Is the qatar blockade finally showing signs of breaking?

[Rodent + 1,424]

The first cracks appear. Anyone want to take a bet as to the end of this blockade against qatar?

https://archive.shine.cn/world/Saudi-letter-for-Qatar/shdaily.shtml

 

[Douglas Buckland + 6,308]

It will happen sooner rather than later. In my opinion. Saudi needs friends at the moment.

[Jan van Eck + 7,558]

It just might come to pass that the bad feelings between these nations will be subsumed in pursuit of a common enemy.  Fortunately the Boycott did not escalate into any shooting.  Once the shooting starts, it gets very hard to put the hard feelings aside.  Yet even between Sunni Iraq and Shi'ite Iran, there is some semblance of rapport even after that massacre of a war started by Saddam.  Today the two are building a joint railroad from Tehran to the Med Sea, and co-operate in shipping out Iranian crude via the Iraqi oil terminal there at the head of the Persian Gulf.  

It also helps that MbS did not go ahead with that hot-headed idea of building a ship canal across the base of the isthmus and dumping radioactive waste on the Qatari side.  That would have seriously made a dent in relations, for sure. 

[John Foote + 1,135]

12 hours ago, Jan van Eck said:

It just might come to pass that the bad feelings between these nations will be subsumed in pursuit of a common enemy. 

Yet even between Sunni Iraq and Shi'ite Iran, there is some semblance of rapport

Who is the common enemy? Iran isn't an enemy of Qatar and they share much of the Pars gas field. Even before the Saudi's forced Qatar to turn more to Iran for food and such, 20,000+ Iranians worked in Qatar, but that wasn't on a government level. Just inexpensive, well educated labor. 

When you are along the eastern coast of Arabian peninsula historically they don't have a Sunni/Shia issue, and Shias are typically in the majority.Historically it's more a trading/fishing/farming culture along the shores on both sides of the Persian/Arabian Gulf. Quite different in orientation than central KSA. 

Saddam was actually Alawite, as is Assad. A sect that is neither Sunni or Shia. In Oman yet another type of Islam. The Yemen version of Shia is different than the Iranian ones, and they don't follow the Ayatollahs of the Persian Shias. 

I think Iran is the #3 trading partner for UAE. These folks are all joined at the hip. Absolute monarchs like MBS struggle to understand their power isn't absolute. The blockage is costing the KSA money. Plus in the region, the borders are relatively new. Families/tribes have been fundamentally disrupted.