3-D Chess not the 2-D Chess of Ukraine-Russia - What is actually coming during this decade…

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

American puppets about to be removed from Ukraine. Russia busts onto "regime change" scene as alternative provider to Uncle Sam! Much upside in that marketplace, previously monopolized, busting open!

Yep, the next regime change will be replacing Putin.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

Just now, Jay McKinsey said:

Austria simpler than Russia? Haha! So much for Russia being the leading bastion of freedom and power. Good thing there was a free democratic Western country like Austria for you to land in.

Simpler for me. My family was already here, so I just settled next to them. No generalizable lessons there. It is a country like any other.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

1 minute ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Yep, the next regime change will be replacing Putin.

Are you that good at it? You can try...

[surrept33 + 609]

3 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

American puppets about to be removed from Ukraine. Russia busts onto "regime change" scene as alternative provider to Uncle Sam! Much upside in that marketplace, previously monopolized, busting open!

who do you think will replace z? medvedchuk?

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

4 hours ago, notsonice said:

These appear to be very often abandoned if they run out of fuel in the middle of nowhere, and set on fire by Ukrainians later for more dramatic shots. Note near complete absence of wounded or dead next to them.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

2 minutes ago, surrept33 said:

who do you think will replace z? medvedchuk?

We can keep Ze, he's not the problem.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

2 hours ago, notsonice said:

thanks to Putin.....Why no one should ever trust Russian Scum like Putin... He is one backstabbing Nutjob..... Lots of oil in the world and Germany will not collapse without Russian oil. Putin wants to use oil and nat gas as a weapon.....ok the West will accelerate the push for Energy Independence for every country with Renewables IN the meantime we will make sure Europe is supplied with LNG.   PS Saudis are not different, I would never ever trust them for anything.....

USA is the only one who cannot replace Russian oil. Germany cannot replace gas.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

4 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

These appear to be very often abandoned if they run out of fuel in the middle of nowhere, and set on fire by Ukrainians later for more dramatic shots. Note near complete absence of wounded or dead next to them.

These GAZ Tigr are in a town, not the middle of nowhere, nor are they on fire. Most likely there tires were shot out with small arms fire and the Russian cowards ran away.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

27 minutes ago, surrept33 said:

Credible take that the Russians HAVE been holding back some:

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1498381975022940167

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vdiEABLFoo

American actually in Kiev right now.

As far as military objectives, they are likely brewing on a major encircling of the Ukrainian forces in Donbass from the back (West)

 

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

3 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

USA is the only one who cannot replace Russian oil. Germany cannot replace gas.

If Russia doesn't sell its oil it completely falls off a cliff. If they sell all of it to China then China stops buying from Middle East and that oil is sold to Europe. 

Russia can only sell a small portion of its gas to China. If they cut off Germany then both Germany and Russia will suffer equally.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

4 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

These GAZ Tigr are in a town, not the middle of nowhere, nor are they on fire. Most likely there tires were shot out with small arms fire and the Russian cowards ran away.

Contrived. They have run-flat and central tire inflation systems, so it is not as simple as you think.

There are a lot of vehicles abandoned that are completely mint, so it seems the Russian cowards ran away every time the supply convoy did not arrive at time

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

3 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

If Russia doesn't sell its oil it completely falls off a cliff. If they sell all of it to China then China stops buying from Middle East and that oil is sold to Europe. 

Russia can only sell a small portion of its gas to China. If they cut off Germany then both Germany and Russia will suffer equally.

Yes, Cap! Can Germany lose Russia quicker, or can Russia lose Germany?

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

Just now, Andrei Moutchkine said:

 

There are a lot of vehicles abandoned that are completely mint, so it seems the Russian cowards ran away every time the supply convoy did not arrive at time

Sounds like a good explanation as well. Not so good for winning a war though.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

2 hours ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Weak sauce. The Russian economy is a rubble pile. Western economies are holding steady.

Steady does it. You will see.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

1 minute ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Steady does it. You will see.

You are in for a lot more disappointment.

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

4 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Sounds like a good explanation as well. Not so good for winning a war though.

They'll pick them up later. You are forgetting home is almost next door.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

1 minute ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

They'll pick them up later. You are forgetting home is almost next door.

Pick up the vehicles after they have been destroyed by the Ukrainians?

[notsonice + 1,069]

32 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

Contrived. They have run-flat and central tire inflation systems, so it is not as simple as you think.

There are a lot of vehicles abandoned that are completely mint, so it seems the Russian cowards ran away every time the supply convoy did not arrive at time

the tires in the photos are not run flat tires....For such a heavy duty truck you would need foam filled. Pretty stupid for the Russians to enter combat and to not foam fill them. I bet you never seen a foam filled tire in your life........the tires in the photo would never have compressed to the point the rims are on the ground if they were foam filled. Central tire  inflation works for very very small leaks (nail at the biggest) Bullet hole??? you better have some big tire plugs and a stout Russian to get the plug in the hole (1 cm hole wow that is a big hole). Run flat tires would have large rims and very small rubber tires on them. Yes the tires in the photos were shot out  or they ran over tire stop strips. Either way Stupid Stupid Stupid Yep as simple as that. 

Edited March 1, 2022 by notsonice

[notsonice + 1,069]

17 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

They'll pick them up later. You are forgetting home is almost next door.

pick them up??? those vehicles are 5 tons each at least. You will have to change the tires in the field......a couple of hours work as you have to pull the outer rim off first , break the inner rubber off the bead/rim pull the rubber off and replace with a few steps added hour for each tire minimum. Snipers dream come true. How many Russians will give up their lives trying to get some rubber back on the rims..... (not unless the Russian can get a 1 km corridor secured on both sides of the road??? Home is almost next door......ha ha ha so close yet so far. 

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

57 minutes ago, Jay McKinsey said:

Pick up the vehicles after they have been destroyed by the Ukrainians?

Or nicked... Whoever gets to the vehicle first with a can of fuel, wins. If you ever find a BTR, here is how you start it

https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1498332884121399307

[Andrei Moutchkine + 828]

41 minutes ago, notsonice said:

pick them up??? those vehicles are 5 tons each at least. You will have to change the tires in the field......a couple of hours work as you have to pull the outer rim off first , break the inner rubber off the bead/rim pull the rubber off and replace with a few steps added hour for each tire minimum. Snipers dream come true. How many Russians will give up their lives trying to get some rubber back on the rims..... (not unless the Russian can get a 1 km corridor secured on both sides of the road??? Home is almost next door......ha ha ha so close yet so far. 

If the vehicles are broken, there are all kinds of engineering vehicles and crane-like things which actually pick them up in a direct sense. Not what I meant, though.

[notsonice + 1,069]

50 minutes ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

If the vehicles are broken, there are all kinds of engineering vehicles and crane-like things which actually pick them up in a direct sense. Not what I meant, though.

My bet is you never worked on a site that involved heavy equipment or tried to recover something big that can not run on its own anymore. You need a fairly good sized lowboy and a real heavy duty winch to pull one of those onto the lowboy bed. yeah you can do it in a half hour if your good and fast. But with someone shooting at you the same time... good luck it is not worth getting the vehicle back. The vehicles they lost are just that vehicles.  Whoever sent those  vehicles into battle with out foam filling first should be sent packing. Lives were at stake and you can get killed over a shot out tire???? Shot out tires .....good grief .... fill them with foam first. Lesson learned... do not make officers out of those who do not have street smarts. 

Edited March 1, 2022 by notsonice

[nsdp + 449]

3 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

If the vehicles are broken, there are all kinds of engineering vehicles and crane-like things which actually pick them up in a direct sense. Not what I meant, though.

Obviously you have never been in heavy ordinance. Both vehicles have either an oil leak or coolant leak, Small blast damage underneath which means an IED was called up on the local cell net and ruined the engine compartment.  Tires are collateral damage to fire and explosion.  No bullet holes in the body work.   Notice the scorch marks on second vehicle hood, fire in the engine compartment.   NVA would give them a B+.   Looks like front vehicle was hit in the rear and trashed the differential.  also scorch marks on right windshield.  Wonder if they have any spare parts worth scavenging.  Engines will never run again.

[Jay McKinsey + 1,489]

1 hour ago, nsdp said:

Obviously you have never been in heavy ordinance. Both vehicles have either an oil leak or coolant leak, Small blast damage underneath which means an IED was called up on the local cell net and ruined the engine compartment.  Tires are collateral damage to fire and explosion.  No bullet holes in the body work.   Notice the scorch marks on second vehicle hood, fire in the engine compartment.   NVA would give them a B+.   Looks like front vehicle was hit in the rear and trashed the differential.  also scorch marks on right windshield.  Wonder if they have any spare parts worth scavenging.  Engines will never run again.

Good point about no bullet holes in body work. Here is a video of those vehicles https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UreR-qYgZwU

 

Edited March 1, 2022 by Jay McKinsey

[Rob Plant + 2,617]

11 hours ago, Andrei Moutchkine said:

a) Please keep the infectious disease called democracy away from us! I want to be free, not ruled by a lynching mob of zombie puppets controlled by media remote. This is where your society is going. The only saving grace before was that your democracy was not real before, but just a lip service. God save you if the zombie puppets take over for real.

b) Spare me "I like you, but not your leadership" shtick, please? It's too tacky. I used to be no fan of grandpa Pu, but he must be doing something right to irritate your chieftains so much. The masks are off. Russians are the new Jews. They've expelled the Russian national team from world championships, no Russian teams in the UEFA, Russia may not participate in Eurovision and three EU countries are expelling Russian college students. Internment camps next?

Czech Republic now gives three year jail sentences for expressing pro-Russian opinions online. RT and Sputnik are banned in the entire EU.

The clue here Andrei is that FIFA and The olympic committee represent countries all over the globe! This surely tells you of the sentiment global organiisations and governments have of the incursion into Ukraine that your reckless leader has taken your country into.

He has lied to your troops telling them the Ukrainians will welcome them with open arms like the brothers they are. How wrong could you get???

Putin could become more infamous than Hitler if he starts WWIII and nuclear war. He is backed into a corner now just like a rat and when that happens the rat will attack with whatever it has got left. His hypersonic weaponry is indefencible which I must admit is scary.

The West needs to offer Putin a way out of this crisis where he doesnt lose face to his people and his military leaders.

Very very dangerous times!