Sign in to follow this  
Followers 0
James Regan

Libyan situation getting worse, ISIS attack oil facility

Recommended Posts

3 hours ago, James Regan said:

Libya produces <1% of the world's oil; I don't think that's enough to threaten anything.  It's certainly not "threatening" in a world where oil stocks are increasing, shale production can immediately accelerate, and new technology/changing behavior could immediately destroy demand. 

If Libya stopped producing today, would oil prices increase?  Sure. 
Would the price increase be distinguishable from business-as-usual volatility?  Doubtful. 
How would prices and markets actually respond?  Permanent loss of Libya would firm up the floor on oil prices, which might encourage investment elsewhere. 

Bottom line: if Libya disappeared from the face of the earth, few people would notice.  Even fewer would care. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, please sign in.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  
Followers 0