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About this blog

This blog was born with the idea of sharing a private investor's vision of energy markets. All comments are welcome.

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oil It's a real Black Swan? How markets have performed during viral outbreaks.

The outbreak of coronavirus in China has led to concerns over a slowdown in the US economy, putting pressure on oil, stocks, and commodities. But it's the Black Swan about all talking about?   The degree by which markets have been mostly immune (for now -1% / -2%) to the coronavirus is linear with the Wall Street behavior. Historically the reaction to outbreaks is different from expectations.   The S&P 500 in 2003 made a +14.59% after the first occu

luca mattei

luca mattei

natual gas Natural Gas Back To The Futures. Trip On The Border Of $2 MMBtu

Summary Thirty years of technological development. Seasonality and Volatility, an indissoluble relationship? Current situation and its possible outlooks. Thirty years of technological development. Natural Gas is a commodity characterized by high volatility and closely linked to seasonal aspects.   Or at least that's what we've always known about it.   In the past thirty years the fundamentals of the gas market, its structure and characteristics h

luca mattei

luca mattei

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