commentary, Jan. 26, 2022 I wanted to assure readers that California is indeed planning for a major, unprecedented build-out of clean energy resources in the next decade – 42,000 megawatts, enough clean energy to power more than 11.6 million homes, as well as the transmission upgrades needed to bring that energy to where it is consumed. California’s planning demonstrates that the existing transmission system can accommodate all of these new resources with six relatively small planned transmission upgrades, some of which could be completed within 18 months. Beyond that, the state’s energy agencies and the California Independent System Operator have been working for several years to map out the resources and transmission needs to meet our clean energy goals. In addition to its customary 10-year transmission plan, the Independent System Operator this week released a groundbreaking 20-year Transmission Outlook to help guide transmission planning to meet the state’s very ambitious carbon reduction goals. The guest commentary also paints curtailment of renewable power as a major concern. While solar and wind curtailment have grown in recent years, it still represents a tiny fraction of overall wind and solar generation in California, growing from 0.9% to 2.8% since 2016, and having declined from 3.4% in 2020. Curtailment is a byproduct of the success of the state’s policies – the tremendous growth in solar and wind generation – and a tool used by the Independent System Operator to integrate these renewable resources while maintaining system reliability. And as we increasingly rely on other tools, such as the Western Energy Imbalance Market that allows sharing of resources among western states, battery storage, demand response and time of use ratemaking, its use will continue to decline. Edited March 26, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 27, 2022 (edited) NM wind project creating the ‘Route 66 of renewable energy’ BY KEVIN ROBINSON-AVILA / JOURNAL STAFF WRITER SATURDAY, MARCH 12TH, 2022 AT 10:02AM Pattern Energy has installed hundreds of wind turbines in four sites around Corona. Together, they can generate more than a gigawatt of electricity, which the company will sell to utilities in California. (Eddie Moore/Journal) Guadalupe, Lincoln and Torrance counties are now collectively supporting the electricity needs of nearly 1 million people through a massive new wind farm and transmission line in central New Mexico. Pattern Energy officially dedicated its Western Spirit wind project in late February after more than a decade of development. The project includes four sprawling wind farms with a total of 377 turbines scattered throughout the three counties. Together, they can generate more than a gigawatt of electricity, which Pattern Energy will sell to utilities in California. https://www.abqjournal.com/2478737/nms-emerging-wind-mecca.html Edited March 27, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 27, 2022 (edited) Colorado regulators approve Xcel’s massive new transmission line for the Eastern Plains By Sam Brasch February 25, 2022 Colorado utility regulators approved a plan on Wednesday to build a massive $1.7 billion transmission loop around the Eastern Plains. Xcel Energy, Colorado's largest power company, and other utilities proposed the so-called Power Pathway to assist a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy. It calls for 560 miles of high-voltage transmission lines and four new substations. Once completed, the company claims it will have enough capacity to ferry 5,500 megawatts of wind and solar power to the electrical grid. The company hopes to complete the first segments in 2025 — a rapid timeline for massive infrastructure projects. In filings submitted to Colorado’s Public Utilities Commission, Xcel Energy has argued the project will help meet its goal of 100 percent carbon-free electricity by 2050. State agencies have also said it would bring Colorado closer to its climate targets. Regulators withheld a green light for a separate 90-mile dogleg into Baca County, which would allow the company to access some of the richest wind resources in Colorado. The Public Utilities Commission will consider approval after seeing bids to build solar and wind projects in the area without the additional transmission infrastructure. Xcel Energy first proposed the project in March 2021. At the time, the company said it would help solve what energy wonks call "the chicken-and-egg problem." Unlike fossil fuel plants, wind and solar projects can be built so quickly there often is not enough transmission capacity to carry the electricity to homes and businesses. Both utility advocates and some environmental groups saw the Power Pathway as an answer. The approval comes as regulators consider a separate proposal to allow Xcel Energy to build about 5,500 megawatts of new Colorado wind and solar generation, along with additional battery storage. If regulators approve the generation projects, companies will then bid to build the different projects. Ken Wilson, an engineering fellow with Western Resource Advocates, said those bidders now know they will have adequate transmission access. "It's cost-effective. We'll get more bids and cheaper bids because we're committing to this transmission now," Wilson said. https://www.cpr.org/2022/02/25/colorado-regulators-approve-xcels-massive-new-transmissions-line-for-the-eastern-plains/ Edited March 27, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 27, 2022 This one is for @nsdp Fluence’s next Australia megabattery project to demonstrate advanced grid-forming technology ByAndy Colthorpe March 25, 2022 Fluence’s GridStack BESS solutions will be used for the project. Image: Fluence. A 50MW/50MWh grid-scale battery energy storage system (BESS) will be used to demonstrate the ability of smart inverter technologies to support the stability of the power grid in Australia. Broken Hill in New South Wales is a site with a strong history in the mining industry. More recently, it’s become host to solar and wind power generation. However, the area has only a weak connection to the grid network. Renewable energy generated there is having to be curtailed when supply outweighs local demand and the variable nature of wind and solar is causing headaches for the local network’s managers. The large-scale lithium-ion BESS will be equipped with grid-forming inverters which will improve system strength and allow for the greater integration of renewables. As highlighted in this recent Guest Blog for the site by Blair Reynolds at inverter manufacturer SMA, inverter-based technologies can play an important role previously played by thermal generation — creating synchronous inertia. Major Australian utility company AGL is developing and will own the project, part of an 850MW BESS rollout it currently has underway. Global energy storage system integrator and services company Fluence will provide the BESS, having signed a framework agreement to work with AGL in early 2021. Australian infrastructure services group Valmec will partner with Fluence on the project. The AU$41 million (US$30.88 million) project will be supported with financing from the national Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA), which this morning announced it will supply AU$14.84 million in funding. ARENA, which is a government organisation, sees large-scale energy storage as a “key focus area” and the technology is a priority technology in the Australian government Technology Roadmap, ARENA CEO Darren Miller said. “Big batteries are already becoming critical to our electricity system, but we know with grid forming inverters they can provide system strength services traditionally provided by thermal generation,” Miller said. “We are particularly interested in seeing how AGL’s Broken Hill battery will utilise and demonstrate advanced inverter technology in a weaker section of the electricity grid.” Darren Miller added that the project can highlight the potential of large-scale battery storage to provide system stability more cost-effectively as more renewable energy is added to the grid. Broken Hill BESS is scheduled to be commissioned next year. Also in development in the area is an advanced compressed air energy storage (A-CAES) project of 200MW/1,600MWh by Hydrostor, which has been selected by electricity network operator Transgrid to provide much larger-scale bulk storage at longer duration to directly ease curtailment issues and manage peak demand. The announcement today comes a few days after AGL received local government approval for another major project in its BESS push, a 500MW/2,000MWh project planned for construction at a retiring coal power plant site, also in NSW. How it works “As Australia moves forward with its energy transition, we know that firming technologies like batteries play an important role in energy storage and supporting the energy supply,” AGL’s chief operating officer Markus Brokhof said. “Broken Hill’s unique edge-of-grid environment provides an ideal location for this advanced inverter technology to demonstrate how it can facilitate further penetration of renewable energy generation and add to the stability of the wider electricity network.” Thermal generation equipment, like coal and gas, are synchronous generation which provides stability to the electricity system through their continuous rotating mass while in operation. While variable renewable energy sources are basically the opposite of that, inverters can instead play a corrective role and operate as the local network’s voltage source. Australia got its first-ever BESS project that plays this role in 2018, in the Energy Storage for Commercial Renewable Integration (ESCRI) project at Dalrymple, South Australia, a similarly ‘edge-of-grid’ location. A 30MW/8MWh BESS supplied by Hitachi Energy (formerly Hitachi ABB Power Grids) serves as a provider of inertia at that demonstration project. The Broken Hill system will be unique in that it will always stay in so-called grid-forming mode, inherently resisting changes in voltage and frequency on the grid and providing synthetic inertia through its Virtual Synchronous Machine (VSM) mode, Fluence said today. The BESS will also perform more common applications such as participating in frequency control ancillary services (FCAS) markets and playing into other wholesale market opportunities in Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM). It could also assist the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) by combining its capabilities with other inverter-based renewable energy assets nearby in the West Murray region of NSW. “The Broken Hill battery project’s full power dispatches instantaneously to quickly respond to large changes in voltage and/or frequency, delivering the fastest response of all battery-based energy storage systems currently available in the market,” Fluence general manager for Australia Aaron McCann said. “This fast response will enable the system to operate stably and damp voltage oscillations after a fault in weak grid areas the West Murray region, which will enhance the system strength on the grid.” The grid-forming inverters themselves will be supplied by EPC Power, a California-headquartered manufacturer which was recently picked as power electronics supplier to EVLO Energy Storage, the energy storage system integrator subsidiary of Canadian utility HydroQuebec. 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Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 27, 2022 (edited) 6 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said: Do not expect any type of rationality, but merely anarchy, rancor and obfuscation taken to unseen levels. Projection, projection... Edited March 27, 2022 by Jay McKinsey 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ecocharger + 1,475 DL March 28, 2022 (edited) On 3/24/2022 at 10:51 PM, Jay McKinsey said: Actually it is another of the EIA laugh mobiles that is completely independent of the administration: "This report was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIA’s data, analyses, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the U.S. Government. The views in this report should not be construed as representing those of the U.S. Department of Energy or other federal agencies." This is the knee slapper of all time: "BEV sales grow, increasing from 0.34 million in 2021 to 1.52 million in 2050" Tesla alone will make 1.5 million BEV in the US next year!!!!! Here is the real knee-slapper, Jay, hang on to your pork-pie hat. EV prices are getting a big ramp up and soon no one will be able to afford one. https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Lithium-Price-Surge-Jeopardizes-Energy-Transition-Efforts.html "Soaring lithium prices are threatening energy transition efforts as EV battery makers will be forced to hike the prices for their products by as much as 25 percent, Morgan Stanley has warned. Over the past 12 months, the bank said, as quoted by Bloomberg, the price of lithium carbonate, which is a key ingredient in electric vehicle batteries, has jumped five times. This may force EV manufacturers to hike prices by up to 15 percent, hurting demand." Edited March 28, 2022 by Ecocharger 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay McKinsey + 1,490 March 28, 2022 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Ecocharger said: Here is the real knee-slapper, Jay, hang on to your pork-pie hat. EV prices are getting a big ramp up and soon no one will be able to afford one. https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Lithium-Price-Surge-Jeopardizes-Energy-Transition-Efforts.html It's a hand made Panama fedora. Something well beyond your understanding. Just like your zero understanding of how fast battery technology is advancing. EV sales just keep skyrocketing. Edited March 28, 2022 by Jay McKinsey Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rob Plant + 2,756 RP March 28, 2022 How Hydrogen Will Transform Geopolitics https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/How-Hydrogen-Will-Transform-Geopolitics.html 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
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