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5 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

No theyre not as has been proven by Notsonice

These new BYD cars havent even landed in Europe yet, but at $10,000 they will sell before they get to the lots unless massive levies are put on them.

You seem to be willfully ignoring this new price point for EV's, surprise surprise.

Rob, the current numbers show that EV sales are on a death march to oblivion, especially in your own area.

Only Ford had the guts to tell the truth about their EV sales, and the picture is an unmitigated disaster. There is just no demand for these contraptions.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/24/business/ford-earnings-ev-losses/index.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

"Ford’s electric vehicle unit reported that losses soared in the first quarter to $1.3 billion, or $132,000 for each of the 10,000 vehicles it sold in the first three months of the year, helping to drag down earnings for the company overall."

"The EV unit, which Ford calls Model e, sold 10,000 vehicles in the quarter, down 20% from the number it sold a year earlier. And its revenue plunged 84% to about $100 million, which Ford attributed mostly to price cuts for EVs across the industry. That resulted in the $1.3 billion loss before interest and taxes (EBIT), and the massive per-vehicle loss in the Model e unit."

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(edited)

On 5/12/2024 at 1:48 AM, TailingsPond said:

Seim and Olsen clearly admit their first experiment was inferior to Harde and Schnell **.  They may not come to the exact conclusions as Harde and Schnell in their newer paper, but you can not argue that Seim and Olsen still think that their earlier paper is still of much merit.  Hence, they refuted their earlier experiment.

The forcing equations are the whole thing...

Once again why not e-mail them? Ask them for yourself, these guys are not swamped with messages over this I guarantee you.

** "In a control experiment, we verified this result."

The "forcing equations" are the issue, and I guess you missed the point of this recent paper.

It measures the independent impact of CO2, not just plain old "air", which is a mixture of greenhouse gases. That is what we want to know, what is the contribution of CO2 to the greenhouse effect. 

"no heating but a slight cooling of a black object is found when air is replaced by CO2...The presence of IR radiation from a heated surface (like when the sun heats the earths surface) strongly attenuates the heating ability of increasing backscatter from increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. This result has consequences for the climate change models used by IPCC.""

This is a game changer.

Edited by Ecocharger

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1 hour ago, Ecocharger said:

The "forcing equations" are the issue, and I guess you missed the point of this recent paper.

It measures the independent impact of CO2, not just plain old "air", which is a mixture of greenhouse gases. That is what we want to know, what is the contribution of CO2 to the greenhouse effect. 

"no heating but a slight cooling of a black object is found when air is replaced by CO2...The presence of IR radiation from a heated surface (like when the sun heats the earths surface) strongly attenuates the heating ability of increasing backscatter from increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. This result has consequences for the climate change models used by IPCC.""

This is a game changer.

This is a game changer.????

nope....only you believe yourself....no one else is supporting you

 

 

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(edited)

1 hour ago, Ecocharger said:

Rob, the current numbers show that EV sales are on a death march to oblivion, especially in your own area.

Only Ford had the guts to tell the truth about their EV sales, and the picture is an unmitigated disaster. There is just no demand for these contraptions.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/24/business/ford-earnings-ev-losses/index.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

"Ford’s electric vehicle unit reported that losses soared in the first quarter to $1.3 billion, or $132,000 for each of the 10,000 vehicles it sold in the first three months of the year, helping to drag down earnings for the company overall."

"The EV unit, which Ford calls Model e, sold 10,000 vehicles in the quarter, down 20% from the number it sold a year earlier. And its revenue plunged 84% to about $100 million, which Ford attributed mostly to price cuts for EVs across the industry. That resulted in the $1.3 billion loss before interest and taxes (EBIT), and the massive per-vehicle loss in the Model e unit."

2024 sales of cars in the EU

https://www.autoevolution.com/news/europe-passenger-car-sales-the-ev-cool-down-is-such-a-twisted-story-233422.html

 

EVs Plugins and Hybrids   much greater than Petrol and Diesel combined

Demand for oil in the EU......decreasing every day 

YTD

EV sales are up

Plugin Hybrid sales are up

Non Plug in Hybrids sales are up

Petrol cars (clunkers) sales are down 

Diesel...sales are down over 10 percent

The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) publishes monthly European passenger car registration statistics. Starting from 2022, these statistics became more relevant because they take into account the major powertrain types. I challenge you to dive into the numbers and debunk the assertions that EV sales are on the verge of collapse.

We can see different trends, regardless of monthly variation in some particular periods

 

Edited by notsonice
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(edited)

4 hours ago, Ecocharger said:

The "forcing equations" are the issue, and I guess you missed the point of this recent paper.

It measures the independent impact of CO2, not just plain old "air", which is a mixture of greenhouse gases. That is what we want to know, what is the contribution of CO2 to the greenhouse effect. 

"no heating but a slight cooling of a black object is found when air is replaced by CO2...The presence of IR radiation from a heated surface (like when the sun heats the earths surface) strongly attenuates the heating ability of increasing backscatter from increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. This result has consequences for the climate change models used by IPCC.""

This is a game changer.

You misunderstand the cooling of the black object in that paper.  The black object is "cooled" by the replacement of air with CO2 because the CO2 absorbs the IR radiation and radiates it in all directions and most of that radiation hits the sides of the aluminum lined box and then escapes.

I drew a simple diagram to explain.  The "cooling" observed actually demonstrates CO2 forcing.

CO2 visual aid.png

Edited by TailingsPond

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You just knew that the EV rollout would be a bust, and now the wheels have come off completely together with a total waste of uncounted billions of taxpayer dollars, throw thoughtlessly into the sewer of Green waste slime.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/75-Billion-Bipartisan-Investment-Nets-Only-7-EV-Charging-Stations.html

"The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law earmarked $7.5 billion for EV charging, with $5 billion allocated to states, but the slow rollout has resulted in just 7 charging stations.

Higher standards for new EV chargers, including 97% operational reliability, 150kW power, and proximity to highways, have contributed to the slow progress, along with permitting challenges and power demands.

Concerns have been raised by lawmakers and experts about mismanagement of taxpayer dollars and the lack of experience among state transportation agencies in deploying EV charging infrastructure."

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(edited)

2 hours ago, TailingsPond said:

You misunderstand the cooling of the black object in that paper.  The black object is "cooled" by the replacement of air with CO2 because the CO2 absorbs the IR radiation and radiates it in all directions and most of that radiation hits the sides of the aluminum lined box and then escapes.

I drew a simple diagram to explain.  The "cooling" observed actually demonstrates CO2 forcing.

CO2 visual aid.png

Well, no, that is not the finding of the study.

The experiment finds that replacing "air", which includes other greenhouse gases, with CO2 causes the following,

"The presence of IR radiation from a heated surface (like when the sun heats the earths surface) strongly attenuates the heating ability of increasing backscatter from increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere." 

So it is IR radiation from the heated surface (such as the Earth) which causes the reduction in the strength of the backscatter from atmospheric CO2 and the subsequent net cooling.

It is only when general "air" is used does the net heating take place. The CO2 contributes a net cooling.

Consequently, "This result has consequences for the climate change models used by IPCC."

Edited by Ecocharger

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On 5/9/2024 at 6:30 AM, Rob Plant said:

Dont know about US law, but in the UK if there is a "failure of oversight or staffing levels" as you put it then thats negligence by management and proper risk assessments havent been carried out to prevent the accident in the first place.

The directors of such a business, in particular the MD or CEO, if proven to have been negligent through understaffing, poor training, procedures being incorrect etc leading to severe injury or even death of an employee will automatically be arrested. It is then the duty of the MD or CEO to prove their innocence. Health and safety is generally the only instance in UK law where you are guilty and have to prove your innocence, every other law breach you are innocent and have to be proven guilty.

below link shows examples where companies havent followed the correct practices or carried out proper risk assessments.

10 Highest HSE Fines of All Time | Skillcast

Reverse burdens

22. When the burden of proof is on the defendant to establish a particular issue, it is often referred to as a 'reverse burden', because it reverses the normal situation in which the prosecution must prove the facts beyond reasonable doubt.

23. Section 40 HSWA imposes such a reverse burden: where a duty holder is required to do something 'so far as is practicable' or 'so far as is reasonably practicable', the burden is on the defendant to prove that it was not practicable or reasonably practicable to do more than was in fact done. The Court of Appeal has ruled that the burden of proof imposed on the defendant by section 40 is a legal burden (see above), which is justified, necessary and proportionate.8

24. Similarly, under section 17 HSWA, if an accused is proved not to have followed a relevant provision in an Approved Code of Practice, the failure to do so will be taken by the court as proof of contravention of the legal requirement in question unless the accused can show that s/he satisfied the requirement by adopting suitable alternative measures.

25. Where a legal burden of proof is on a defendant, s/he can satisfy it if s/he proves the issue on the balance of probabilities9. This is the same standard as that placed on a claimant in a civil action; s/he need not prove the issue beyond reasonable doubt.

I think that you will find that even in UK and Europe, governments have a well-established duty of care under statute to advise the public on relevant climate science.

Any attempt to suppress or ignore new climate science which might dispute government policy is a violation of law and could be actionable by public lawsuits.

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1 minute ago, Ecocharger said:

Consequently, "This result has consequences for the climate change models used by IPCC."

Sure there could be "consequences for the climate change models."  That doesn't mean they are refuting the climate change models, they just think some of the parameters used in the modelling could be adjusted.

The "cooling" shown by the CO2 clearly demonstrated the backscatter they said was not present in their first paper.

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6 hours ago, notsonice said:

2024 sales of cars in the EU

https://www.autoevolution.com/news/europe-passenger-car-sales-the-ev-cool-down-is-such-a-twisted-story-233422.html

 

EVs Plugins and Hybrids   much greater than Petrol and Diesel combined

Demand for oil in the EU......decreasing every day 

YTD

EV sales are up

Plugin Hybrid sales are up

Non Plug in Hybrids sales are up

Petrol cars (clunkers) sales are down 

Diesel...sales are down over 10 percent

The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) publishes monthly European passenger car registration statistics. Starting from 2022, these statistics became more relevant because they take into account the major powertrain types. I challenge you to dive into the numbers and debunk the assertions that EV sales are on the verge of collapse.

We can see different trends, regardless of monthly variation in some particular periods

 

Read before you speak,

"Ford’s electric vehicle unit reported that losses soared in the first quarter to $1.3 billion, or $132,000 for each of the 10,000 vehicles it sold in the first three months of the year, helping to drag down earnings for the company overall."

"The EV unit, which Ford calls Model e, sold 10,000 vehicles in the quarter, down 20% from the number it sold a year earlier. And its revenue plunged 84% to about $100 million, which Ford attributed mostly to price cuts for EVs across the industry. That resulted in the $1.3 billion loss before interest and taxes (EBIT), and the massive per-vehicle loss in the Model e unit."

 

Subsidies and breaks offered to EV industries by the governments are now being removed and higher fees are being levied on the struggling industry.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Governments-Deliver-Blow-To-EV-Darlings.html

"Financial Times: EV additions to national fleets cost governments globally $10 billion in fuel duty revenue losses.

Governments are depriving themselves, or rather, their successors, of billions in fuel duty revenues in the name of electrification.

Governments have started to phase out tax incentives and have lifted registration fees for new EVs to compensate for the decline in fuel duty revenues."

"In Europe, governments are taking a different but equally unpopular approach: they are phasing out EV incentives. The first results are in. In December, Germany announced the abrupt end to EV subsidies. Over the first quarter of this year, EV sales in the EU’s largest economy dropped by over 14%. In January alone, EV sales took a 50% dive following the cancelation of incentives."

 

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1 minute ago, TailingsPond said:

Sure there could be "consequences for the climate change models."  That doesn't mean they are refuting the climate change models, they just think some of the parameters used in the modelling could be adjusted.

The "cooling" shown by the CO2 clearly demonstrated the backscatter they said was not present in their first paper.

Well, you are again dancing around the main point, which is that atmospheric CO2 contributes a net cooling to global warming/cooling. Therefore, it must be H2O which is the driver of global warming and/or the reduction of atmospheric particulate levels.

You have trouble seeing the relevance of that to public policy, which has been hyper-phobic over CO2 for no good reason? Come now.

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I knew you would misunderstand the CO2 "cooling." 

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(edited)

4 hours ago, TailingsPond said:

I knew you would misunderstand the CO2 "cooling." 

I knew that you would misread the experiment.

The comparison between CO2 and "air" shows that CO2 is not the driver of global warming, as clearly stated in the results.

Thus the need to recalibrate the forcing equations.

Now why would any reasonable President be worried about an experiment showing the lack of necessity for destroying the average American's standard of living? I thought that the President is supposed to be concerned about the average American.

Edited by Ecocharger

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16 hours ago, Ecocharger said:

I knew that you would misread the experiment.

The comparison between CO2 and "air" shows that CO2 is not the driver of global warming, as clearly stated in the results.

Thus the need to recalibrate the forcing equations.

Now why would any reasonable President be worried about an experiment showing the lack of necessity for destroying the average American's standard of living? I thought that the President is supposed to be concerned about the average American.

you seem upset that no one is paying attention to your BS article that the authors themselves retracted  with new findings. I understand that you seem like you were misled and now you do not know what to do.....Do not worry there are many more Luddites, like yourself out there.

Until then, be rest assured , that the scientific community stands behind their claims that Global warming is caused by Methane and CO2 emissions . And be rest assured no one is taking your claims seriously. No one.

 

Enjoy your day....

 

PS Solar panels are now replacing coal fired generation everywhere, well almost everywhere. Your Beloved leader in North Korea is listening to you and has not installed any solar panels.......

 

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1 hour ago, notsonice said:

The EIA hasn't a very good track record on predictions...About 3 months ago they said oil would be 100+ by 3rd quarter. 

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(edited)

Some people are never happy. 

The oil industry has been criticized for producing too much oil and endangering the climate, and some misguided activists are trying to sue accordingly, while the screwball activists are also complaining that the oil industry is not producing enough oil and are suing the oil industry for this reason.

Both of these cannot be right.

It is about time that the oil critics got their act together, which is it? Too much, or too little? The activists are apparently in a schizophrenic meltdown.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Consumers-Sue-US-Shale-Alleging-Collusion-to-Boost-Oil-Prices.html

"...these consumers are taking some of the top U.S. shale producers to court where the companies are called to answer allegations of fixing and keeping oil prices elevated by constraining domestic production.  "

Edited by Ecocharger

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3 hours ago, notsonice said:

you seem upset that no one is paying attention to your BS article that the authors themselves retracted  with new findings. I understand that you seem like you were misled and now you do not know what to do.....Do not worry there are many more Luddites, like yourself out there.

Until then, be rest assured , that the scientific community stands behind their claims that Global warming is caused by Methane and CO2 emissions . And be rest assured no one is taking your claims seriously. No one.

 

Enjoy your day....

 

PS Solar panels are now replacing coal fired generation everywhere, well almost everywhere. Your Beloved leader in North Korea is listening to you and has not installed any solar panels.......

 

Famous last words...don't worry, the discussion among these scientists shows that these articles are central to the debate and, yes, many scientists are watching the discussion and these articles are well known.

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1 hour ago, Ecocharger said:

Famous last words...don't worry, the discussion among these scientists shows that these articles are central to the debate and, yes, many scientists are watching the discussion and these articles are well known.

Even though CO2 has a longer-lasting effect, methane sets the pace for warming in the near term. About 30% of today's global warming is driven by methane from human actions.
 

Methane: A crucial opportunity in the climate fight

Regulating methane emissions is vital to ensure gas' role in the energy transition.
 
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21 hours ago, notsonice said:

Even though CO2 has a longer-lasting effect, methane sets the pace for warming in the near term. About 30% of today's global warming is driven by methane from human actions.

Maybe we can 2 sets of corn in the warmer climate 🙂

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Why is the price f oil healthy? Because the American economy continues to stagger forward, propped up by enormous amounts of deficit financing.

This enormous federal feeding trough is sustained largely by increased public debt, which means increasing amounts of debt financing are going down the chute into oblivion.

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/here-1-trillion-stealth-stimulus-behind-bidenomics

"

We first got a glimpse of that two weeks ago when Michael Hartnett discussed "the era of fiscal excess" and pointed out that in just the past 12 months the US government spent $6.7 trillion, up 14% YoY...

era%20of%20fiscal%20excess_1.jpg?itok=CC

... something which we previously noted had pushed the US federal deficit for fiscal 2023 up a staggering $1tn to $1.4tn from year before...

cumulative%20deficits_1.jpg?itok=l5bPlq8

... deficit that is largely debt-funded, which is why the US is set to spend over $1 trillion in interest on government debt for the first time ever.

annualized%20interest%20payments_2.jpg?i

And while there will be hell to pay in due course because no amount of propaganda can cover up cold, hard math, it won't be today - in fact, in order to get re-elected, Biden will do anything to preserve the impression that the economy is strong, and as Hartnett notes, it is "tough to get recession when unemployment 3% & budget deficit 9% GDP.""

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