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About this blog

I started this blog to express what I sense about the highs and lows of the oil realm, while cautiously analysing historical data, taking into account the geo-political development at the time of recording them.

I got into this field, having been a passive observer of fluctuations of crude oil prices and their global consequences for years.

Then, when on the day of Great Oil Crash in April, 2020, I made a decision to make my own blog, with the motto, ‘analysing data that really matters’.

Having come from an academic background in mathematics and physics, I analyse data using my own tools, created with JavaScript and Python, taking my decision on board while making decisions.

My website where I analyse data that really matters

Entries in this blog

 

Crude Oil Makets: bull runs riot before a caged bear

I have been looking at many charts that depict the current oil prices and even created one for my own website/blog using the weekly oil price data since 1987, from the EIA, the US Energy Information Administration. Despite all that, sensing the trend, upward or downward, on weekly basis is as ridiculous as betting on the foot that a centipede will put ward in order to shorten its crooked path. I am sure this must be the nightmare of every chartist who lurches on the uncertainty of cru
 

Optimism of latest OPEC+ meeting pushes oil price up

The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, JMMC, meeting of the OPEC+ that took place in the form of a virtual conference on Wednesday, finally managed to provide the markets with much needed sense of direction. The oil price shot up, having been in decline for days. Brent oil hit above $58, the highest so far during the turbulent period. The meeting was unusually short, yet managed to reach an agreement with most members seeing eye to eye on the main issue: maintaining the crude
 

WallStreetBets vs HedgeFunds: when will this game end?

The stage is set for an epic show; the battle lines are drawn. People across the world, some of who have never been bothered about stock markets or investors for that matter, are watching the duel between the hedge funds and the WallStreetBets, the Reddit group that grabs headlines this week, for variety of reasons. In the profile picture of the WallStreeBets, a gentleman resembling President Trump, is making coded gestures, perhaps in the form of a rallying cry, while remaining in charter
 

Oil price defies new lockdown threats

Oil surge continues as investors feel that the demand is back on track and it’s finally irreversible regardless of the bad news on the Coronavirus front with the discovery of new variants. Investors seem to be particularly buoyed by the projected increase in demand by two leading developing countries in Asia, India and China, as the respective economies show healthy signs of recovery. Although activities in the South China Sea involving the world’s two biggest economies is a concern, t
 

Why the drop of crude oil inventories did not excite markets?

The substantial fall of US crude oil stockpiles has not excited the oil price yet, buckling the familiar trend. The positive news has been overshadowed by a myriad of factors, according to seasoned market watchers. Some of the key reasons are as follows: ·       The Federal Reserve makes it known the inevitability of its continuing support to revive the battered economy ·       The outbreak of Covid-19 clusters again in China in the middle of winter ·       The rel
 

Decarbonizing the smoke trail: new mission of the United Airlines

Airlines, one of the hardest hit sectors by the pandemic, anticipate man-conceived headwinds when they finally get back to normal business in the post-pandemic world. The airline sector feels that they will have to come up with long-term strategies to reduce greenhouse gases at their sources – the engines that spew thousands of tons of carbon dioxide, in this case. This is a sector that lost almost 75% of its passenger numbers due to the pandemic and on a soul searching mission to get
 

Oil Price: has it become static - finally?

Oil price that has been rising for the past few weeks, judging by the above chart, shows signs of becoming static – finally. Neither the cut in output by the OPEC+ nor the significant drop in crude oil stockpiles moved the price up, buckling the widely-anticipated trend. Do the investors know something that is not depicted by these charts that we do not know? It remains to be seen. Of course, the Coronavirus infections show no sign of abating; there is no heighted alarm among the
 

Fate of Oil and Gas Sector in Myanmar

Myanmar, formerly known as Burma, that used to enjoy relative stability with a fragile democracy, started grabbing headlines again for all the wrong reasons. After days of speculation about a coup attempt by the powerful military, on Monday, it just went ahead with what it had been planning for weeks, if not months. With a series of early-morning raids, it detained the elected ruling members including the most famous of them all, Aung San Suu Kyi, citing the irregularities in the elect
 

Recovery of Jet Fuel Demand: Skies above Heathrow does not look good at present

This is the sky above the Heathrow airport in London, United Kingdom at 12.50 pm on Tuesday.  Heathrow used to be world's busiest airport, a few years ago. Even at this time last year, you could see a plane, at every two-minute interval, in the skies above Heathrow. It's really sad to see just three planes at the same location; perhaps, they may be just cargo planes. Let's think about the haemorrhage of income for those who rely on a functionning airport: Airport staf
 

Crude Oil Production Cuts by OPEC+: murmurs of discontent

At present, OPEC+, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia, resembles an unstable nucleus of a radioactive atom; judging by what we hear on political front, there seems to be an uneasy compliance with self-imposed quota-limits with murmurs of cacophonies.   Although crude price dipped slightly over the past two days, it is still high and countries that desperately need petro cash to prop up under-performing economies are deprived of a once-in-a decade opportunity to ca
 

Shell lost its case in The Hague; but, Nigeria has even a bigger shell to crack to shore up its economy

A Dutch court ordered a Nigerian subsidiary of the oil giant, Shell, last week to compensate for the damage caused by oil spills to local farmers on its watch in the oil-rich Niger Delta region, in 2013. The unprecedented ruling will have server repercussion for the international oil companies, which work in Nigeria – and beyond its borders. Shell had been denying the allegation that it was responsible for the oil spills that ruined the livelihood of farmers living in the region; inste
 

Oil Price: all ears on next OPEC+ meeting in March

The next monthly meeting of the OPEC+ on March 4, is going to be crucial for the oil price in particular and the economies of the world regardless of their strength in general. At present, the factors which are always in favour of steady oil price are active and in full swing: the inventory draws are significant; China has been importing crude oil at an increased pace and so has India; Covid-19 vaccines bring in new hope for controlling the pandemic. In this context, OPEC+ can play the
 

Flow of Iranian Crude Oil into the markets: Will Israel turn the tap off?

As Iran preparing itself for making its presence in the crude oil market again, without being hampered by a myriad of sanctions, Israel dashed the hopes of the former by implying that would not be that easy. Lt. Gen. Aviv Kohavi, the chief of Israeli defence force, did not mince his words, when he outlined his plans: he said he ordered the defence forces to make preparations for offensive action against Iran next year; he did not want the Biden administration to revive the 2015 nuclear deal
 

Electricity from Renewables: still, dark days can cause major problems

On Boxing Day in 2020, we were mostly indoors due to the lockdown over the Christmas period in the United Kingdom; nature hardly helped alleviate the gloom during the difficult time either in the hour of national need; on the contrary, its fury developed into a monstrous storm, knows as Storm Bella, which relentlessly battered the British Isles. Being true to the cliché, the dark clouds did have a silver lining as far as the camp of renewables was concerned; the winds of Storm Bella, with g
 

Lukoil added nearly 500 MMboe proved reserves in 2020

As a result of geological exploration and production drilling conducted in 2020, Lukoil added 464 million barrels of oil equivalent to its proved reserves. The largest contribution was made by the assets in West Siberia, Ural region, Timan-Pechora and Russian sector of the Caspian Sea. View the full article
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