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GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES

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3 hours ago, turbguy said:

9

Poor guy, still can't remember what you actually typed eh?  MOVE those GOAL posts baby!  HINT: You said HYDROPOWER

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Expectation and reality..... 🤡

IMG_20230425_155323.jpg

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12 hours ago, notsonice said:

Renewables are now bigger than Coal in the US and that only took a few years

Its been like that in the UK for 8 years and renewables have grown enormously since 2019 whilst coal is pretty much redundant. In fact in 2023 wind could overtake NG as the prime source of powergen.

The difference in just 10 years is staggering!

 

Coal phase-out: Conflictive but unavoidable - Energy Blog @ ETH Zurich

B8-TLWV1ylHMasqhBNlGblDhByAxO27pEA_rK8TYNRK6BQi0fnUCM3utkGujEv88J7_AzZsnxU4osM7vtfjm6cYg8v3AyHXoS_2d0y5ZPw

 

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(edited)

7 hours ago, footeab@yahoo.com said:

Poor guy, still can't remember what you actually typed eh?  MOVE those GOAL posts baby!  HINT: You said HYDROPOWER

What I said was:

"Washington state EXPORTS more MWh's than the total fossil fuels used to generate within the state.

Oregon state EXPORTS WAY more MWh's than coal produces within the state.

Hydro, much??"

You said that the PNW doesn't export power, and hasn't done so for, like, 40 years. And the largest contributor is water.

 

Edited by turbguy
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21 minutes ago, turbguy said:

You said that the PNW doesn't export power, and hasn't done so for, like, 40 years. And the largest contributor is water.

Kills millions of salmon...actually the environmental community for yrs rallied against the dams. And then there was save the seals apocalypse. And now hydro power is no longer considered sustainable.

It's time to round up the mentally challenged crowd and sustained lithium treatment...China has excessive amounts I understand..seems no one wants there products..

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9 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

Its been like that in the UK for 8 years and renewables have grown enormously since 2019 whilst coal is pretty much redundant. In fact in 2023 wind could overtake NG as the prime source of powergen.

The difference in just 10 years is staggering!

 

Coal phase-out: Conflictive but unavoidable - Energy Blog @ ETH Zurich

B8-TLWV1ylHMasqhBNlGblDhByAxO27pEA_rK8TYNRK6BQi0fnUCM3utkGujEv88J7_AzZsnxU4osM7vtfjm6cYg8v3AyHXoS_2d0y5ZPw

 

Only with massive government intervention into the energy markets. Coal is still king in the world at large. 

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9 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

Its been like that in the UK for 8 years and renewables have grown enormously since 2019 whilst coal is pretty much redundant. In fact in 2023 wind could overtake NG as the prime source of powergen.

The difference in just 10 years is staggering!

 

Coal phase-out: Conflictive but unavoidable - Energy Blog @ ETH Zurich

B8-TLWV1ylHMasqhBNlGblDhByAxO27pEA_rK8TYNRK6BQi0fnUCM3utkGujEv88J7_AzZsnxU4osM7vtfjm6cYg8v3AyHXoS_2d0y5ZPw

 

Indeed staggering you are destroying your own own nation

https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9491/#:~:text=Trends in prices up to 2021&text=They started to increase towards,%2C a 36% real increase.

 

 

0f08583f-129c-4c64-a195-8d9fcfe8933a.png

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(edited)

6 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said:

Kills millions of salmon...actually the environmental community for yrs rallied against the dams. And then there was save the seals apocalypse. And now hydro power is no longer considered sustainable.

It's time to round up the mentally challenged crowd and sustained lithium treatment...China has excessive amounts I understand..seems no one wants there products..

I cannot argue that hydroelectric generation has no environmental impact.  

It does. 

All energy extraction "forms" do. 

That said, such systems provide more than electricity.  For instance, the Hoover Dam's most valuable product is a controlled water supply.

I don't know whom might consider hydroelectric power "non-sustainable".  I don't think precipitation or gravity is going anywhere in the foreseeable future  Perhaps you can clue us in on whom holds such belief? 

It is:

  • A renewable energy source
  • Has low operating costs
  • It can provide dispatchable baseload power
  • It can be used to store energy
  • It can help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions

 

Edited by turbguy
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12 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

Its been like that in the UK for 8 years and renewables have grown enormously since 2019 whilst coal is pretty much redundant. In fact in 2023 wind could overtake NG as the prime source of powergen.

The difference in just 10 years is staggering!

 

Coal phase-out: Conflictive but unavoidable - Energy Blog @ ETH Zurich

B8-TLWV1ylHMasqhBNlGblDhByAxO27pEA_rK8TYNRK6BQi0fnUCM3utkGujEv88J7_AzZsnxU4osM7vtfjm6cYg8v3AyHXoS_2d0y5ZPw

 

How have your electrical prices been doing though? This is just electrical generation, right? 

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Subsidies for wind power last year: $158 Billion

% of power by wind: 10.2%

Per American: $451 (= $2210 subsidy per person for 50% wind power)

Per Family of 4: $1800 {= $8823 subsidy per family of 4 for 50% wind power)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Subsidies for fossil fuels: $10 - $50 Billion

% of power by fossil fuels: 60.2%

Per American: $28.5 to $143 (= $24 to $119 subsidy per person for 50% fossil fuel power)

Per Family of 4: $115  to $571 (= $96 to $474 subsidy per person for 50% fossil fuel power)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oh, yeah, Fossil fuel companies paid $158 Billion in taxes, while wind lost money, subtracting tac receipts from profitable conglomerates.

 

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14 hours ago, Eyes Wide Open said:

Haha unbelievable!

You spout massive cost rises when the reason they are astronomical (if you bothered to found out) is ALL about the cost of NG. Yes its come down on the markets but the consumer isnt seeing that price fall yet. If we just had renewables it would be one of the cheapest anywhere around!

Please in future find out the reason for the massive cost rise before trying to make a point against renewables. The UK needs a varied energy mix including NG but its shafted us royally over the last year!

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14 hours ago, Ecocharger said:

Only with massive government intervention into the energy markets. Coal is still king in the world at large. 

No coal production is set to plateau over the next 3 years and then tail off, (check any forward projections including pro coal ones).

The world needs more energy so I dont expect coal to drop away as sharply as it has done in the UK for other countries but the additional energy requirements the world needs will therefore come from other sources and not coal.

https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-2022/executive-summary

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11 hours ago, Ron Wagner said:

How have your electrical prices been doing though? This is just electrical generation, right? 

They are astronomical due to the massive hikes in NG costs Ron, the recent reduction in NG prices has not got to the consumer yet.

People on here cant seem to grasp that fact and jump on the bandwagon that it must be renewables! We've had renewables for years, as per the graphs I posted, with no discernible rise in electricity costs.

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(edited)

 

In the US, King Coal is dead

Coal tonnage used in the 1st Quarter of 2023 in the  US decreased by over 40 million metric tonnes Year over Year or at a annual rate decrease  of over 160 Million tonnes. This decrease will accelerate as more Coal fired plants are closed this year.........

Peak coak happened in 2013/2014....

2022??? at best a dead cat bounce

 

Expect the market price for coal in the US to crash over the next several months..........and never recover

 

too much supply and too little demand

 

Thanks to renewables...and you can bet that the same is going to happen in China as they increase the rate of both wind and solar projects being added to their grid

Enjoy the Transition, I am

Power Engineering

U.S. coal-fired generation falls to record first-quarter low

By contrast, renewable generation – wind, utility-scale solar and hydropower – grabbed 22.5% of the overall market.

Kevin Clark4.11.2023
Share This Article
 
    
U.S. coal-fired generation falls to record first-quarter low

It was a “brutal first quarter” of 2023 for U.S. coal-fired power plants, according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).

Electricity generation from U.S. coal plants totaled 162.3 million MWh for January, February and March 2023 — a record low and down more than 25% from the same period in 2022, per data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and IEEFA analysis.

The decrease pushed coal power’s market share below 17%, versus more than 22% in the same quarter of last year.

By contrast, renewable generation – wind, utility-scale solar and hydropower – grabbed 22.5% of the overall market, highlighting the different trajectories for the two energy resources.

In the PJM power market, which supplies electricity from New Jersey to Illinois, coal generation tumbled 40%, dropping by more than 20 million MWh, and the fuel’s market share fell to just 15%. Ten years ago, coal’s market share was well above 40% in the region.

Coal also faced challenges in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the operator of the grid supplying 90 percent of electricity in the Lonestar State. There, a massive, ongoing buildout of wind and solar generation has sharply cut demand for coal power. In the first quarter of 2023, wind and solar together supplied 39.3% of total electric demand, taking the top spot from gas-fired generation. In the quarter, coal generation fell 37%, more than 6.5 million MWh, and its market share dropped to less than 12%.

IEEFA noted that as the windy spring season takes over and the days lengthen, renewable generation should increase significantly in what is its strongest quarter. And with the number of new renewable projects coming online, it is likely to continue posting year-over-year increases for the foreseeable future.

 

Edited by notsonice

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(edited)

1 hour ago, notsonice said:

 

In the US, King Coal is dead

Coal tonnage used in the 1st Quarter of 2023 in the  US decreased by over 40 million metric tonnes Year over Year or at a annual rate decrease  of over 160 Million tonnes. This decrease will accelerate as more Coal fired plants are closed this year.........

Peak coak happened in 2013/2014....

2022??? at best a dead cat bounce

 

Expect the market price for coal in the US to crash over the next several months..........and never recover

 

too much supply and too little demand

 

Thanks to renewables...and you can bet that the same is going to happen in China as they increase the rate of both wind and solar projects being added to their grid

Enjoy the Transition, I am

Power Engineering

U.S. coal-fired generation falls to record first-quarter low

By contrast, renewable generation – wind, utility-scale solar and hydropower – grabbed 22.5% of the overall market.

Kevin Clark4.11.2023
Share This Article
 
    
U.S. coal-fired generation falls to record first-quarter low

It was a “brutal first quarter” of 2023 for U.S. coal-fired power plants, according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).

Electricity generation from U.S. coal plants totaled 162.3 million MWh for January, February and March 2023 — a record low and down more than 25% from the same period in 2022, per data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and IEEFA analysis.

The decrease pushed coal power’s market share below 17%, versus more than 22% in the same quarter of last year.

By contrast, renewable generation – wind, utility-scale solar and hydropower – grabbed 22.5% of the overall market, highlighting the different trajectories for the two energy resources.

In the PJM power market, which supplies electricity from New Jersey to Illinois, coal generation tumbled 40%, dropping by more than 20 million MWh, and the fuel’s market share fell to just 15%. Ten years ago, coal’s market share was well above 40% in the region.

Coal also faced challenges in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the operator of the grid supplying 90 percent of electricity in the Lonestar State. There, a massive, ongoing buildout of wind and solar generation has sharply cut demand for coal power. In the first quarter of 2023, wind and solar together supplied 39.3% of total electric demand, taking the top spot from gas-fired generation. In the quarter, coal generation fell 37%, more than 6.5 million MWh, and its market share dropped to less than 12%.

IEEFA noted that as the windy spring season takes over and the days lengthen, renewable generation should increase significantly in what is its strongest quarter. And with the number of new renewable projects coming online, it is likely to continue posting year-over-year increases for the foreseeable future.

 

I have good news for you...the U.S. is not the world and King Coal is still King.

Rejoice. All-time high production.

Edited by Ecocharger
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(edited)

9 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

Haha unbelievable!

You spout massive cost rises when the reason they are astronomical (if you bothered to found out) is ALL about the cost of NG. Yes its come down on the markets but the consumer isnt seeing that price fall yet. If we just had renewables it would be one of the cheapest anywhere around!

Please in future find out the reason for the massive cost rise before trying to make a point against renewables. The UK needs a varied energy mix including NG but its shafted us royally over the last year!

Perhaps once again reflection is in order..note the article is 8 yrs old. Not much needs to be said..I leave the rest to you.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jul/22/germany-uk-poland-top-dirty-30-list-eu-coal-fired-power-stations

Germany, UK and Poland top ‘dirty 30’ list of EU coal-fired power stations

This article is more than 8 years old

Environmental study highlights health effects from pollution, with Germany coming top, and the UK third in total coal consumption

 

https://www.npr.org/2023/03/02/1160441919/china-is-building-six-times-more-new-coal-plants-than-other-countries-report-fin

China is building six times more new coal plants than other countries, report finds

March 2, 20236:00 AM ET
 
 
China produces and consumes almost as much coal as the rest of the world combined
Edited by Eyes Wide Open
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(edited)

A recipe for economic suicide as the EU attempts to destroy the public standard of living and bankrupt the members' national budgets.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-EU-Just-Made-Emissions-Even-More-Expensive.html

"The EU approved a carbon tax reform to reduce emissions by 62% from 2005 levels by 2030.

The reform makes emissions more expensive for various industries through carbon permits and the introduction of a tax on emission-intensive imports.

The EU plans to soften the blow of the carbon tax reform by setting up an 86.7-billion-euro fund."

Needless to say., a paltry 86.6 billion euro fund will not "soften the blow" for the average citizen. 

Political charlatanism at its absolute nadir of intellectual dysfunction.

Edited by Ecocharger

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(edited)

The best investment on Wall Street is, of course, oil and gas. The most promising sector going forward.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/3-Reasons-Why-Oil-Gas-Is-Goldman-Sachs-Favorite-Sector.html

"Despite the renewed selling in oil and gas, Goldman Sachs remains bullish on energy.

The energy sector is the cheapest of all 11 U.S. market sectors, with a current PE ratio of 6.7.

Energy companies continue to report robust earnings as oil continues to trade around $80 per barrel."

Edited by Ecocharger

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(edited)

1 hour ago, Ecocharger said:

The best investment on Wall Street is, of course, oil and gas. The most promising sector going forward.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/3-Reasons-Why-Oil-Gas-Is-Goldman-Sachs-Favorite-Sector.html

"Despite the renewed selling in oil and gas, Goldman Sachs remains bullish on energy.

The energy sector is the cheapest of all 11 U.S. market sectors, with a current PE ratio of 6.7.

Energy companies continue to report robust earnings as oil continues to trade around $80 per barrel."

Goldman Sachs??? ha ha ha 

how did their July 2022 $130 Brent forecast at the end of 2022 end up for their investors....

Ha Ha Ha

And you so happily reposted in last July......

Brent $70 is in the cards and that is not exactly a money make these days is it??? ha ha ha

rough seas ahead for those long on oil

 

Demand is flat and oversupply is the forecast

The Fed is in charge............and they will not cut rates until they get $70 Brent

 

brent at $78 today  oh my my GS needs to get rid of those calling for $107 Brent

 

some recent past forecasts ouf of GS........My take is they are Bipolar

March 6, 2023

Oil prices could rise as high as $107 a barrel by the end of the year from about $84 at present, depending on how OPEC responds to emerging market conditions, according to a new report from Goldman Sachs Research.

Goldman Sachs no longer sees oil at $100 in 2023

SECTIONS
Goldman Sachs no longer sees oil at $100 in 2023

ReutersLast Updated: Mar 20, 2023, 08:33 AM IST

Nov 29, 2022  Goldman Sachs expects crude oil to hit $110 per barrel next year

 

image.png

Edited by notsonice

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39 minutes ago, notsonice said:

Goldman Sachs??? ha ha ha 

how did their July 2022 $130 Brent forecast at the end of 2022 end up for their investors....

Ha Ha Ha

And you so happily reposted in last July......

Brent $70 is in the cards and that is not exactly a money make these days is it??? ha ha ha

rough seas ahead for those long on oil

 

Demand is flat and oversupply is the forecast

The Fed is in charge............and they will not cut rates until they get $70 Brent

 

brent at $78 today  oh my my GS needs to get rid of those calling for $107 Brent

 

some recent past forecasts ouf of GS........My take is they are Bipolar

March 6, 2023

Oil prices could rise as high as $107 a barrel by the end of the year from about $84 at present, depending on how OPEC responds to emerging market conditions, according to a new report from Goldman Sachs Research.

Goldman Sachs no longer sees oil at $100 in 2023

SECTIONS
Goldman Sachs no longer sees oil at $100 in 2023

ReutersLast Updated: Mar 20, 2023, 08:33 AM IST

Nov 29, 2022  Goldman Sachs expects crude oil to hit $110 per barrel next year

 

image.png

The best investment in the market. The smart money goes there.

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On 4/26/2023 at 2:49 AM, Rob Plant said:

Haha unbelievable!

You spout massive cost rises when the reason they are astronomical (if you bothered to found out) is ALL about the cost of NG. Yes its come down on the markets but the consumer isnt seeing that price fall yet. If we just had renewables it would be one of the cheapest anywhere around!

Please in future find out the reason for the massive cost rise before trying to make a point against renewables. The UK needs a varied energy mix including NG but its shafted us royally over the last year!

Complaining of one year caused by German mistakes in supporting Russia does not a good argument make. Natural gas is now near an all time low considering inflation. 

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https://news.yahoo.com/finance/news/americans-aren-t-lining-buy-114500321.html

Americans aren’t lining up to buy EVs — despite the new $7,500 Inflation Reduction Act tax credit. Here are the 2 big reasons why

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0:00
 
2:05
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Global EV sales expected to surge 35%, over 14 million cars in 2023
 
 
 
 EV sales jumping in 2022 
 compared to the years prior. 
Vishesh Raisinghani
Thu, April 27, 2023 at 6:45 AM CDT
 
 

If only electric vehicles would shoot sparks — in the marketplace, that is.

Despite the billions of dollars invested by private corporations, and government subsidies, Americans are still indifferent as a whole over electric vehicles.

Just two in every 10 Americans say they are “very likely” to buy an EV as their next car, according to a recent survey by the University of Chicago’s Energy Policy Institute and the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

Don't miss

The U.S. is an outlier on the issue

Two-thirds of Europeans said their next car would likely be an EV, a recent EIB climate survey shows. Meanwhile, EVs already account for 86% of new car sales in Norway and 72% in Iceland, according to statistics cited by Canary Media.

Even Chinese consumers are more enthusiastic about this transition than their American counterparts, those numbers show; 16% of all cars sold in China in 2021 were electric, whereas the figure in the U.S. is just 5%, ranking it number 19 out of the 20 countries charted.

The Biden Administration can’t be happy with those findings.

The transition to clean energy is a key part of the government’s agenda and subsidies in the recently-passed Inflation Reduction Act were supposed to make EVs more appealing. The legislation earmarked up to $7,500 in tax credits for each American motorist who ditched their gas guzzler. The administration’s strict new pollution limits are intended to push EV sales to 67% of the market by 2032.

Unfortunately, the carrot-and-stick approach hasn’t worked. To drive EV adoption higher, the government and auto industry need to resolve two key hurdles for ordinary consumers: cost and infrastructure.

Cost and charger conundrum

Roughly 80% of Americans name “costs” and the “availability of charging stations” as their EV biggest concerns. There are only 53,000 electric charging stations in the U.S. compared to 145,000 gas stations, according to the World Economic Forum. Charging an EV is substantially more time consuming, which explains why charging stations need to exceed gas stations for comparable availability.

Reliability ranks as another key issue. Drivers seldom have to worry about their local gas station being out of service – but one-fourth of charging stations tested by climate advocacy group Cool the Earth didn’t function.

Resolving these issues could take years, which means the Biden Administration’s target of 67% EV adoption is likely unrealistic. It also means gas-powered vehicles and fossil fuels are here to stay for the foreseeable future. The petroleum sector is under appreciated by many investors, which could create bargain opportunities.

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(edited)

Oil demand is at an all-time high and will continue to grow, despite the possibility of a recession.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Analysts-See-Oil-Prices-Rising-To-90-By-End-2023.html

"Reuters survey: oil prices are set to rise toward $90 per barrel by the end of this year.

So far this year, Brent prices have averaged around $82.

Most analysts expect the surprise additional OPEC+ cuts of 1.16 million barrels per day (bpd) between March and December to significantly tighten supply in the second half of this year."

 

"Despite concerns about economic growth, global oil demand is still set for a record high 101.9 million bpd this year, driven by a resurgent Chinese consumption, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest monthly report in the middle of April.

Solid demand from China raised global oil demand by 810,000 bpd year-on-year in the first quarter to 100.4 million bpd, the IEA said in its Oil Market Report for April."

Edited by Ecocharger

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1 minute ago, Ecocharger said:

Oil demand is at an all-time high and will continue to grow, despite the possibility of a recession.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Analysts-See-Oil-Prices-Rising-To-90-By-End-2023.html

"Reuters survey: oil prices are set to rise toward $90 per barrel by the end of this year.

So far this year, Brent prices have averaged around $82.

Most analysts expect the surprise additional OPEC+ cuts of 1.16 million barrels per day (bpd) between March and December to significantly tighten supply in the second half of this year."

IEA forecasts were also calling for average $92 brent in 2023 in late December

then they lowered it to $83.......because of lack of demand....

and where is it today $78 and moving lower every month.....

4 months are over already in 2023 and the big rise in demand that IEA forecast has not materilized

 

Only way that OPEC can move the price up is cutting supply.........cuts of 1.16 million barrels per day

 

Now you tell me why would they have to cut supply if demand is hitting highs???

The only thing I can tell from your posts is Hits and Highs is happening in the weed patch

Remember the Fed is in charge and they like $70 Brent not $90...more rate hikes in the cards

2% inflation target does not happen when the price of oil is going up

 

PS and those pesky EV's...Forecast is for 15 million this year...next year 20 million and 2025 25 million

oh my my Oil demand does not increase when people are switching to EVs

Enjoy the transition, I am

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