3-D Chess not the 2-D Chess of Ukraine-Russia - What is actually coming during this decade…

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

22 minutes ago, Boat said:

I say blow it up. You never give an inch to thugs and punks like Putin and XI. It’s not personal, just business. You should never disrupt the bigger, smarter stronger country. I’m still waiting for the convoy to go poof. Take about an hr with a couple hundred jets.

The thugs are you. Bigger colossus on clay feet, similar to USSR you are. The Ukrainian development was entirely precipitated by what you did in 2014. Interested in seeing some serious American analysts discuss this in all honesty?

The 64 km convoy approaching Kiev? Try, and see your couple of hundred jets go poof.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

4 hours ago, Rob Plant said:

China a puppet of the West??? I'm sure @frankfurter would disagree with you strongly on that one.

Haha China are on USA's coat tails as the next hegemony they certainly arent any country's puppet and have zero love for the USA, they only put up with the USA as the USA is their biggest market.

Ukraine want a sea of civilian blood??? So that would be their own then! makes no sense whatsoever or are you on about the Donbass region?

I remind you its Russia that is in the process of invading Ukraine by military force not the other way round! The civilian blood is on Putin's hands.

I meant Ukraine is a puppet regime, not China.

The Chinese hegemony is relatively benign thus far. They really don't care about the "regime" their clients run, as long as they are up for business. This is laudable.

The Nazi goons could not care less about the blood of civilians they are supposed to be defending. Been demonstrated time and again. They have their own goals. The civilian blood will be blamed on Russians, of course.

Long story, already explained in other post. Will be blamed on Putin, of course. Say, do you really believe Kiev is choke full of Russian saboteurs dressed in Ukrainian uniforms?

[surrept33 + 609]

8 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

China is with Russia. And so is the other half of the world, or more. Turn off your zombie box and take your head out of your ass already, will you?

https://www.axios.com/united-nations-ukraine-russia-141-55872481-a143-4423-9d3d-80450f01c754.html

Surprised serbia voted yes.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

6 minutes ago, surrept33 said:

https://www.axios.com/united-nations-ukraine-russia-141-55872481-a143-4423-9d3d-80450f01c754.html

Surprised serbia voted yes.

This says 87

https://www.axios.com/un-security-council-vote-condemn-russia-98ff868e-6ee4-412e-b643-36e30061adb1.html

With Brazil and Peru later issuing a retraction, so 85. What's the difference?

[surrept33 + 609]

1 minute ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

What's the difference?

about a week

[Jay McKinsey + 1,490]

8 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

China is with Russia. And so is the other half of the world, or more. Turn off your zombie box and take your head out of your ass already, will you?

Another of your pathetic claims:

141 countries vote to condemn Russia at UN

141 countries voted in favor of a UN General Assembly resolution "deploring" Russia's aggression against Ukraine and demanding the immediate and complete withdrawal of all Russian forces from Ukrainian territory.

• Four countries joined Russia in voting against the resolution — Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea and Syria — while 35 abstained.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,490]

1 hour ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Sorry, don't believe. Russian cultural and sporting celebrities are losing their jobs. Three EU countries are expelling Russian college students. Austrian banks are "freezing" accounts of regular Russians. No oligarchs. My parents could be on the receiving end. Several EU countries disperse 3-10 year jail sentences for expressing support for Putin online. Soon, they will come for me.

At the same time, there is the ban on PornHub. Even better. The FIFe (apparently, an umbrella organization organizing breeding and exhibiting cats, stroke all Russian pedigree lines from their  books. So, are we beyond Jewish level pariahs now, or what? Don't think the Nazis ever claimed there were any undesirable Jewish felines?!? The feminist community considers negotiations between Russia and Ukraine invalid, because neither delegation had any girls. What a bunch of evil clowns you are.

See, this is the toxic waste you call democracy. Cancel culture on a level of whole countries? Or simply a lynching mob? What does any of it has to do with Putin anymore? I am sure you understand my imperative to toss you and yours into an incinerator, before you toss in me and us? What you are saying is what they call virtue signalling, I believe? Everybody in the West is conditioned to say the same exact things. Do you think you are being remotely original? Of importance is not what you say, but what you do.

 

Sounds like it is time for you to give up your decadent Western lifestyle and head home to mother Russia for some hard living.

[surrept33 + 609]

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/us/politics/russia-ukraine-china.html

WASHINGTON — A Western intelligence report said senior Chinese officials told senior Russian officials in early February not to invade Ukraine before the end of the Winter Olympics in Beijing, according to senior Biden administration officials and a European official.

The report indicates that senior Chinese officials had some level of knowledge about Russia’s war plans or intentions before the invasion started last week. President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia met with President Xi Jinping of China in Beijing on Feb. 4 before the opening ceremony of the Olympics. Moscow and Beijing issued a 5,000-word statement at the time declaring that their partnership had “no limits,” denouncing NATO enlargement and asserting that they would establish a new global order with true “democracy.”

The intelligence on the exchange between the Chinese and Russian officials was classified. It was collected by a Western intelligence service and considered credible by officials reviewing it.

Senior officials in the United States and allied governments passed it around as they discussed when Mr. Putin might attack Ukraine.

 

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

16 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Sounds like it is time for you to give up your decadent Western lifestyle and head home to mother Russia for some hard living.

Looks like it. Ought to become even more decadent, given that my income is mostly EUR.

[notsonice + 1,255]

More drones for Ukraine...Less Russians in Ukraine

 

Ukraine’s Secret Weapon Against Russia: Turkish Drones

A Bayraktar TB2 drone before a test flight at the Hmelnitski military base in Ukraine on March 20, 2019.

Press Office of the President of Ukraine / Mykola Lararenko / Handout/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

By Billy Perrigo

March 1, 2022 3:40 PM EST

In a video that went viral on Twitter Sunday night, a massive explosion rips through what appears to be a Russian convoy, scoring a direct hit on a surface-to-air missile system.

The black-and-white footage, posted to the account of the Ukrainian armed forces, is one of several that have emerged on social media in recent days showing the devastating impact of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian hardware. As the drone’s payload explodes in the video—which appears to be a cellphone recording of a screen in a Ukrainian drone facility—people at the facility can be heard gasping in awe before breaking out in cheers and applause.

The video racked up more than 3 million views on Twitter in two days. “Have fear, enemies! There will be no peace for you on our earth!” the Ukrainian armed forces wrote in the video’s caption.

The star of this video and others circulating on Twitter is the Bayraktar TB2 – a type of Turkish drone that the Ukrainian military has increasingly deployed against Russian forces in recent days. On Tuesday, the Ukrainian military said that Bayraktar drones had destroyed one tank and two surface-to-air missile systems overnight. In other videos shared on Twitter, Bayraktar drones, in use by the military since at least 2021, are shown blowing up what appears to be a Russian fuel convoy and a group of supply trucks.

The drones are small and lightweight, (around seven times lighter than the U.S. military’s Reaper drone,) with a 12-meter wingspan that allows them to remain in the sky for up to 30 hours at a time. Each drone can each carry four laser-guided missiles, according to promotional material from Baykar Technologies, the company that produces them.

The impact of Bayraktar drones in Ukraine

Ukraine’s drone campaign has contributed to its early successes in slowing the Russian advance, and is revealing unexpected weaknesses on the part of the Russian army, U.S. and European military analysts say. Perhaps more significantly, analysts add, the videos are also becoming an increasingly prominent part of Ukraine’s information war – giving Russian invaders a reason to fear their enemy, and providing a vital boost for Ukrainian morale amid fears of a coming military onslaught. Even so, the drones are unlikely to change the long-term course of the war, analysts point out.

“The footage released by the Ukraine military shows serious defects in Russian air defense cover, which is a surprise for many observers,” says Arda Mevlütoğlu, a Turkish military and aerospace analyst. “The footage is also very useful for PR and psychological warfare.”

Reliable and accurate military drones were once the exclusive purview of the U.S. military. But the technology has become more commonplace in recent years, and is now a fixture of many 21st century battlefields. And Turkey is now the preeminent supplier. In the last two years, Turkish Bayraktar drones have appeared not only in Ukraine, but also Ethiopia, Azerbaijan, Libya and Syria. Last year in Ethiopia, a rebel force was bearing down on the capital Addis Ababa before the government repelled them with the drones. In the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia in 2020, Turkish drones proved decisive in the Azeri victory against Armenia – a Russian ally.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

57 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Another of your pathetic claims:

141 countries vote to condemn Russia at UN

141 countries voted in favor of a UN General Assembly resolution "deploring" Russia's aggression against Ukraine and demanding the immediate and complete withdrawal of all Russian forces from Ukrainian territory.

• Four countries joined Russia in voting against the resolution — Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea and Syria — while 35 abstained.

Check the messages above. The previous vote had 81 in favor.

[notsonice + 1,255]

51 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Sounds like it is time for you to give up your decadent Western lifestyle and head home to mother Russia for some hard living.

he should enlist ....I hear Russia is now short on tank drivers. How many Russian tanks destroyed in 7 days??? 250 to 300.....

Latest news from  Zelenskyy.......Zelenskyy also claimed nearly 6,000 Russian soldiers have been killed since the invasion began last Thursday.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,490]

25 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Check the messages above. The previous vote had 81 in favor.

And the new vote is 141 with only 4 votes in support of Russia. You are maintaining your affinity for old obsolete data. Clearly most of the world has turned against you.

And who are these wonderful countries that support Russia? Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea and Syria

Hilarious, the Stans didn't even vote to support Russia.

Edited March 2, 2022 by Jay McKinsey

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

16 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

And the new vote is 141 with only 4 votes in support of Russia. You are maintaining your affinity for old obsolete data. Clearly most of the world has turned against you.

And who are these wonderful countries that support Russia? Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea and Syria

Hilarious, the Stans didn't even vote to support Russia.

USA and Ukraine are the only two countries voting in favor of Nazi glorification.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,490]

43 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

USA and Ukraine are the only two countries voting in favor of Nazi glorification.

141 countries voted to condemn Russian atrocities and only 4 voted in favor of Russia. Russia's own EAEU abandoned them. Deal with it.

The resolution, said the UN “deplores in the strongest terms the aggression by the Russian Federation against Ukraine”. It demanded that “the Russian Federation immediately cease its use of force against Ukraine” and “immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all of its military forces”.

Even Israel voted against Russia's "de-nazification" plan.

Edited March 2, 2022 by Jay McKinsey

[surrept33 + 609]

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1499107484237193218

'Which do you think best describes Russia?'

Communist: 42%

Socialist: 13%

Capitalist: 11%

Something Else: 17%

YouGov / March 1, 2022 / n=1495 / Online

 

[Eyes Wide Open + 3,555]

2 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

The thugs are you. Bigger colossus on clay feet, similar to USSR you are. The Ukrainian development was entirely precipitated by what you did in 2014. Interested in seeing some serious American analysts discuss this in all honesty?

The 64 km convoy approaching Kiev? Try, and see your couple of hundred jets go poof.

You are truly a amateur instigator, 100 of  jets go poof.

Putin has leveraged the concept of MAD, in order to achieve his personal ambition. Did you miss OLD EUROPE coming together in days? Putin's time has come. Not at the hands of the US, Europe will take care of its own house.

Mutual assured destruction

 

Brennan came up with this acronym ironically, to argue that holding weapons capable of destroying society was irrationa

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction

The above is merely a opinion.

Edited March 2, 2022 by Eyes Wide Open

[Strangelovesurfing + 737]

10 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Bracing for real impact? You should.

I'm bracing for the US/Canadian petrochemical industry to maximize production in quick order. They will do mighty fine with all the new customers wanting secure, reliable suppliers. Watch the drill rig numbers sky-rocket the next few months, $100 oil = frackathon.

Cost of production lower (and falling) than your beloved motherland with fracking technology constantly improving, Canada has all the heavy oil anybody ever needs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZqlNPakK8BY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=greGtmEBL3o

This will also accelerate the shift to electric vehicles, I can see the new campaigns now, "Uncle Sam says It's your patriotic duty to buy an electric truck and starve Putin of his war chest". Two million Ford electrics per year by 2026, add in Tesla, GM and the rest, you'll have decreasing oil consumption YoY, meaning more oil for export.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/02/ford-plans-to-produce-2-million-evs-generate-10percent-operating-profit-by-2026.html?&qsearchterm=ford ev

The world has options now, Russia needs to sell all it can while it can. So much for Russia's eternal embrace with China, they're back-peddling so fast they might fall over. 

Once again Mackinder has been proven wrong, all hail Mahan.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

35 minutes ago, Eyes Wide Open said:

You are truly a amateur instigator, 100 of  jets go poof.

Putin has leveraged the concept of MAD, in order to achieve his personal ambition. Did you miss OLD EUROPE coming together in days? Putin's time has come. Not at the hands of the US, Europe will take care of its own house.

Mutual assured destruction

 

Brennan came up with this acronym ironically, to argue that holding weapons capable of destroying society was irrationa

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction

The above is merely a opinion.

Old Europe revealed itself as tentacles of the same criminal syndicate.

Neither US nor Russian military believes in MAD. It is rational to hold weapons capable of destroying the other guy and getting away with it.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

37 minutes ago, Strangelovesurfing said:

I'm bracing for the US/Canadian petrochemical industry to maximize production in quick order. They will do mighty fine with all the new customers wanting secure, reliable suppliers. Watch the drill rig numbers sky-rocket the next few months, $100 oil = frackathon.

Cost of production lower (and falling) than your beloved motherland with fracking technology constantly improving, Canada has all the heavy oil anybody ever needs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZqlNPakK8BY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=greGtmEBL3o

This will also accelerate the shift to electric vehicles, I can see the new campaigns now, "Uncle Sam says It's your patriotic duty to buy an electric truck and starve Putin of his war chest". Two million Ford electrics per year by 2026, add in Tesla, GM and the rest, you'll have decreasing oil consumption YoY, meaning more oil for export.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/02/ford-plans-to-produce-2-million-evs-generate-10percent-operating-profit-by-2026.html?&qsearchterm=ford ev

The world has options now, Russia needs to sell all it can while it can. So much for Russia's eternal embrace with China, they're back-peddling so fast they might fall over. 

Once again Mackinder has been proven wrong, all hail Mahan.

Why do you need to starve Putin of his war chest if you already appropriated it? Being a criminal syndicate that you are. Does not look very good for your business rep. Ultimately, countries worry about their FX reserves a lot more than about a remote country called Ukraine.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

1 hour ago, Jay McKinsey said:

141 countries voted to condemn Russian atrocities and only 4 voted in favor of Russia. Russia's own EAEU abandoned them. Deal with it.

The resolution, said the UN “deplores in the strongest terms the aggression by the Russian Federation against Ukraine”. It demanded that “the Russian Federation immediately cease its use of force against Ukraine” and “immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all of its military forces”.

Even Israel voted against Russia's "de-nazification" plan.

GA resolutions are not binding. Israel also hasn't joined any sanctions on Russia, while selling armaments to Ukraine. Very pragmatic people.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,490]

2 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

GA resolutions are not binding. Israel also hasn't joined any sanctions on Russia, while selling armaments to Ukraine. Very pragmatic people.

You said:

 "China is with Russia. And so is the other half of the world, or more. Turn off your zombie box and take your head out of your ass already, will you?"

It is clear that you are the one with his head in his ass! The world has spoken out in condemnation of Russia! 

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

On 3/2/2022 at 6:01 PM, Rob Plant said:

Fact check: Do Vladimir Putin's justifications for going to war against Ukraine add up?

https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-do-vladimir-putins-justifications-for-going-to-war-against-ukraine-add-up/a-60917168

A tidbit from the horses mouth on the critical role of Nazi goons since Maidan and  reasons for US support. Of course, somebody has to duke it out with the police while sympathetic students and crazy grandmas wearing cooking pots look charming on Western TV

https://twitter.com/RealAlexRubi/status/1497747535783411714 (subtitled in English)

As usual, customer misses the critical concept of the  Night of the Long Knives.

 

 

Edited March 3, 2022 by Andrei Moutchkine
corrected twitter link

[surrept33 + 609]

Urals/Brent discount = $-20/b

I'm sure China is stockpiling...

Quote

 

Global oil benchmarks rally above $100/b as markets shun Russian barrels

However, the discount for Russian Urals crude continued to widen, with Rotterdam Urals assessed at an $18.31/b discount to Dated Brent.

"Oil price differentials are reflecting a clear unwillingness to take Russian crude, and there continues to be [a] risk of more sanctions that could indirectly or directly impact oil purchases or supplies," said S&P Global Commodity Insights' Shin Kim, head of oil supply and production analysis.

In the case of a major loss of Russian supply, the combination of US and IEA strategic reserve releases and higher Saudi Arabian and UAE crude production could at most make up for 2 million-3 million b/d over the next couple of months, Kim said.

That number quickly falls to just 1 million-1.5 million b/d in the third month, although the assumed full return of the Iran nuclear deal could add another 1 million b/d of supply by August.

 

https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/030222-global-oil-benchmarks-rally-above-100b-as-markets-shun-russian-barrels

 

 

 

 

[notsonice + 1,255]

Russian political scientist Andrey Piontkovsky argues that the ideology of Russian fascism is in many ways similar to German fascism (Nazism), while the speeches of President Vladimir Putin reflect similar ideas to those of Adolf Hitler.

 

Putinism

Characteristics of Putinism highlighted by scientists

M. Urnov and V. Kasamara established among political scientists “direct signs of the departure of the current political system of Russia from the basic principles of competition policy”:^[29]

• centralization,^[30] strong presidential power,^[15] weakening of the political influence of regional elites and big business^[29]
• establishment of direct or indirect state control over the main television channels of the country, censorship;^[29][31]
• the ever-increasing use of the “administrative resource”^{[clarification needed]} in elections at the regional and federal levels;^[29][31]
• the actual elimination of the system of separation of powers, the establishment of control over the judicial system;^[29][31]
• non-public style of political behavior^[29][31]
• monopolization of political power in the hands of the president^[31]
• priority of state interests over the interests of the individual, restriction of the rights of citizens,^[31][30] Reprisals against civil society^[30]
• creating an image of a "besieged fortress", equating opposition activities with hostility^[31] and ousting it from the political field^[32]
• Putin’s personality cult,^[33] the embodiment of state succession in it after a serious injury from the collapse of the USSR^[32]
• bureaucratic authoritarianism,^[34] the presence of the ruling party merged with the bureaucratic apparatus^[31][34]
• state corporativism^[34][33]
• strong state control over property,^[15]
• aggressive foreign policy (jingoism)^[30]
• focus on order and conservative values^[32]
• ideology of national greatness^[32]
• Anti-Western sentiment^[32]

Russian political scientist Andrey Piontkovsky argues that the ideology of Russian fascism is in many ways similar to German fascism (Nazism), while the speeches of President Vladimir Putin reflect similar ideas to those of Adolf Hitler.^[35][36]Oleksii Danilov said during the Russian invasion of Ukraine that Putin's entourage said that the president's mental state was not normal — that he had a "leaky roof." Earlier, US intelligence said that their main task — to find out the truth about the mental state of the Russian leader. After all, according to experts, Putin's behavior is becoming more volatile and irrational. And CNN, citing two unnamed senior officials in the US administration, said that for the past few days, Russian President Putin has been in an extremely angry state over the West's harsh sanctions on the Russian economy.^[37]