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About this blog

I started this blog to express what I sense about the highs and lows of the oil realm, while cautiously analysing historical data, taking into account the geo-political development at the time of recording them.

I got into this field, having been a passive observer of fluctuations of crude oil prices and their global consequences for years.

Then, when on the day of Great Oil Crash in April, 2020, I made a decision to make my own blog, with the motto, ‘analysing data that really matters’.

Having come from an academic background in mathematics and physics, I analyse data using my own tools, created with JavaScript and Python, taking my decision on board while making decisions.

My website where I analyse data that really matters

Entries in this blog

 

Crude oil price spike in the early morning in Asia; a drone was behind it!

At 04:27 GMT on Monday, Brent crude price went up by $1.09, a rise in 1.8%. WTI crude, meanwhile, gained $1.28. Analysts may think the stimulus package announced by the Biden administration and the hopes of success of the vaccination programmes across the world are behind the spike in crude price in the morning hours in Asia. It, however, was triggered off by a drone operation aimed at Saudi Arabia by Houthi rebels. According to Saudis, a drone, laden with explosives, was detected by the Sa
 

Record cold brings a windfall for small U.S. natural gas producers

After years of depressed prices and weak margins, U.S. natural gas producers -- at least those with wells and equipment that aren’t frozen -- are cashing in on an unusually extreme blast of cold. The freeze is giving a rare boost to a market that’s never recovered from a crash more than a decade ago, flooded by cheap supplies from shale fields. View the full article
 

Electricity from Renewables: still, dark days can cause major problems

On Boxing Day in 2020, we were mostly indoors due to the lockdown over the Christmas period in the United Kingdom; nature hardly helped alleviate the gloom during the difficult time either in the hour of national need; on the contrary, its fury developed into a monstrous storm, knows as Storm Bella, which relentlessly battered the British Isles. Being true to the cliché, the dark clouds did have a silver lining as far as the camp of renewables was concerned; the winds of Storm Bella, with g
 

Oil Price: all ears on next OPEC+ meeting in March

The next monthly meeting of the OPEC+ on March 4, is going to be crucial for the oil price in particular and the economies of the world regardless of their strength in general. At present, the factors which are always in favour of steady oil price are active and in full swing: the inventory draws are significant; China has been importing crude oil at an increased pace and so has India; Covid-19 vaccines bring in new hope for controlling the pandemic. In this context, OPEC+ can play the
 

Oil prices snap an eight-day run as IEA cuts demand outlook

Oil prices in New York slid 0.8% on Thursday, the biggest decline in two weeks, after rising for eight straight sessions. The IEA said the re-balancing of the global oil markets remains “fragile” and slashed its forecasts for world oil consumption in 2021 as the pandemic continues to limit travel and economic activity. View the full article
 

Shell to freeze staff salaries, warns of layoffs in green energy pivot

Shell is starting one of the biggest reorganizations in its history as it pivots from a century-long structure that prioritized oil and gas production. There will be as many as 9,000 job losses over the next two years, with cuts already announced in The Netherlands, the UK and Malaysia. A second round of voluntary redundancies is also underway, Shell CEO Ben Van Beurden said last week. View the full article
 

Oil price defies new lockdown threats

Oil surge continues as investors feel that the demand is back on track and it’s finally irreversible regardless of the bad news on the Coronavirus front with the discovery of new variants. Investors seem to be particularly buoyed by the projected increase in demand by two leading developing countries in Asia, India and China, as the respective economies show healthy signs of recovery. Although activities in the South China Sea involving the world’s two biggest economies is a concern, t
 

Crude Oil Makets: bull runs riot before a caged bear

I have been looking at many charts that depict the current oil prices and even created one for my own website/blog using the weekly oil price data since 1987, from the EIA, the US Energy Information Administration. Despite all that, sensing the trend, upward or downward, on weekly basis is as ridiculous as betting on the foot that a centipede will put ward in order to shorten its crooked path. I am sure this must be the nightmare of every chartist who lurches on the uncertainty of cru
 

Decarbonizing the smoke trail: new mission of the United Airlines

Airlines, one of the hardest hit sectors by the pandemic, anticipate man-conceived headwinds when they finally get back to normal business in the post-pandemic world. The airline sector feels that they will have to come up with long-term strategies to reduce greenhouse gases at their sources – the engines that spew thousands of tons of carbon dioxide, in this case. This is a sector that lost almost 75% of its passenger numbers due to the pandemic and on a soul searching mission to get
 

Optimism of latest OPEC+ meeting pushes oil price up

The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, JMMC, meeting of the OPEC+ that took place in the form of a virtual conference on Wednesday, finally managed to provide the markets with much needed sense of direction. The oil price shot up, having been in decline for days. Brent oil hit above $58, the highest so far during the turbulent period. The meeting was unusually short, yet managed to reach an agreement with most members seeing eye to eye on the main issue: maintaining the crude
 

Shell lost its case in The Hague; but, Nigeria has even a bigger shell to crack to shore up its economy

A Dutch court ordered a Nigerian subsidiary of the oil giant, Shell, last week to compensate for the damage caused by oil spills to local farmers on its watch in the oil-rich Niger Delta region, in 2013. The unprecedented ruling will have server repercussion for the international oil companies, which work in Nigeria – and beyond its borders. Shell had been denying the allegation that it was responsible for the oil spills that ruined the livelihood of farmers living in the region; inste
 

Fate of Oil and Gas Sector in Myanmar

Myanmar, formerly known as Burma, that used to enjoy relative stability with a fragile democracy, started grabbing headlines again for all the wrong reasons. After days of speculation about a coup attempt by the powerful military, on Monday, it just went ahead with what it had been planning for weeks, if not months. With a series of early-morning raids, it detained the elected ruling members including the most famous of them all, Aung San Suu Kyi, citing the irregularities in the elect
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