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About this blog

I started this blog to express what I sense about the highs and lows of the oil realm, while cautiously analysing historical data, taking into account the geo-political development at the time of recording them.

I got into this field, having been a passive observer of fluctuations of crude oil prices and their global consequences for years.

Then, when on the day of Great Oil Crash in April, 2020, I made a decision to make my own blog, with the motto, ‘analysing data that really matters’.

Having come from an academic background in mathematics and physics, I analyse data using my own tools, created with JavaScript and Python, taking my decision on board while making decisions.

My website where I analyse data that really matters

Entries in this blog

 

Crude Oil Production Cuts by OPEC+: murmurs of discontent

At present, OPEC+, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia, resembles an unstable nucleus of a radioactive atom; judging by what we hear on political front, there seems to be an uneasy compliance with self-imposed quota-limits with murmurs of cacophonies.   Although crude price dipped slightly over the past two days, it is still high and countries that desperately need petro cash to prop up under-performing economies are deprived of a once-in-a decade opportunity to ca
 

Higher oil revenue gives Putin room to challenge Russian discontent

Amid growing tensions with the West and fears of new sanctions, Putin has been reluctant to spend heavily in recent years, even during the pandemic. Stagnant living standards have helped fuel public anger at the Kremlin, which has boiled over into the biggest nationwide protests in years and poses a challenge for Putin’s ruling party in parliamentary elections this fall. View the full article
 

Oil prices wobble on lower U.S. supplies and weaker crude demand

A fourth weekly decrease in crude inventories and the decline in production highlights the steady downtrend in U.S. supplies before an unprecedented cold blast wiped out nearly 40% of domestic output. Still, demand for crude and fuel is weaker with the cold weather spurring a string of refinery outages and keeping more Americans off the road. View the full article
 

Iraq’s climbing oil exports push OPEC compliance further out of reach

Baghdad pledged to pump below its quota in February to make up for past overproduction. Still, the pace of its crude exports in the first half of the month, if maintained through the rest of February, indicates the country may exceed its self-imposed production target of 3.6 million barrels a day and perhaps even its OPEC+ cap of around 3.85 million. View the full article
 

Falling Texas crude output becomes a global oil market crisis

In the past, the weather-related oil disruption would largely have been a U.S. issue. Now it’s unmistakably global. Crude markets in Europe are rallying as traders replace lost U.S. exports. OPEC and its allies must decide how much longer they keep millions of barrels of their supply off the market. View the full article
 

Texas rattles gas markets by limiting out-of-state sales during blackouts

Texas Governor Greg Abbott told a media briefing on Feb. 17 that he was banning gas from leaving the state through Feb. 21 to ensure in-state power generators had ample supplies. Abbott said he was forced to act as millions of Texans remain without power for a third day amid frigid temperatures, with no clear timeline for restoring service. View the full article
 

U.S. will import 62% more crude by 2022 due to domestic production declines, says EIA

EIA expects that the United States will import more crude oil to fill the widening gap between refinery inputs of crude oil and domestic crude oil production in 2021 and 2022. U.S. crude oil production declined by an estimated 0.9 million bpd (8%) to 11.3 million bpd in 2020 because of well curtailment and a drop in drilling activity related to low crude oil prices. View the full article
 

Critical problem with Renewables: they are not at your beck and call!

People in Texas are suffering at present on an unprecedented scale and when the city mayor shot himself in the foot, while the response should have been a shot in the arm – not in vaccine sense – it hardly helps to boost the morale of ordinary people, let alone the vulnerable. Clearly, the demand of electricity has outweighed supply and the risks of wind power as a substitute are there for all to see. How many of us saw this coming – the frozen wind turbines? I certainly is not one of them.
 

Saudis warn against OPEC complacency before March meeting

“I must warn once again against complacency,” Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Wednesday at an online conference held by the International Energy Forum in Riyadh. “The uncertainty is very high and we have to be extremely cautious. The scars from the events last year should teach us caution.” View the full article
 

Oil Price: what will happen when the planes are back in the skies?

Having risen steadily – and somewhat alarmingly – for more than a week, Brent crude price has slightly gone down for most of the day on Tuesday. Major oil producers in the OPEC, meanwhile, still think the price of the crude oil is in the right range as far as their economic issues are concerned, thanks to the output cut. The minnows in the organization, however, do not see it that way and reluctantly agree with cuts; they want to sell as much oil as possible and earn revenues as a matt
 

Lukoil added nearly 500 MMboe proved reserves in 2020

As a result of geological exploration and production drilling conducted in 2020, Lukoil added 464 million barrels of oil equivalent to its proved reserves. The largest contribution was made by the assets in West Siberia, Ural region, Timan-Pechora and Russian sector of the Caspian Sea. View the full article
 

Biden and his climate team add personal insults to fossil fuel rhetoric

Vice President Kamala Harris drew derision on social media after she told a West Virginia television station that people could be put to work reclaiming abandoned “land mines.” A day earlier, climate envoy John Kerry said during a White House briefing that displaced laborers face “better choices” making solar panels and installing wind turbines. View the full article
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