James Regan + 1,776 May 19, 2019 Is Libya becoming another serious threat to global oil price. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-oil-attack/three-killed-in-suspected-islamic-state-attack-outside-libyan-oilfield-idUSKCN1SO0CP Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BenFranklin'sSpectacles + 762 SF May 19, 2019 3 hours ago, James Regan said: Is Libya becoming another serious threat to global oil price. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-oil-attack/three-killed-in-suspected-islamic-state-attack-outside-libyan-oilfield-idUSKCN1SO0CP Libya produces <1% of the world's oil; I don't think that's enough to threaten anything. It's certainly not "threatening" in a world where oil stocks are increasing, shale production can immediately accelerate, and new technology/changing behavior could immediately destroy demand. If Libya stopped producing today, would oil prices increase? Sure. Would the price increase be distinguishable from business-as-usual volatility? Doubtful. How would prices and markets actually respond? Permanent loss of Libya would firm up the floor on oil prices, which might encourage investment elsewhere. Bottom line: if Libya disappeared from the face of the earth, few people would notice. Even fewer would care. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites